Prognostic factors for autologous bone marrow transplantation in acute leukaemia: a single centre study of 105 patients.

Abstract

Since the treatment of leukaemia by autologous bone marrow transplantation is becoming increasingly frequent, a retrospective study was undertaken to ascertain factors influencing the evolution of the disease (death and relapse). Data were collected over a period of 11 years for 105 patients with acute leukaemia (60 lymphoid cases and 45 myeloid cases). Multivariate analysis by the Cox model was used to determine prognostic factors for survival and disease free survival (DFS). Overall survival for the entire population was 35% after 8 years while DFS was 33% after 3 years. The major prognostic criteria were granulocyte recovery time (p < 0.001 at 5 weeks) and platelet recovery time (p < 0.02 at 6 weeks). Patients conditioned by an association of polychemotherapy and total body irradiation (TBI) showed a better survival rate than those conditioned by polychemotherapy alone (p < 0.01), with an overall survival of 48% after 3 years for the former group as compared to 19% for the latter. Other parameters influencing survival were the number of graft CFU-GM, sex and age. A knowledge of these factors could provide a means of predicting the long term evolution of leukaemia following autologous bone marrow transplantation. However, the present results require validation by a prospective study taking into account recent therapeutic protocols with haematopoietic growth factors.