{"title":"Choice of time scale for analysis of recurrent events data.","authors":"Philip Hougaard","doi":"10.1007/s10985-022-09569-1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Recurrent events refer to events that over time can occur several times for each individual. Full use of such data in a clinical trial requires a method that addresses the dependence between events. For modelling this dependence, there are two time scales to consider, namely time since start of the study (running time) or time since most recent event (gap time). In the multi-state setup, it is possible to estimate parameters also in the case, where the hazard model allows for an effect of both time scales, making this an extremely flexible approach. However, for summarizing the effect of a treatment in a transparent and informative way, the choice of time scale and model requires much more care. This paper discusses these choices both from a theoretical and practical point of view. This is supported by a simulation study showing that in a frailty model with assumptions covered by both time scales, the gap time approach may give misleading results. A literature dataset is used for illustrating the issues.</p>","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":" ","pages":"700-722"},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2022-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-022-09569-1","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2022/8/15 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Recurrent events refer to events that over time can occur several times for each individual. Full use of such data in a clinical trial requires a method that addresses the dependence between events. For modelling this dependence, there are two time scales to consider, namely time since start of the study (running time) or time since most recent event (gap time). In the multi-state setup, it is possible to estimate parameters also in the case, where the hazard model allows for an effect of both time scales, making this an extremely flexible approach. However, for summarizing the effect of a treatment in a transparent and informative way, the choice of time scale and model requires much more care. This paper discusses these choices both from a theoretical and practical point of view. This is supported by a simulation study showing that in a frailty model with assumptions covered by both time scales, the gap time approach may give misleading results. A literature dataset is used for illustrating the issues.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.