Garyoung Lee, Aryaman Jha, Kurt Wiesenfeld, Jorge Laval
{"title":"Universal scaling laws in freeway traffic.","authors":"Garyoung Lee, Aryaman Jha, Kurt Wiesenfeld, Jorge Laval","doi":"10.1093/pnasnexus/pgag302","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Traffic congestion, a daily frustration for millions and a multi-billion dollar drain on economies, has long resisted deep physical understanding. While simple theoretical models of traffic flow have suggested connections to critical phenomena and non-equilibrium universality, direct empirical validation is lacking. Using extensive, high-resolution vehicle trajectory data from the I-24 MOTION testbed, we show that traffic flow exhibits both a percolation phase transition with signatures consistent with self-organized criticality and fluctuations consistent with the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality in 1+1 dimensions. This suggests that the complex and seemingly chaotic formation of traffic jams has predictable statistical properties, which opens new avenues in traffic science for developing advanced forecasting and management strategies grounded in universal scaling laws.</p>","PeriodicalId":74468,"journal":{"name":"PNAS nexus","volume":"5 9","pages":"pgag302"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8000,"publicationDate":"2026-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13623007/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"PNAS nexus","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgag302","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/9/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Traffic congestion, a daily frustration for millions and a multi-billion dollar drain on economies, has long resisted deep physical understanding. While simple theoretical models of traffic flow have suggested connections to critical phenomena and non-equilibrium universality, direct empirical validation is lacking. Using extensive, high-resolution vehicle trajectory data from the I-24 MOTION testbed, we show that traffic flow exhibits both a percolation phase transition with signatures consistent with self-organized criticality and fluctuations consistent with the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality in 1+1 dimensions. This suggests that the complex and seemingly chaotic formation of traffic jams has predictable statistical properties, which opens new avenues in traffic science for developing advanced forecasting and management strategies grounded in universal scaling laws.