Loss of life expectancy due to respiratory infectious diseases: findings from the global burden of disease study in 195 countries and territories 1990-2017.

IF 1.6 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY
JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-07 DOI:10.1007/s12546-021-09271-3
Guogui Huang, Fei Guo
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Abstract

Understanding of the patterns of and changes in mortality from respiratory infectious diseases (RID) and its contribution to loss of life expectancy (LE) is inadequate in the existing literature. With rapid sociodemographic changes globally, and the current COVID-19 pandemic, it is timely to revisit the disease burden of RID. Using the approaches of life table and cause-eliminated life table based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), the study analyses loss of LE due to RID in 195 countries/territories and its changes during the period 1990-2017. Results indicate that loss of LE due to RID stood at 1.29 years globally in 2017 globally and varied widely by age, gender, and geographic location, with men, elderly people, and populations in middle/low income countries/territories suffering a disproportionately high loss of LE due to RID. Additionally, loss of LE due to RID decreased remarkably by 0.97 years globally during the period 1990-2017 but increased slightly among populations older than 70 years and in many high income countries/territories. Results suggest that RID still pose a severe threat for population and public health, and that amid dramatic sociodemographic changes globally, the disease burden of RID may resurge. The study presents the first examination of the life-shortening effect of RID at the global and country/territory levels, providing new understanding of the changing disease burden of RID and shedding light on the potential consequences of the current COVID-19 pandemic.

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呼吸道传染病导致的预期寿命损失:1990-2017 年 195 个国家和地区的全球疾病负担研究结果。
现有文献对呼吸道传染病(RID)死亡率的模式和变化及其对预期寿命损失(LE)的影响认识不足。随着全球社会人口结构的快速变化以及目前 COVID-19 的流行,重新审视 RID 的疾病负担是非常及时的。本研究以全球疾病负担研究(GBD)的数据为基础,采用生命表和病因消除生命表的方法,分析了 195 个国家/地区因 RID 导致的生命周期损失及其在 1990-2017 年间的变化。结果表明,2017年全球因RID造成的LE损失为1.29年,并且因年龄、性别和地理位置的不同而有很大差异,男性、老年人和中/低收入国家/地区的人口因RID造成的LE损失过高。此外,1990-2017年间,全球因RID造成的LE损失显著减少了0.97年,但在70岁以上人群和许多高收入国家/地区,RID造成的LE损失略有增加。研究结果表明,RID 仍对人口和公共健康构成严重威胁,在全球社会人口发生巨大变化的情况下,RID 的疾病负担可能会重新抬头。该研究首次从全球和国家/地区层面研究了 RID 对缩短寿命的影响,为 RID 疾病负担的变化提供了新的认识,并揭示了当前 COVID-19 大流行的潜在后果。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Research is a peer-reviewed, international journal which publishes papers on demography and population-related issues. Coverage is not restricted geographically. The Journal publishes substantive empirical analyses, theoretical works, applied research and contributions to methodology. Submissions may take the form of original research papers, perspectives, review articles and shorter technical research notes. Special issues emanating from conferences and other meetings are also considered.
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