ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS OF A FOREST-LIVESTOCK INTEGRATION SYSTEM IN ALTA FLORESTA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL

Q4 Environmental Science

Floresta Pub Date : 2022-10-07 DOI:10.5380/rf.v52i4.71475

Roni Djeison Ansolin, Romano Timofeiczyk Junior, M. T. Kamoi, M. Michetti, J. C. dos Reis, João Carlos Garzel Leodoro da Silva

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study investigates the economic feasibility of a livestock-forest integration system between Nellore cattle and teak species implemented in Fazenda Bacaeri, in the municipality of Alta Floresta, Mato Grosso state, Brazil. The economic analysis was based on the dataset provided by the Embrapa Agrossilvipastoril and used to elaborate a cash flow, as well as on the following selected criteria, Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, and Profitability Index, for a Minimum Attractive Rate of 4.15% annually. The risk analysis was also carried out using the Monte Carlo probabilistic method, considering seven variables, such as the clearcut and thinning wood price, lean cattle selling price, animal acquisition and forest harvesting costs, thinning and clearcutting yield. The calculated analyzed economic indexes are as follows R$ 4,083,307.77 NPV, 6.48% IRR and 21.36% PI, which indicates the economic feasibility of the studied integration system. The risk analysis shows that this is a low-risk project since the probability of NPV being negative was calculated as 14.4%. However, no matter how efficient the risk prediction tools are, producers must have technical assistance from trained professionals to adequately interpret and mitigate the risks. The studied forest-livestock integration system is economically feasible and low risk.

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巴西马托格罗索州alta floresta森林-畜牧业一体化系统的经济可行性分析

本研究调查了在巴西马托格罗索州上弗洛雷斯塔市Fazenda Bacaeri实施的内洛尔牛和柚木物种之间的牲畜-森林一体化系统的经济可行性。经济分析基于Embrapa Agrossilvipastoril提供的数据集，并用于制定现金流，以及以下选择标准，净现值，内部收益率和盈利能力指数，最低吸引力利率为每年4.15%。采用蒙特卡洛概率方法进行风险分析，考虑砍伐间伐木材价格、瘦肉牛销售价格、动物获取和森林采伐成本、间伐和砍伐产量等7个变量。计算分析的经济指标为NPV 4,083,307.77 R, IRR 6.48%， PI 21.36%，表明所研究的集成系统的经济可行性。风险分析表明，由于NPV为负的概率计算为14.4%，因此这是一个低风险项目。然而，无论风险预测工具多么有效，生产商都必须得到训练有素的专业人员的技术支持，以充分解释和减轻风险。研究的林牧一体化系统经济可行，风险低。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Floresta Environmental Science-Nature and Landscape Conservation

CiteScore

0.80

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Revista Floresta admits articles of scientific contribution in Forest Science, in the areas of Nature Conservation, Economy and Forest Policy, Forest Management, Silviculture and Wood Technology. The main task is to promote and divulgate the development of Forest Science in Brazil and in the world. Articles published in Revista Floresta are under total responsibility of the authors, who are aware that they are original studies. It remains implicit that articles were not submitted for publication to any other divulgation media. It remains explicit the agreement of authors to norms of the journal and, along the development of their work, the observance of ethic aspects and respect of the current copyright legislation.