Tropical Easterly Waves in the Tropical North Atlantic Basin

IF 4.5 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Orlando L. Córdova‐García, Rogert Sorí, Ricardo M. Trigo, Raquel Nieto, Luis Gimeno, Milica Stojanovic, Albenis Pérez‐Alarcón
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Tropical easterly waves (TEWs) serve as precursors to most Atlantic tropical cyclones and strongly modulate the hydrological cycle over West Africa, the tropical Atlantic, and the Caribbean region. Despite significant advances, uncertainties remain regarding the processes governing TEW maintenance and intensification, the relationship with tropical cyclogenesis, and future projections of TEW activity under global warming. Progress on these fronts is constrained by persistent disparities in tracking methodologies, limited observational understanding of moisture–convection feedbacks across scales, and the inability of global climate models to resolve small‐scale processes. This review synthesizes the current state of TEW research, from genesis and tracking methodologies to the multiscale impacts of TEWs on tropical cyclogenesis and regional precipitation, and accounts for the modulation of climate variability modes and future behavior under global warming. We also propose a coordinated research roadmap, including a community‐driven intercomparison initiative analogous to those successfully implemented for other complex atmospheric phenomena to reconcile uncertainties in tracking methodologies. In addition, we stress the need for intensive field campaigns to validate high‐resolution convection‐permitting modeling and train artificial intelligence–driven algorithms. Taken together, these initiatives provide a pathway to resolve outstanding uncertainties and improve the reliability of future TEW projections under global warming.
热带北大西洋海盆的热带东风波
热带东风波(TEWs)是大多数大西洋热带气旋的前兆,对西非、热带大西洋和加勒比地区的水文循环具有强烈的调节作用。尽管取得了重大进展,但关于TEW维持和增强的过程、与热带气旋形成的关系以及全球变暖下TEW活动的未来预测仍存在不确定性。这些方面的进展受到以下因素的限制:跟踪方法的持续差异、对跨尺度的水分对流反馈的有限观测理解以及全球气候模式无法解决小尺度过程。本文综述了TEW的研究现状,从起源和跟踪方法到TEW对热带气旋形成和区域降水的多尺度影响,并解释了全球变暖下气候变率模式和未来行为的调节。我们还提出了一个协调的研究路线图,包括一个社区驱动的相互比较倡议,类似于那些成功实施的其他复杂大气现象,以调和跟踪方法中的不确定性。此外,我们强调需要密集的实地活动来验证高分辨率对流允许建模和训练人工智能驱动的算法。综上所述,这些举措为解决全球变暖背景下突出的不确定性和提高未来TEW预测的可靠性提供了一条途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 综合性期刊-综合性期刊
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
1.90%
发文量
193
审稿时长
2-4 weeks
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the New York Academy of Sciences, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences provides multidisciplinary perspectives on research of current scientific interest with far-reaching implications for the wider scientific community and society at large. Each special issue assembles the best thinking of key contributors to a field of investigation at a time when emerging developments offer the promise of new insight. Individually themed, Annals special issues stimulate new ways to think about science by providing a neutral forum for discourse—within and across many institutions and fields.
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