Costs of alcohol-involved crashes, United States, 2010.

Eduard Zaloshnja, Ted R Miller, Lawrence J Blincoe
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Abstract

This paper estimates total and unit costs of alcohol-involved crashes in the U.S. in 2010. With methods from earlier studies, we estimated costs per crash survivor by MAIS, body part, and fracture/dislocation involvement. We multiplied them times 2010 crash incidence estimates from NHTSA data sets, with adjustments for underreporting of crashes and their alcohol involvement. The unit costs are lifetime costs discounted at 3%. To develop medical costs, we combined 2008 Health Care Utilization Program national data for hospitalizations and ED visits of crash survivors with prior estimates of post-discharge costs. Productivity losses drew on Current Population Survey and American Time Use Survey data. Quality of life losses came from a 2011 AAAM paper and property damage from insurance data. We built a hybrid incidence file comprised of 2008-2010 and 1984-86 NHTSA crash surveillance data, weighted with 2010 General Estimates System weights. Fatality data came from the 2010 FARS. An estimated 12% of 2010 crashes but only 0.9% of miles driven were alcohol-involved (BAC > .05). Alcohol-involved crashes cost an estimated $125 billion. That is 22.5% of the societal cost of all crashes. Alcohol-attributable crashes accounted for an estimated 22.5% of US auto liability insurance payments. Alcohol-involved crashes cost $0.86 per drink. Above the US BAC limit of .08, crash costs were $8.37 per mile driven; 1 in 788 trips resulted in a crash and 1 in 1,016 trips in an arrest. Unit costs for crash survivors by severity are higher for impaired driving than for other crashes. That suggests national aggregate impaired driving cost estimates in other countries are substantial underestimates if they are based on all-crash unit costs.

与酒精有关的撞车费用,美国,2010年。
本文估计了2010年美国与酒精有关的撞车事故的总成本和单位成本。利用早期研究的方法,我们根据MAIS、身体部位和骨折/脱位累及情况估计了每位坠机幸存者的成本。我们将这些数据乘以2010年NHTSA数据集的车祸发生率估计值,并对漏报的车祸和与酒精有关的事故进行了调整。单位成本是终身成本的3%折现。为了研究医疗费用,我们将2008年医疗保健利用计划中关于车祸幸存者住院和急诊室就诊的国家数据与先前对出院后费用的估计相结合。生产力损失是根据当前人口调查和美国时间使用调查数据得出的。生活质量损失来自2011年AAAM的一篇论文,财产损失来自保险数据。我们建立了一个混合事故档案,包括2008-2010年和1984-86年NHTSA碰撞监测数据,加权2010年一般估计系统权重。死亡数据来自2010年FARS。据估计,2010年有12%的撞车事故与酒精有关,但只有0.9%的行驶里程与酒精有关(BAC >.05)。与酒精有关的交通事故造成的损失估计为1250亿美元。这是所有车祸的社会成本的22.5%。酒精导致的撞车事故估计占美国汽车责任保险赔付的22.5%。与酒精有关的交通事故每杯花费0.86美元。在美国的BAC上限为0.08以上,事故成本为每英里8.37美元;788次旅行中有1次导致车祸,1016次旅行中有1次导致逮捕。事故幸存者按严重程度计算的单位成本,受损驾驶比其他事故要高。这表明,如果以所有事故的单位成本为基础,其他国家的全国总体受损驾驶成本估计大大低估了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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