The Democratic Legitimacy of the Micro-Deliberative Shortcut: A Defense of Randomly Selecting Legislators

IF 0.9 3区 哲学 Q3 ETHICS
Journal of Social Philosophy Pub Date : 2026-09-07 Epub Date: 2024-11-10 DOI:10.1111/josp.12598
Eric Shoemaker
{"title":"The Democratic Legitimacy of the Micro-Deliberative Shortcut: A Defense of Randomly Selecting Legislators","authors":"Eric Shoemaker","doi":"10.1111/josp.12598","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The recent increase in the use of minipublics composed of randomly selected citizens for political purposes has been an exciting development in the history of democracy. The real-world instantiations of these bodies, such as the Ireland Citizens' Assembly, and the Citizens Convention for Climate in France, have been precipitated by the enthusiastic scholarly attention minipublics have received over the past several decades from philosophers and political scientists.</p><p>Some of these philosophers and political scientists have argued that elected legislators should be replaced by “deliberative minipublics.” Such legislatures would be composed of randomly selected citizens. Several of the arguments made by these theorists in favor of empowered minipublics focus on the epistemic properties of bodies composed of randomly selected citizens.\n <sup>1</sup>\n These theorists argue that such bodies, when they are fit into the appropriate institutional structure, make more informed decisions that are more conducive to advancing the public interest. Others have focused their advocacy around the egalitarian character of deliberative minipublics.\n <sup>2</sup>\n Others claim that distributing legislative power by lot is a potent means of preventing corruption.\n <sup>3</sup>\n Some have focused on the potential for empowered minipublics to act as a means of republican education and mobilization.\n <sup>4</sup>\n \n </p><p>One of the most compelling and extensively developed criticisms raised against legislative minipublics comes from Cristina Lafont, articulated first in “Deliberation, participation, and democratic legitimacy: Should deliberative mini-publics shape public policy?” and subsequently in her book <i>Democracy Without Shortcuts</i>. In the context of defending a participatory conception of deliberative democracy, Lafont argues that minipublics should not be given decisive legislative power because democratic legitimacy requires both that the whole public deliberates, and that the whole public's opinion be decisive. When a minipublic deliberates, Lafont grants, their decision is a good indicator of what the public would have wanted if it had deliberated—but in fact, the public has not deliberated.\n <sup>5</sup>\n Giving this counterfactual version of public opinion power over the law is an attempt to take what she calls the “micro-deliberative shortcut” to democracy.\n <sup>6</sup>\n Lafont's book has been the subject of extensive commentary,\n <sup>7</sup>\n and because of the strength of the case Lafont makes against minipublics, her objection looms large over the advocacy for empowering deliberative minipublics. In this article, I aim to answer Lafont's objection, and defend the “micro-deliberative shortcut.”</p><p>In section one, I analyze Lafont's argument against the use of empowered minipublics in the context of her participatory conception of democracy. Lafont's objection comes in two parts. First, an argument against the political legitimacy of minipublics resting on her contention that ordinary citizens are asked to “blindly defer” to them. Second, an empirical argument that if legislation were done exclusively through empowered minipublics, public policy would be shifted far out of alignment with the policy preferences of ordinary citizens over time. In section two, I address the empirical argument, and give three reasons to suppose that Lafont's speculative outcome of legislation by empowered minipublics would not come to pass. In section three, I address her argument that citizens blindly defer to empowered minipublics. I argue that the concept of blind deference is overly broad such that any political system which involved representation or majority rule would involve blind deference. In section four, I address Lafont's participatory conception of democracy more directly. I argue that the “correspondence first” concept of legitimacy which this conception relies on cannot support the conclusion that democratic participation is normatively important, and that for this reason we should reject it. In section five, I consider a broader question raised by Lafont's critique, about whether the decisions of minipublics can be democratically legitimate if they contradict public opinion. I note that in many cases, there will be no ‘public opinion’ on the question before a legislative minipublic. I discuss the implications of this fact for questions concerning the democratic legitimacy of legislation by minipublics.</p><p>In this section I will argue that the essence of Lafont's argument against empowered minipublics is that if they are used, the decisions of the lawmakers will not correspond to the decisions that those whom they represent would have made.\n <sup>8</sup>\n This is a two-part claim, about the legitimacy of minipublics as lawmakers on the one hand, and about the effects of empowered minipublics on deliberation in the broader public sphere. I shall go on to argue in Sections 2 and 3 that both of these arguments fail.