A risk science perspective on vaccines.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-25 DOI:10.1111/risa.14228
Ingrid Glette-Iversen, Terje Aven, Roger Flage
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Vaccines can be seen as one of the greatest successes in modern medicine. Good examples are the vaccines against smallpox, polio, and measles. Unfortunately, vaccines can have side effects, but the risks are considered by the health authorities and experts to be small compared to their benefits. Nevertheless, there are many who are skeptical of vaccination, something which has been very clearly demonstrated in relation to the COVID-19 disease. Risk is the key concept when evaluating a vaccine, in relation to both its ability to protect against the disease and its side effects. However, risk is a challenging concept to measure, which makes communication about vaccines' performance and side effects difficult. The present article aims at providing new insights into vaccine risks-the understanding, perception, communication, and handling of them-by adopting what is here referred to as a contemporary risk science perspective. This perspective clarifies the relationships between the risk concept and terms like uncertainty, knowledge, and probability. The skepticism toward vaccines is multifaceted, and influenced by concerns that extend beyond the effectiveness and safety of the vaccines. However, by clarifying the relationships between key concepts of risk, particularly how uncertainty affects risk and its characterization, we can improve our understanding of this issue.

疫苗的风险科学视角。
疫苗可以被视为现代医学中最成功的疫苗之一。天花、脊髓灰质炎和麻疹的疫苗就是很好的例子。不幸的是,疫苗可能会有副作用,但卫生当局和专家认为,与益处相比,风险很小。尽管如此,仍有许多人对疫苗接种持怀疑态度,这一点在新冠肺炎疾病中得到了非常明确的证明。风险是评估疫苗的关键概念,与疫苗预防疾病的能力及其副作用有关。然而,风险是一个具有挑战性的衡量概念,这使得关于疫苗性能和副作用的沟通变得困难。本文旨在通过采用本文所称的当代风险科学视角,对疫苗风险的理解、感知、沟通和处理提供新的见解。这一观点阐明了风险概念与不确定性、知识和概率等术语之间的关系。对疫苗的怀疑是多方面的,并受到超出疫苗有效性和安全性的担忧的影响。然而,通过澄清风险的关键概念之间的关系,特别是不确定性如何影响风险及其特征,我们可以提高对这一问题的理解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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