The whole is just the sum of its parts: limited polydrug use among the "big three" expensive drugs in the United States.

Jonathan P Caulkins, Susan Everingham, Beau Kilmer, Greg Midgette
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Data from surveys of arrestees and the household population in the U.S. suggest there is only modest overlap among demand for the big three expensive illegal drugs (cocaine/crack, heroin, and methamphetamine). In particular, the number of chronic users of these substances (defined as consuming on four or more days in the previous month) is only about 10% below a naïve estimate obtained by simply summing the numbers of chronic users for each of the three substances, while ignoring polydrug use entirely. This finding does not gainsay that polydrug use is common or important. One would estimate greater overlap if one adopted a more expansive definition of polydrug use (e.g., has the individual ever used another substance at any time in their life) or a more expansive list of substances (e.g., allowing marijuana or alcohol to count as one of the substances makes polydrug use seem much more common). However, it does suggest that when focusing on the illegal drug markets that generate the most crime, violence, and overdose death in the U.S., one can usefully think of three more or less separate markets populated at any given time by largely distinct populations of drug users.

整体只是各部分的总和:在美国“三大”昂贵药物中,多种药物的使用有限。
对美国被捕者和家庭人口的调查数据表明,对三大昂贵非法毒品(可卡因/快克、海洛因和甲基苯丙胺)的需求只有适度的重叠。特别是,这些物质的长期使用者(定义为在上个月消费四天或四天以上)的数量仅比naïve估计的数字低10%左右,该估计是通过简单地将三种物质中的每种物质的长期使用者数量相加而完全忽略多种药物的使用而获得的。这一发现并不否认多种药物的使用是普遍或重要的。如果采用更广泛的多种药物使用定义(例如,个人是否在其生命中的任何时间使用过另一种物质)或更广泛的物质清单(例如,允许将大麻或酒精算作一种物质,使多种药物使用似乎更为普遍),则可以估计更多的重叠。然而,它确实表明,当关注在美国产生最多犯罪、暴力和过量死亡的非法毒品市场时,人们可以有效地考虑三个或多或少独立的市场,这些市场在任何给定时间由大量不同的吸毒者组成。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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