Maria Clara Morais, Denise Padilha Abs de Almeida, Beatriz Laus Pereira Lima, Leticia Hanna Moura da Silva Gattas Graciolli, Aisulu Jessup, Maria Fernanda Andrade, Raquel Nogueira, Leandro Totti Cavazzola, Flavio Malcher, Diego Laurentino Lima
{"title":"Fragility of randomized clinical trials comparing surgical approaches for inguinal hernia repair: a systematic review.","authors":"Maria Clara Morais, Denise Padilha Abs de Almeida, Beatriz Laus Pereira Lima, Leticia Hanna Moura da Silva Gattas Graciolli, Aisulu Jessup, Maria Fernanda Andrade, Raquel Nogueira, Leandro Totti Cavazzola, Flavio Malcher, Diego Laurentino Lima","doi":"10.1007/s10029-026-03869-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) remain the reference standard for estimating causal effects of surgical interventions when appropriately designed and conducted. However, P values alone do not describe how sensitive a dichotomous statistical-significance classification is to small changes in outcome counts. The Fragility Index (FI) and Reverse Fragility Index (RFI) are post hoc descriptive metrics that quantify the number of outcome-status changes required to alter statistical significance. This study aimed to evaluate FI/RFI for inguinal hernia repair (IHR) RCT findings, assess individual complication endpoints, and examine associations with sample size and conflict-of-interest reporting.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Embase, PubMed, LILACS, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched through June 2025 for RCTs comparing open, laparoscopic, or robotic inguinal hernia repair with dichotomous primary outcomes. FI, RFI, and sample-size-adjusted quotients were calculated from reconstructed 2 × 2 tables using two-sided Fisher exact tests. Individual complications and associations with trial characteristics were analyzed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Forty-two RCTs comprising 14,505 patients and 44 primary comparisons were included; all eligible comparisons evaluated laparoscopic versus open repair. Twelve comparisons were significant, with a median FI of 4 (IQR, 3-5.25); 4 (33.3%) had an FI of 3 or less. Among 31 nonsignificant comparisons, the median RFI was 5 (IQR, 3.5-6.5). All 4 significant individual-complication results had an FI of 3 or less (median, 1). Significance classification differed between reported and recalculated P values in 4 of 78 extracted comparisons. FI was not significantly correlated with sample size.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Randomized trials remain central to comparative evidence in inguinal hernia repair. FI and RFI provide complementary post hoc context regarding how many outcome-status changes would alter a dichotomous significance classification and should be interpreted alongside prespecified trial design, effect estimates, confidence intervals, P values, sample size, missing data, and clinical relevance.</p>","PeriodicalId":13168,"journal":{"name":"Hernia","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7000,"publicationDate":"2026-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Hernia","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10029-026-03869-3","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"SURGERY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction: Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) remain the reference standard for estimating causal effects of surgical interventions when appropriately designed and conducted. However, P values alone do not describe how sensitive a dichotomous statistical-significance classification is to small changes in outcome counts. The Fragility Index (FI) and Reverse Fragility Index (RFI) are post hoc descriptive metrics that quantify the number of outcome-status changes required to alter statistical significance. This study aimed to evaluate FI/RFI for inguinal hernia repair (IHR) RCT findings, assess individual complication endpoints, and examine associations with sample size and conflict-of-interest reporting.
Methods: Embase, PubMed, LILACS, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched through June 2025 for RCTs comparing open, laparoscopic, or robotic inguinal hernia repair with dichotomous primary outcomes. FI, RFI, and sample-size-adjusted quotients were calculated from reconstructed 2 × 2 tables using two-sided Fisher exact tests. Individual complications and associations with trial characteristics were analyzed.
Results: Forty-two RCTs comprising 14,505 patients and 44 primary comparisons were included; all eligible comparisons evaluated laparoscopic versus open repair. Twelve comparisons were significant, with a median FI of 4 (IQR, 3-5.25); 4 (33.3%) had an FI of 3 or less. Among 31 nonsignificant comparisons, the median RFI was 5 (IQR, 3.5-6.5). All 4 significant individual-complication results had an FI of 3 or less (median, 1). Significance classification differed between reported and recalculated P values in 4 of 78 extracted comparisons. FI was not significantly correlated with sample size.
Conclusions: Randomized trials remain central to comparative evidence in inguinal hernia repair. FI and RFI provide complementary post hoc context regarding how many outcome-status changes would alter a dichotomous significance classification and should be interpreted alongside prespecified trial design, effect estimates, confidence intervals, P values, sample size, missing data, and clinical relevance.
期刊介绍:
Hernia was founded in 1997 by Jean P. Chevrel with the purpose of promoting clinical studies and basic research as they apply to groin hernias and the abdominal wall . Since that time, a true revolution in the field of hernia studies has transformed the field from a ”simple” disease to one that is very specialized. While the majority of surgeries for primary inguinal and abdominal wall hernia are performed in hospitals worldwide, complex situations such as multi recurrences, complications, abdominal wall reconstructions and others are being studied and treated in specialist centers. As a result, major institutions and societies are creating specific parameters and criteria to better address the complexities of hernia surgery.
Hernia is a journal written by surgeons who have made abdominal wall surgery their specific field of interest, but we will consider publishing content from any surgeon who wishes to improve the science of this field. The Journal aims to ensure that hernia surgery is safer and easier for surgeons as well as patients, and provides a forum to all surgeons in the exchange of new ideas, results, and important research that is the basis of professional activity.