Universal scaling laws in freeway traffic.

IF 4.8 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
PNAS nexus Pub Date : 2026-09-29 eCollection Date: 2026-09-01 DOI:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgag302
Garyoung Lee, Aryaman Jha, Kurt Wiesenfeld, Jorge Laval
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Traffic congestion, a daily frustration for millions and a multi-billion dollar drain on economies, has long resisted deep physical understanding. While simple theoretical models of traffic flow have suggested connections to critical phenomena and non-equilibrium universality, direct empirical validation is lacking. Using extensive, high-resolution vehicle trajectory data from the I-24 MOTION testbed, we show that traffic flow exhibits both a percolation phase transition with signatures consistent with self-organized criticality and fluctuations consistent with the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality in 1+1 dimensions. This suggests that the complex and seemingly chaotic formation of traffic jams has predictable statistical properties, which opens new avenues in traffic science for developing advanced forecasting and management strategies grounded in universal scaling laws.

高速公路交通的普遍尺度规律。
交通拥堵是数百万人每天的烦恼,给经济造成数十亿美元的损失。长期以来,人们一直无法深入了解交通拥堵。虽然简单的理论模型表明了交通流与关键现象和非平衡普遍性的联系,但缺乏直接的经验验证。利用I-24 MOTION试验台的大量高分辨率车辆轨迹数据,我们发现交通流在1+1维度上既表现出符合自组织临界特征的渗流相变,也表现出符合kardar - paris - zhang普适性的波动。这表明,交通拥堵的复杂和看似混乱的形成具有可预测的统计特性,这为交通科学开发基于普遍标度定律的先进预测和管理策略开辟了新的途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
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0
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