</p><p>Lafont's main objective is to argue for a participatory conception of democracy that does not use “shortcuts.”\n <sup>9</sup>\n She argues against the use of empowered minipublics as a reform to presently existing electoral democracies. James Fishkin, in critiquing Lafont's argument against empowered minipublics, frames himself as agreeing with Lafont that ideally, every member of the public would deliberate about matters of public policy, arrive at something resembling a consensus about what to do, and that this would be enacted into law by political representatives. Fishkin advances the claim that the second-best alternative, when the first-best alternative is circumstantially impossible because the public has not deliberated, is to have policy be decided by empowered minipublics.\n <sup>10</sup>\n When there must be some trade-off between deliberation and participation, we should maximize deliberation while maintaining citizen equality using empowered minipublics. Fishkin argues, and Lafont accepts this characterization of her view, that for her it is the reverse: we must do what the public in aggregate wants, even when they have not deliberated.\n <sup>11</sup>\n In other words, correspondence between public opinion and public policy is of paramount importance on Lafont's view. Lafont seems reticent to accept the legitimacy of any compromise on correspondence for the sake of achieving other democratic objectives.</p><p>On Lafont's view, minipublics will predictably sabotage this correspondence, and for that reason they are not legitimate as political representatives. There are two parts to this argument. The first concerns the legitimacy of minipublics as political representatives directly and the second concerns their impact on the deliberative system.</p><p>First, let us consider Lafont's empirical argument. If Lafont were correct that minipublics would sabotage progress towards full deliberative democracy, then Lafont would have a strong case against empowered minipublics. But there are at least three important reasons to believe that her speculative outcome of the long-term effects of empowered minipublics would not come to pass.</p><p>First, Lafont says that the misalignment problem for empowered minipublics “is a direct consequence of assuming that this use of minipublics would be successful,”\n <sup>25</sup>\n in that the minipublic is redundant except where it acts contrary to public opinion. On the contrary, the direct consequence of this sort of success is only that initially after the law is passed, the law does not align with public opinion. This cannot establish that over the long term this lack of alignment would persist—that contention is speculative. To provide some countervailing speculation: citizens may not necessarily drift farther and farther out of alignment with the laws they live under because the experience of living under such laws could potentially persuade citizens to endorse those laws. Given that Lafont is happy to grant for the sake of argument that the members of the minipublic act in a public-spirited way and are competent as legislators, her case that over time citizens would remain in the dark about why most of their laws are justified despite experiencing these good laws in action seems overstated.</p><p>Second and more potently, Lafont's argument here seems to hinge on the idea that if legislative decisions were made by empowered minipublics, all of the reasons we have to want to transform public opinion under more participatory forms of democracy would disappear. But that would not be the case: people who wish to change the law or prevent it from being changed have important reasons to persuade their fellow citizens to agree with them. The values and beliefs of ordinary citizens are the starting point from which an empowered minipublic proceeds in its deliberation. Deliberation about whether or not abortion ought to be legal will proceed differently, and perhaps reach a different conclusion, in minipublic composed of a random selection of Indonesian citizens (74% of whom believe abortion should be illegal) than one composed of random Swedish citizens (87% of whom believe abortion should be legal).\n <sup>26</sup>\n For this reason, and because who will be selected to sit on a minipublic is not predictable, organizations which wish to effect political change will wish to sway public opinion to their side to change the starting point of the debate. Furthermore, because their aim is to persuade those citizens who will go on to deliberate (rather than citizens who will go on to vote in elections and referendums) these organizations would have to furnish ordinary citizens with good reasons to support their legislative program that stand up to deliberative scrutiny.\n <sup>27</sup>\n This change in incentives for advocacy organizations may well bring us closer to Lafont's deliberative democracy rather than farther away from it.</p><p>Finally, if Lafont is correct that democratic legitimacy depends on the alignment of citizen's preferences with their laws then that by itself is a powerful reason for the government and civil society organizations to try to bring that alignment about, using public information campaigns.\n <sup>28</sup>\n As Lafont acknowledges, the deliberation of empowered minipublics can provide us with a powerful resource that is useful for changing public opinion. In Chapter 5 of <i>Democracy Without Shortcuts</i>, Lafont endorses the use of non-empowered minipublics to enhance deliberation in the public sphere. On Lafont's view, the epistemic qualities of minipublics make them good candidates to fulfill important functions “that are not very different from those that traditional media outlets fulfill.”