Modelling a Consultant Workforce for the United Kingdom: needs-based planning for Dental Public Health.

IF 0.9 4区 医学 Q3 DENTISTRY, ORAL SURGERY & MEDICINE
J E Gallagher, M Donaldson, A Karki, R Keat, C A Yeung, W Roberts, S Birch, S Listl, R Witton
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Abstract

Objective: To develop a needs-based workforce planning model to explore specialist workforce capacity and capability for the effective, efficient, and safe provision of services in the United Kingdom (UK); and test the model using Dental Public Health (DPH).

Basic research design: Data from a national workforce survey, national audit, and specialty workshops in 2020 and 2021 set the parameters for a safe effective DPH workforce. A working group drawing on external expertise, developed a conceptual workforce model which informed the mathematical modelling, taking a Markovian approach. The latter enabled the consideration of possible scenarios relating to workforce development. It involved exploration of capacity within each career stage in DPH across a time horizon of 15 years. Workforce capacity requirements were calculated, informed by past principles.

Results: Currently an estimated 100 whole time equivalent (WTE) specialists are required to provide a realistic basic capacity nationally for DPH across the UK given the range of organisations, population growth, complexity and diversity of specialty roles. In February 2022 the specialty had 53.55 WTE academic/service consultants, thus a significant gap. The modelling evidence suggests a reduction in DPH specialist capacity towards a steady state in line with the current rate of training, recruitment and retention. The scenario involving increasing training numbers and drawing on other sources of public health trained dentists whilst retaining expertise within DPH has the potential to build workforce capacity.

Conclusions: Current capacity is below basic requirements and approaching 'steady state'. Retention and innovative capacity building are required to secure and safeguard the provision of specialist DPH services to meet the needs of the UK health and care systems.

英国顾问劳动力建模:基于需求的牙科公共卫生规划。
目标:开发一个基于需求的劳动力规划模型,以探索在联合王国(英国)提供有效、高效和安全服务的专业劳动力能力;并使用牙科公共卫生(DPH)测试该模型。基础研究设计:来自2020年和2021年全国劳动力调查、国家审计和专业研讨会的数据为安全有效的牙科公共卫生劳动力设定了参数。一个工作组利用外部专业知识,采用马尔可夫方法,开发了一个概念劳动力模型,为数学建模提供了信息。后者使人们能够考虑与劳动力发展有关的可能情况。它涉及在15年的时间范围内探索DPH每个职业阶段的能力。劳动力能力需求是根据过去的原则计算的。结果:考虑到组织的范围、人口增长、专业角色的复杂性和多样性,目前估计需要100名全职同等(WTE)专家在英国全国范围内为DPH提供现实的基本能力。2022年2月,该专业有53.55名WTE学术/服务顾问,因此差距很大。建模证据表明,DPH专家能力下降,达到与当前培训、招聘和保留率一致的稳定状态。增加培训人数并利用其他公共卫生培训牙医来源,同时保留DPH内的专业知识,这种情况有可能建立劳动力能力。结论:电流容量低于基本要求,接近“稳态”。需要保留和创新能力建设,以确保和保障专业DPH服务的提供,以满足英国卫生和护理系统的需求。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Community dental health
Community dental health 医学-牙科与口腔外科
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
11.80%
发文量
75
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal is concerned with dental public health and related subjects. Dental public health is the science and the art of preventing oral disease, promoting oral health, and improving the quality of life through the organised efforts of society. The discipline covers a wide range and includes such topics as: -oral epidemiology- oral health services research- preventive dentistry - especially in relation to communities- oral health education and promotion- clinical research - with particular emphasis on the care of special groups- behavioural sciences related to dentistry- decision theory- quality of life- risk analysis- ethics and oral health economics- quality assessment. The journal publishes scientific articles on the relevant fields, review articles, discussion papers, news items, and editorials. It is of interest to dentists working in dental public health and to other professionals concerned with disease prevention, health service planning, and health promotion throughout the world. In the case of epidemiology of oral diseases the Journal prioritises national studies unless local studies have major methodological innovations or information of particular interest.
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