{"title":"Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange markets: Implication for risk management","authors":"Rahma Chemkha , Ahmed BenSaïda , Ahmed Ghorbel","doi":"10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100666","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper examines the connectedness between cryptocurrencies and major fiat currencies in a multivariate framework using vine copulas. One of the advantages of this method is the flexibility in the choice of distributions used to model complex dependencies. The results show that the dependence, measured conditionally or unconditionally, is positive and higher for the pairs of the same market than those across markets. Moreover, a low significant dependency is found between cryptocurrencies and the main conventional currencies. Based on the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) analyses, vine copulas produce accurate risk measures by adding cryptocurrencies to a portfolio of fiat currencies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47268,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multinational Financial Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 100666"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9000,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.mulfin.2020.100666","citationCount":"22","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Multinational Financial Management","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042444X20300554","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 22
Abstract
This paper examines the connectedness between cryptocurrencies and major fiat currencies in a multivariate framework using vine copulas. One of the advantages of this method is the flexibility in the choice of distributions used to model complex dependencies. The results show that the dependence, measured conditionally or unconditionally, is positive and higher for the pairs of the same market than those across markets. Moreover, a low significant dependency is found between cryptocurrencies and the main conventional currencies. Based on the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) analyses, vine copulas produce accurate risk measures by adding cryptocurrencies to a portfolio of fiat currencies.
期刊介绍:
International trade, financing and investments have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years, and the operations of corporations have become increasingly multinationalized. Corporate executives buying and selling goods and services, and making financing and investment decisions across national boundaries, have developed policies and procedures for managing cash flows denominated in foreign currencies. These policies and procedures, and the related managerial actions of executives, change as new relevant information becomes available. The purpose of the Journal of Multinational Financial Management is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the management of the multinational enterprise. Theoretical, conceptual, and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • Foreign exchange risk management • International capital budgeting • Forecasting exchange rates • Foreign direct investment • Hedging strategies • Cost of capital • Managing transaction exposure • Political risk assessment • International working capital management • International financial planning • International tax management • International diversification • Transfer pricing strategies • International liability management • International mergers.