\n <sup>29</sup>\n They would do so by making the most relevant arguments for and against political decisions, by filtering out irrelevant or manipulative considerations while highlighting “key information, potential trade-offs, and long-term consequences of the available alternatives as evaluated from the various political perspectives that resonate with the citizenry of a political community at a given time.”\n <sup>30</sup>\n We should expect that their arguments will resonate with the citizenry “Precisely because their participants are a mirror of the people as a whole.”\n <sup>31</sup>\n If Lafont can accept that non-empowered minipublics are capable of being persuasive and informative in this way, she should likewise accept that through a concerted effort to inform the public about the deliberations of empowered minipublics, they could fulfill the same function and bring about closer alignment between public opinion and the minipublic made public policy.</p><p>Several other commenters on Lafont's work have made similar observations about the potential persuasiveness of minipublic deliberation. William Talbot claims that minipublic deliberation would be “must-see reality TV” because ordinary citizens would be able to see themselves in at least some of the deliberating members of the minipublic.\n <sup>32</sup>\n Tinnevalt argues that in providing arguments from the perspectives of ordinary citizens for and against certain policy proposals through their deliberations, the empowered minipublics could take over the important functions that political parties perform for deliberation in the public sphere.\n <sup>33</sup>\n Fishkin claims that because empowered minipublics would produce all of these resonant arguments, even citizens who are not persuaded will ordinarily be able to see that their perspective was taken seriously by those deliberating.\n <sup>34</sup>\n \n </p><p>While Lafont does contest the claims made by Tinnevalt that the role minipublics could fulfill is the same as the role fulfilled by political parties,\n <sup>35</sup>\n her main line of defense against arguments such as these is to fall back on the first argument described in the previous section: her legitimacy critique of deliberative minipublics. In Response to Talbot, Lafont says that if empowered-mini publics “are allowed to pass legislation that goes against the actual opinion of large majorities, then the legitimacy of their authority cannot be based on the democratic ground of an overall responsiveness to citizens' demands.”\n <sup>36</sup>\n This form of decision making is not democratic because it expects “citizens to blindly defer to the decisions of minipublics' participants.”\n <sup>37</sup>\n \n </p><p>Now that we have seen why Lafont's empirical argument that minipublics will sabotage the development of deliberative democracy over time is not conclusive, we can evaluate her blind deference argument. We must ask: what exactly is “blind deference”, and why is it democratically illegitimate?</p><p>This definition has two important aspects: (1) citizens maintain control over their representatives (the control requirement), (2) and it is for that reason that we should suppose that the decisions the representative makes are the ones that the agent who is deferring would have made if they had thought about it.</p><p>I want to consider two interpretations of the control requirement and argue that both have fatal implications for Lafont's legitimacy critique of legislative minipublics. On the <i>strong control requirement</i> interpretation, if citizens are not in control, then citizens blindly defer. On the <i>weak control requirement</i> interpretation, control is instrumentally valuable because it gives us a strong reason to suppose that the decisions the representative makes are the decisions their constituent would have made if they had thought about it, and any other means of ensuring this would be just as good.</p><p>If we set aside the concept of “blind deference” Lafont's participatory conception of democracy may contain a more straightforward criticism of the legitimacy of empowered minipublics. Empowered minipublics may often pass laws that the public, in aggregate, does not support. According to Lafont's theory of democratic legitimacy this by itself is democratically illegitimate, and so because we should expect empowered minipublics to do this more often than contemplatable alternative democratic systems, they are worse. In this section, I argue that Lafont's conception of democratic legitimacy ought to be rejected.</p><p>Here Lafont identifies seeing the laws which one is subject to as one's own with having a preference for those laws, which is to say, believing that those laws are substantively good. She also identifies deliberation as instrumentally valuable for the sake of bringing about these changes in preferences. This suggests that the law is maximally legitimate when there is consensus among citizens that the law is good, and proportionally less legitimate when citizens disagree with one another about the substantive merits of the law. Lafont makes clear that it is this relationship between the attitudes of citizens and the law that matters to democratic legitimacy.