Estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from retrospective reports of mothers

James Trussell, Samuel Preston
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引用次数: 84

Abstract

In this paper we compare various models for estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from the type of data commonly available in developing countries. Specifically, we examine how much precision is lost as various pieces of information, such as dates of birth and death for each child, are discarded. The conclusion which we reach is that even incomplete mortality data of the type collected in household surveys or censuses can yield estimates which are very close to those based on the much richer wealth of data collected in detailed maternity histories. Two substantive conclusions of interest are that in the two countries (Sri Lanka and Korea) we examined, the education of the father has a significant and pronounced effect on childhood mortality even when the mother's education is controlled, and once other covariates are controlled, there is no difference between urban and rural childhood mortality.

从母亲回顾性报告中估计儿童死亡率的协变量
在本文中,我们比较了从发展中国家通常可获得的数据类型估计儿童死亡率协变量的各种模型。具体来说,我们检查了由于各种信息(如每个孩子的出生和死亡日期)被丢弃而损失了多少精度。我们得出的结论是,即使是在家庭调查或人口普查中收集的不完整的死亡率数据,也可以得出与基于详细的产妇历史中收集的更丰富的数据的估计非常接近的估计。两个令人感兴趣的实质性结论是,在我们研究的两个国家(斯里兰卡和韩国)中,即使在控制了母亲的教育程度的情况下,父亲的教育程度对儿童死亡率也有显著而显著的影响,一旦控制了其他协变量,城市和农村儿童死亡率之间就没有差异。
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