{"title":"The central bank as safe haven: Flight-to-safety, democratization, and credit contraction in the Spanish Second Republic","authors":"Enrique Jorge-Sotelo","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101789","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the past, central banks were also retail institutions, directly accepting deposits from the public. This article studies a historical episode of flight-to-safety during a banking crisis in which large depositors withdrew their deposits from banks, moving them not only abroad or into cash, but also into the central bank. I ask how this safe-haven channel shaped the financial backdrop of democratization in interwar Spain. The 1931 proclamation of the Second Republic turned long-repressed demands for redistribution into a credible, if uncertain, redistributive threat to large depositors, triggering a run on bank deposits and capital flight, to which authorities responded by restricting capital mobility. Because opening and using a <em>Banco de España</em> (BdE) retail account required a very high initial deposit and subsequent contributions, access was formally open but effectively restricted to large bank depositors. Using new branch-level balance-sheet data, I document a stronger flight-to-safety to BdE deposits in cities where banks lost more deposits, show that this inflow was persistent, and find that the BdE did not use it to expand credit or replace banks’ lost intermediation due to the run on their deposits. Flight-to-safety into central bank liabilities thus let large depositors preserve the nominal value of their wealth, but without an offsetting expansion of public (central bank) money, the resulting fall in private money went uncompensated — contributing to the credit contraction that marked the democratic Republic’s first months.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 101789"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Explorations in Economic History","FirstCategoryId":"98","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014498326000501","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/9/30 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In the past, central banks were also retail institutions, directly accepting deposits from the public. This article studies a historical episode of flight-to-safety during a banking crisis in which large depositors withdrew their deposits from banks, moving them not only abroad or into cash, but also into the central bank. I ask how this safe-haven channel shaped the financial backdrop of democratization in interwar Spain. The 1931 proclamation of the Second Republic turned long-repressed demands for redistribution into a credible, if uncertain, redistributive threat to large depositors, triggering a run on bank deposits and capital flight, to which authorities responded by restricting capital mobility. Because opening and using a Banco de España (BdE) retail account required a very high initial deposit and subsequent contributions, access was formally open but effectively restricted to large bank depositors. Using new branch-level balance-sheet data, I document a stronger flight-to-safety to BdE deposits in cities where banks lost more deposits, show that this inflow was persistent, and find that the BdE did not use it to expand credit or replace banks’ lost intermediation due to the run on their deposits. Flight-to-safety into central bank liabilities thus let large depositors preserve the nominal value of their wealth, but without an offsetting expansion of public (central bank) money, the resulting fall in private money went uncompensated — contributing to the credit contraction that marked the democratic Republic’s first months.
过去,央行也是零售机构,直接接受公众存款。这篇文章研究了银行危机期间的一个避险历史事件,在这个事件中,大储户从银行取出存款,不仅将存款转移到国外或换成现金,而且还转移到央行。我问,这种避险渠道如何塑造了两次世界大战之间西班牙民主化的金融背景。1931年法兰西第二共和国的宣告,将长期压抑的再分配要求,变成了对大储户的可信(尽管不确定)再分配威胁,引发了银行存款挤兑和资本外逃,对此当局的回应是限制资本流动。由于开设和使用Banco de España (BdE)零售账户需要非常高的初始存款和后续缴款,因此该账户虽然正式开放,但实际上仅限于大银行储户。通过使用新的分支机构资产负债表数据,我记录了在银行存款损失更多的城市,BdE存款出现了更强的避险外逃,表明这种流入是持续的,并发现BdE没有利用它来扩大信贷或取代银行因存款挤兑而失去的中介作用。因此,向央行负债的避险行为让大储户保留了他们财富的名义价值,但没有公共(央行)资金的抵消性扩张,由此导致的私人资金减少没有得到补偿——导致了这个民主共和国最初几个月的信贷收缩。
期刊介绍:
Explorations in Economic History provides broad coverage of the application of economic analysis to historical episodes. The journal has a tradition of innovative applications of theory and quantitative techniques, and it explores all aspects of economic change, all historical periods, all geographical locations, and all political and social systems. The journal includes papers by economists, economic historians, demographers, geographers, and sociologists. Explorations in Economic History is the only journal where you will find "Essays in Exploration." This unique department alerts economic historians to the potential in a new area of research, surveying the recent literature and then identifying the most promising issues to pursue.