\n <sup>68</sup>\n \n </p><p>If so, then Lafont's objection to giving minipublics decisive power over public policy as a second-best alternative to deliberative democracy when the public has not deliberated follows quite automatically from this conception of what democratic legitimacy requires. The “raw” public opinion will be superior in terms of democratic legitimacy as a basis for decision-making to the minipublic in any instance where they disagree.</p><p>However, this conception of democratic legitimacy, on which political alienation (citizens not “identifying with” the law) is the primary evil to be avoided, cannot single out democratic forms of government as uniquely or even especially democratically legitimate. This is a problem for Lafont, as she clearly intends for her concept of democratic legitimacy to do this. To see why Lafont's concept of legitimacy fails to achieve this, consider this thought experiment. Imagine a very charismatic king, who is exceedingly successful at persuading his subjects that his decisions are right. This king is ideologically committed to the superiority of autocratic rule, and very stubborn, so the opinions of the people on matters of state do not figure into his decisions about what the public policy on any matter shall be. However, once he has made up his mind about what to do, he implements the policy, and sets out to convince his subjects that his chosen policy is for the best. In fact, this king is such an excellent rhetorician and shrewd censor of dissenting opinion that his public information campaigns always convince at least 80% of the public of the virtues of his preferred course of action.</p><p>Despite Lafont's ambition to single out democratic forms of government as uniquely democratically legitimate, this understanding of democratic legitimacy implies that this king's policies are very legitimate. The citizens living under the king's government would not be alienated from the law, and it is the king's propaganda that facilitates this.\n <sup>69</sup>\n As this thought experiment shows, if deliberation's meaning is that it is instrumentally valuable for bringing about changes in preferences that enhance democratic legitimacy, then the value of deliberation at least theoretically could pale in comparison with incompatible policies, such as censorship of dissenting ideas.</p><p>Lafont clearly does not intend to argue that popular monarchy is democratic, stating: “authorship in political decisionmaking is an inextricable component of the democratic ideal. Certainly, political systems in which citizens are never allowed to make any important political decisions (e.g. by voting) do not count as democratic.”\n <sup>70</sup>\n However, it is difficult to see how a conception of democratic legitimacy rooted in popular identification with laws rather than democratic procedures can support this conclusion.</p><p>Lafont's “correspondence first” concept of legitimacy leads us to the conclusion that in the non-ideal circumstance where citizens have not deliberated, and where the king's government would do a better job maximizing correspondence and hence minimizing alienation than a procedurally democratic legislature, that the king's government is more legitimate. Furthermore, Lafont's argument implies that fewer citizen's “blindly defer” to the king than they would to a less convincing elected democratic legislature. This should not be an acceptable result to deliberative democrats.</p><p>Lafont claims that “requiring that literally all those subject to the law would simultaneously be the authors of the law as well” would be so demanding that it cannot be action-guiding for a complex society such as ours.\n <sup>71</sup>\n Instead Lafont embraces the relaxed requirement that citizens first and foremost “should not be subject to laws that one cannot <b>\n <i>see</i>\n </b> oneself as an author” [emphasis added].\n <sup>72</sup>\n For Lafont, democratic legitimacy is determined by how citizens <i>feel</i> about the laws they live under, not their role in creating them. Lafont confronts the fact that under representative democracy ordinary people manifestly are not the authors of the laws that govern them by requiring only that people can “identify with the political decisions to which they are subject, and endorse them as their own.”\n <sup>73</sup>\n Lafont claims that her conception of democratic legitimacy shows that “political systems that have structures of representation where citizens participate in decision-making count as “democratic” even if, as is the case in all contemporary democracies, that participation is rather limited.”\n <sup>74</sup>\n Unfortunately it shows more than this. It cannot show that these limited structures of participation are required.</p><p>For the same reason, this concept of legitimacy cannot support an objection to empowered minipublics. If Lafont's problem with empowered minipublics is not their procedural legitimacy, but instead that their use would lead to citizens being alienated from the laws that govern them, then a variety of solutions would seem to be available to persuade citizens to agree with the minipublic's plolicies after they are enacted, as I have argued in Section 2.