External validation of an artificial intelligence solution for the detection of elbow fractures and joint effusions in children

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to conduct an external validation of an artificial intelligence (AI) solution for the detection of elbow fractures and joint effusions using radiographs from a real-life cohort of children.

Materials and methods

This single-center retrospective study was conducted on 758 radiographic sets (1637 images) obtained from consecutive emergency room visits of 712 children (mean age, 7.27 ± 3.97 [standard deviation] years; age range, 7 months and 10 days to 15 years and 10 months), referred for a trauma of the elbow. For each set, fracture and/or effusion detection by eleven senior radiologists (reference standard) and AI solution was recorded. Diagnostic performance of the AI solution was measured via four different approaches: fracture detection (presence/absence of fracture as binary variable), fracture enumeration, fracture localization and lesion detection (fracture and/or a joint effusion used as constructed binary variable).

Results

The sensitivity of the AI solution for each of the four approaches was >89%. Greatest sensitivity of the AI solution was obtained for lesion detection (95.0%; 95% confidence interval: 92.1–96.9). The specificity of the AI solution ranged between 63% (for lesion detection) and 77% (for fracture detection). For all four approaches, the negative predictive values were >92% and the positive predictive values ranged between 54% (for fracture enumeration and localization) and 73% (for lesion detection). Specificity was lower for plastered children for all approaches (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

The AI solution demonstrates high performances for detecting elbow's fracture and/or joint effusion in children. However, in our context of use, 8% of the radiographic sets ruled-out by the algorithm concerned children with a genuine traumatic elbow lesion.