Large-Scale Evidence for the Effectiveness of Partisan GOTV Robo Calls

IF 3.2 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2022-08-18 DOI:10.1017/XPS.2022.16

Daniel T. Kling, Thomas Stratmann

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract We document the effectiveness of automated (robo) calls for increasing voter participation in contrast to most published research which finds little or no effect from automated calls. We establish this finding in a large field experiment which mimics campaign behavior with a targeted, partisan get-out-the-vote campaign. Our findings show that across all treatments, automated calls led to three additional votes for every thousand subjects called during the 2014 midterm general election. Additionally, our experimental design allows for testing how the number of calls in a treatment, that is dosage, affects voter turnout. Here, results show that three extra calls increase the treatment effect to seven additional votes per thousand subjects called, but that too many additional calls decrease that effect to statistical insignificance in a six-call treatment.

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党派GOTV机器人呼叫有效性的大规模证据

我们记录了自动化(机器人)呼叫增加选民参与的有效性，与大多数已发表的研究相比，这些研究发现自动呼叫很少或没有影响。我们在一项大型现场实验中建立了这一发现，该实验模拟了一场有针对性的、党派化的动员投票活动的竞选行为。我们的研究结果表明，在2014年中期大选期间，在所有治疗方法中，自动电话每呼叫1000个受试者就会导致3个额外的投票。此外，我们的实验设计允许测试在治疗中呼叫的数量，即剂量，如何影响选民投票率。在这里，结果表明，三个额外的电话将治疗效果提高到每1000个被呼叫的受试者中有7个额外的投票，但是太多的额外电话将效果降低到六个电话治疗的统计不显著。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Experimental Political Science Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

8.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Experimental Political Science (JEPS) features cutting-edge research that utilizes experimental methods or experimental reasoning based on naturally occurring data. We define experimental methods broadly: research featuring random (or quasi-random) assignment of subjects to different treatments in an effort to isolate causal relationships in the sphere of politics. JEPS embraces all of the different types of experiments carried out as part of political science research, including survey experiments, laboratory experiments, field experiments, lab experiments in the field, natural and neurological experiments. We invite authors to submit concise articles (around 4000 words or fewer) that immediately address the subject of the research. We do not require lengthy explanations regarding and justifications of the experimental method. Nor do we expect extensive literature reviews of pros and cons of the methodological approaches involved in the experiment unless the goal of the article is to explore these methodological issues. We expect readers to be familiar with experimental methods and therefore to not need pages of literature reviews to be convinced that experimental methods are a legitimate methodological approach. We will consider longer articles in rare, but appropriate cases, as in the following examples: when a new experimental method or approach is being introduced and discussed or when novel theoretical results are being evaluated through experimentation. Finally, we strongly encourage authors to submit manuscripts that showcase informative null findings or inconsistent results from well-designed, executed, and analyzed experiments.