</p><p>But perhaps more effectively than any of these correspondence-achieving mechanisms mentioned in Section 2, the government could use propaganda and censorship to cajole the public into getting behind the policies which the minipublic has chosen. In my view, it would certainly not be democratic to stifle public debate outside of empowered minipublics by silencing dissenters and flooding the media landscape with information that manipulates the public into identifying with public policy. However, through this “propaganda shortcut” strategy, we would get public policy that is based on what the public would have wanted if it had deliberated, and alignment between public policy and public preferences. Lafont's account has no resources to explain why this shortcut should be rejected.</p><p>Lafont rejects accounts of democracy that prioritize the value of democratic procedures (which she calls the “procedural shortcut”) and accounts of democracy that prioritize the value of citizen equality (which she calls the “micro-deliberative shortcut”) in favor of an account of democracy which prioritizes the value of avoiding alienation. She accuses these conceptions of democracy of “bypassing the actual beliefs and attitudes of its own citizens” and aiming to “make a political community better than its members[…] by leaving their citizens behind.”\n <sup>75</sup>\n What Lafont does not see is that the very enterprise of trying to pick a second-best alternative to full deliberative democracy is the enterprise of picking which “shortcut” is tentatively acceptable on the path to further democratic development. The “micro-deliberative shortcut” bypasses the actual beliefs and attitudes of citizens only in the same way that Lafont's “correspondence shortcut” bypasses deliberation: tentatively. Lafont has chosen to make correspondence top priority, before deliberation and before procedural democracy, and she has chosen wrongly. As I have shown, this choice leads to deeply counter-intuitive results for democratic legitimacy, and cannot support the critique of the legitimacy of empowered minipublics that she would like to make.</p><p>If what I have said above is correct, then Lafont has not given us good support for the conclusion that legislation by deliberative minipublics is politically illegitimate. Additionally Lafont has not provided us with a reason to suppose that when there is a conflict between actual non-deliberative public opinion, and counterfactual deliberative public opinion, that a body which enacts the counterfactual public opinion acts undemocratically. Nevertheless, there is a sort of intuitive force to the idea that actual non-deliberative public opinion ought to prevail over counterfactual deliberative public opinion, even if Lafont's argument fails to provide us with a justification for this claim. Might it be that Lafont's conclusion that actual public opinion must always prevail is correct even if her argument cannot support it?</p><p>This is a very broad question that I cannot adequately address in this paper. There is one facet of this question of particular relevance to Lafont's work which I can profitably address here: it may be that conflict between minipublic opinion and public opinion would be rare in practice, because there is no meaningful ‘public opinion’ on most of the concrete political questions that empowered minipublics would address through legislation.</p><p>Lafont's framing of this problem presumes that for any given political issue about which a minipublic deliberates only two outcomes are possible: (1) the minipublic agrees with public opinion on the matter, or (2) the minipublic disagrees with the public on the matter. In the second case, there is conflict, and public opinion must prevail. In the first case, there is no conflict, and the minipublic is essentially redundant.\n <sup>76</sup>\n However, a third outcome is possible, and indeed it may be the most common outcome: the minipublic's opinion neither agrees nor disagrees with the public opinion, because there is no meaningful public opinion on the question that was put to the minipublic.</p><p>In a very important sense, policy preferences are rarer than what much of the discourse about public opinion might lead one to believe. As Michael A. Neblo discusses in <i>Deliberative Democracy Between Theory and Practice</i>, there is an extensive body of evidence showing that by and large citizens respond to different ways of framing the same political question in different and sometimes opposite ways. This leads many empirical political scientists to the conclusion that most citizens express “non-attitudes” about a wide range of political subjects when polled.\n <sup>77</sup>\n Per Neblo, “the term non-attitudes refers to citizens expressing preferences that are not “real” in the sense of being stable over time and across more or less arbitrary ways of asking questions—they exhibit a high degree of context dependency.”\n <sup>78</sup>\n If citizens do not have “real” preferences about how so many political questions should be answered, then there cannot be an aggregated preference about these issues. A referendum vote whose success or failure hinges upon how <i>exactly</i> the question on the ballot is worded does not seem to produce a meaningful democratic result. I agree with Neblo that for an attitude to qualify as a preference, whether or not you endorse it, it should be insensitive to arbitrary features of the context, formulation, or procedure eliciting the preference from you.\n <sup>79</sup>\n \n </p><p>Lafont, in <i>Democracy Without Shortcuts</i>, is inclined to conceive of deliberation as a process of opinion-reformation for the citizens who go through it.