Associations between short-term changes in nitrogen dioxide and mortality in Canadian cities.

Richard T Burnett, Dave Stieb, Jeffrey R Brook, Sabit Cakmak, Robert Dales, Mark Raizenne, Renaud Vincent, Tom Dann
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引用次数: 184

Abstract

The association between daily variations in ambient concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and mortality was examined in 12 of Canada's largest cities, using a 19-yr time-series analysis (from 1981-1999). The authors employed parametric statistical methods that are not subject to the recently discovered convergence and error estimation problems of generalized additive models. An increase in the 3-d moving average of NO2 concentrations equivalent to the population-weighted study mean of 22.4 ppb was associated with a 2.25% (t = 4.45) increase in the daily nonaccidental mortality rate and was insensitive to adjustment for ozone, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, coefficient of haze, size-fractionated particulate mass, and the sulfate ion measured on an every-6th-day sampling schedule. The 3-d moving average of NO2 was sensitive to adjustment for fine particulate matter measured daily during the 1998-2000 time period.

加拿大城市中二氧化氮的短期变化与死亡率之间的关系。
利用19年的时间序列分析(1981-1999年),研究了加拿大12个最大城市的二氧化氮(NO2)环境浓度的日变化与死亡率之间的关系。作者采用参数统计方法,不受最近发现的广义加性模型的收敛性和误差估计问题的影响。相当于人口加权研究平均值22.4 ppb的二氧化氮3-d移动平均值的增加与每日非意外死亡率增加2.25% (t = 4.45)相关,并且对每6天采样计划中测量的臭氧、二氧化硫、一氧化碳、雾霾系数、大小分级颗粒质量和硫酸盐离子的调整不敏感。NO2的三维移动平均值对1998-2000年期间每日测量的细颗粒物调整敏感。
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