Bridging the Storage Gap in Renewable Power Systems: A Systematic Meta-Analysis

IF 4
Energy Storage Pub Date : 2026-09-15 DOI:10.1002/est2.70522
Suleman Bawa
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The rapid expansion of wind and solar power has exposed a fundamental challenge in electricity systems: aligning variable generation with continuous demand. This study addresses this temporal imbalance through a systematic meta-analysis of 112 techno-economic studies published between 2018 and 2025, with all cost data harmonized to 2024 conditions under consistent financial and operational assumptions. The novelty of this study lies in the joint application of: (1) a harmonized analytical framework that combines updated cost benchmarks with learning-based projections to reduce bias from publication lag; (2) climate-zone stratification that directly tests the structural “latitude bias” in the literature; (3) life-cycle critical-mineral-intensity indicators; and (4) an explicit distinction between storage-level and system-level costs. The results show that lithium-ion batteries remain cost-effective for short-duration applications. However, recent cost declines extend their competitiveness beyond earlier estimates, with the economic duration threshold now more fluid than previously assumed. For mid-duration storage, flow batteries and metal-air systems exhibit more stable cost scaling, with iron-air technologies emerging as a low-cost option with projected capital costs of approximately $22/kWh. For long-duration and seasonal storage, hydrogen becomes economically relevant in regions with pronounced seasonal variability. In contrast, in tropical systems, solar overbuilding combined with moderate-duration storage achieves comparable reliability under the modeled tropical-system assumptions at approximately 30% lower system cost than the hydrogen-based seasonal storage benchmark. Cost outcomes are highly sensitive to assumptions such as charging prices, discount rates, and reliability criteria. Distinguishing between storage-level and system-level costs reveals that optimal solutions depend on both technology characteristics and regional resource patterns. Overall, no single technology dominates across all durations; cost-effective decarbonization requires a portfolio of storage solutions supported by market frameworks that value reliability and flexibility.

弥合可再生能源系统的存储差距:一个系统的元分析
风能和太阳能的迅速发展暴露了电力系统面临的一个根本性挑战:如何使可变发电与持续需求保持一致。本研究通过对2018年至2025年间发表的112项技术经济研究进行系统元分析,解决了这种时间失衡问题,所有成本数据在一致的财务和运营假设下与2024年的条件相协调。本研究的新颖之处在于联合应用:(1)一个统一的分析框架,将更新的成本基准与基于学习的预测相结合,以减少出版滞后的偏见;(2)直接检验文献中结构性“纬度偏差”的气候带分层;(3)生命周期临界矿物强度指标;(4)明确区分存储级和系统级成本。结果表明,锂离子电池在短期应用中仍然具有成本效益。然而,最近的成本下降使它们的竞争力超出了先前的估计,经济持续时间阈值现在比以前假设的更具流动性。对于中期储能,液流电池和金属-空气系统表现出更稳定的成本规模,铁-空气技术作为一种低成本的选择,预计资本成本约为22美元/千瓦时。对于长期和季节性储存,氢在具有明显季节性变化的地区具有经济意义。相比之下,在热带系统中,在模拟的热带系统假设下,太阳能过度建设与中等持续时间储能相结合,以比基于氢的季节性储能基准低约30%的系统成本实现了相当的可靠性。成本结果对收费价格、折扣率和可靠性标准等假设非常敏感。对存储级和系统级成本的区分表明,最优解决方案取决于技术特征和区域资源模式。总的来说,没有一种技术在所有的持续时间里都占据主导地位;具有成本效益的脱碳需要由重视可靠性和灵活性的市场框架支持的存储解决方案组合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
2.90
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