Assessing risk: a toolkit for measuring regional supply-chain exposure to global shocks

IF 4.1 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Economic Geography Pub Date : 2026-09-23 DOI:10.1093/jeg/lbag065

Richard Baldwin,Rebecca Freeman,Angelos Theodorakopoulos

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract This article sheds light on the complexities of global supply chains’ (GSCs) subnational dimensions, including how international shocks propagate spatially. It develops a systematic approach or toolkit for analyzing how global shocks affect the regional distribution of GSCs. Using the toolkit, it derives a family of GSC indicators that distinguish between import- and export-side exposure, direct (face-value) and indirect (hidden exposure) linkages, and gross versus value-added flows. The article then applies the indicators to multiregional input–output data to highlight how global shocks propagate unevenly across regions and how impacts vary with the nature of the shock and a region’s type of exposure.

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风险评估：衡量区域供应链对全球冲击敞口的工具包

本文揭示了全球供应链（GSCs）次国家层面的复杂性，包括国际冲击如何在空间上传播。它开发了一种系统的方法或工具包，用于分析全球冲击如何影响全球服务提供商的区域分布。通过使用该工具包，它得出了一系列GSC指标，这些指标区分了进口侧和出口侧风险敞口、直接（面值）和间接（隐藏风险敞口）联系，以及总流量与增值流量。然后，本文将这些指标应用于多地区的投入产出数据，以突出全球冲击如何在不同地区之间不均匀地传播，以及影响如何随着冲击的性质和一个地区的风险类型而变化。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Economic Geography Multiple-

CiteScore

5.40

自引率

6.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： The aims of the Journal of Economic Geography are to redefine and reinvigorate the intersection between economics and geography, and to provide a world-class journal in the field. The journal is steered by a distinguished team of Editors and an Editorial Board, drawn equally from the two disciplines. It publishes original academic research and discussion of the highest scholarly standard in the field of ''economic geography'' broadly defined. Submitted papers are refereed, and are evaluated on the basis of their creativity, quality of scholarship, and contribution to advancing understanding of the geographic nature of economic systems and global economic change.