{"title":"Pseudo, or Not? Neo-Goodwinian Growth Cycles With Financial Linkages","authors":"Rudiger von Arnim, Luis Felipe Eick","doi":"10.1111/meca.70015","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>A profit-led Goodwin mechanism generates the observed counterclockwise activity–labor share cycle. Introducing a financial linkage can reproduce this pattern even when demand is not profit-led. This paper extends neo-Goodwinian theory by incorporating the valuation ratio into a four-dimensional model. We show that the model can generate a limit cycle and that the Goodwin pattern arises in simulations without profit-led demand when financial interactions are present. Redistribution affects cyclical dynamics but has no steady-state growth effects.</p>","PeriodicalId":46885,"journal":{"name":"Metroeconomica","volume":"77 4","pages":"422-437"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2026-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/meca.70015","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Metroeconomica","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/meca.70015","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/2/18 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
A profit-led Goodwin mechanism generates the observed counterclockwise activity–labor share cycle. Introducing a financial linkage can reproduce this pattern even when demand is not profit-led. This paper extends neo-Goodwinian theory by incorporating the valuation ratio into a four-dimensional model. We show that the model can generate a limit cycle and that the Goodwin pattern arises in simulations without profit-led demand when financial interactions are present. Redistribution affects cyclical dynamics but has no steady-state growth effects.