Development of the banks’ risk management system under conditions of uncertainty

O. Vovchenko
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Abstract

Due to economic globalization, changes in the regulatory environment, technological shifts and geopolitical events, banks face uncertainty that has a negative impact on their financial stability. It is important for banking institutions to develop an effective risk management system that will help identify, control and mitigate emerging risks. The goal of the study was to substantiate current directions for transforming the banks’ risk management system to secure anti-crisis regulation and financial stability. Monitoring of the banking sector financial stability has been carried out based on determining the probability of a financial crisis, applying an indicative method; economic and statistical methods of information collection and analysis, formalization, systematization and modelling have also been applied in the article. The importance of a risk-oriented approach to conducting banking business as a basis for counteracting destabilizing factors of influence has been considered. Securing the bank’s financial stability under conditions of uncertainty provides for integration of its risk management system into the structure, linking all other management subsystems at the strategic, tactical and operational levels. Bank risk management has been considered not as a separate independent function of bank management, but as a component of the institution’s adaptive management system, integrated with strategic and tactical planning, performance management, internal control and audit. It has been determined that in order to ensure the bank’s adaptability and its quick response to changes in the financial market it is necessary to introduce changes into the risk management system in the following directions: establishing the responsibility of the bank’s top management and its owners for the bank’s performance at the legislative level; improving the corporate governance and promoting its reliability; forming the bank’s risk culture. The study is useful for banking specialists who can use recommendations for the development and improvement of the risk management system under conditions of uncertainty. The given material can serve as an important source of information for regulatory bodies, supervisory institutions in policy making and setting standards of the risk management system in banks
不确定性条件下银行风险管理系统的发展
由于经济全球化、监管环境的变化、技术变革和地缘政治事件,银行面临着不确定性,这对其金融稳定产生了负面影响。银行机构必须制定有效的风险管理系统,以帮助识别、控制和减轻新出现的风险。这项研究的目的是证实目前银行风险管理系统转型的方向,以确保反危机监管和金融稳定。对银行部门金融稳定的监测是在确定发生金融危机的可能性的基础上进行的,采用了指示性方法;文中还运用了经济统计方法进行信息的收集与分析、形式化、系统化和建模。已经考虑到以风险为导向的方法开展银行业务的重要性,以此作为抵消不稳定影响因素的基础。在不确定的条件下确保银行的财务稳定,可以将其风险管理系统整合到结构中,在战略、战术和运营层面连接所有其他管理子系统。银行风险管理并不是银行管理层的一项独立职能,而是机构适应性管理系统的一个组成部分,与战略和战术规划、绩效管理、内部控制和审计相结合。已经确定,为了确保银行的适应性和对金融市场变化的快速反应,有必要在以下方面对风险管理体系进行改革:在立法层面确立银行最高管理层及其所有者对银行业绩的责任;完善公司治理,提高公司治理的可靠性;形成银行的风险文化。这项研究对银行专家很有用,他们可以在不确定的条件下使用建议来开发和改进风险管理系统。所提供的材料可以作为监管机构、监管机构制定政策和制定银行风险管理系统标准的重要信息来源
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