\n <sup>80</sup>\n They go into it with one set of policy preferences, and come out of it with a different, more enlightened set. This is why (Lafont claims) the minipublic fails to adequately represent the views of the real public. In fact, as Neblo's discussion shows, deliberation is far more often a process of opinion <i>formation</i>, rather than <i>reformation</i>. This is why deliberation about the issue in question, even very small amounts of it, dramatically reduces the effects of framing which cause citizens to express non-attitudes. Through deliberation citizens develop stable “real” preferences precisely because it is through deliberation that citizens learn things and work-through their commitments in a way that stably connects their underlying values to their policy preference.\n <sup>81</sup>\n \n </p><p>Other commenters on Lafont's work, such as Fishkin, Buchstein, and Talbot, have noted that “no opinion” is possible, and suggested that in such scenarios the use of empowered minipublics would be superior to the use of elected legislators or empowered experts.\n <sup>82</sup>\n Talbot in particular notes that when citizens have certain broad-scope policy preferences, deliberation is likely to lead to the acquisition of related narrow-scope policy preferences. His example is the elimination of the “carried interest” loophole.\n <sup>83</sup>\n If it is the case that most Americans want the rich to be taxed more and have fewer loopholes to avoid taxation, and it is the case that eliminating the carried interest loophole would result in higher taxes for the rich by eliminating one such loophole, then it seems likely that a minipublic, motivated by the values of ordinary citizens and knowledge from deliberation, would wish to eliminate it. The extension of the values of ordinary citizens into areas where ordinary citizens have no opinion seems to Talbot to be a democracy-enhancing function of empowered minipublics. Buchstein similarly notes that in situations where ordinary citizens have no opinion and action is required, expert commissions and elected politicians will often have conflicts of interest or be out of touch with the values of ordinary citizens that make them bad choices to fill in the gaps in public opinion. In contrast, a minipublic, being in touch with the values of ordinary citizens, seems like the perfect candidate for the job.\n <sup>84</sup>\n \n </p><p>In responding to Buchstien and Talbot, Lafont raises two issues. First, that in the absence of public opinion to set the agenda, we cannot legitimately legislate in these no-opinion areas. Second is the claim that the empowered minipublic essentially has no democratic credentials to make decisions in these areas anyway. The reason why Lafont thinks that acting on issue areas where there is no public opinion is illegitimate is that “agenda-setting is a quintessential political function that needs to be subject to democratic control.”\n <sup>85</sup>\n From this we can see that the first response is essentially dependent on the second: empowered minipublics cannot set the agenda because empowered minipublics are not a manifestation of democratic control. In the face of Talbot and Buchstien's arguments, why does Lafont believe that the empowered minipublic would be illegitimate? She frames the issue as a dilemma: “either it matters that the decisions in question are aligned with the will and experience of the citizenry or it does not.” If it does not, we should just use experts instead of minipublics. By contrast, if it does matter “that such decisions track citizens’ experiences and will[…] then minipublics offer no “shortcut” to get there. The citizenry needs to get informed and form both a considered opinion and will upon issues that have important political consequences.” So in sum, the problem for Lafont is that alignment with public opinion matters, and there is no public opinion here. Her solution is that the whole public must deliberate to form an opinion. As I have earlier noted, this move by Lafont is essentially a rejection of the legitimacy of second-best alternatives in general. Lafont's here suggests that the answer to the question “how should we make decisions on matters where the public has not deliberated and so has no opinion” is “postpone making a decision until they deliberate.” As Buchstien and Talbot suggest, this will often be impossible given the breadth and depth of issues that require political decision-making.</p><p>What should we do when there is no public opinion? Lafont seems to suggest that a decision by a body of experts would be equally good to a minipublic decision, and that a decision by an elected legislature or referendum would be preferable to both.\n <sup>86</sup>\n I would argue that in these cases, the minipublic's connection to public opinion is far stronger than any of these alternative mechanisms. In cases where the aggregated public opinion is a non-attitude, we can have a randomly selected deliberating legislature decide and have a legislative decision that follows considered public opinion, or we can legislate by referendum or leave the matter up to elected politicians and have a decision with a deeply unclear connection to public opinion. If it is the case that variations in the question of a referendum or poll would produce different results, an empowered referendum can't credibly claim to be responsive to the “will of the people.” Furthermore, It would be impossible to design an elected legislature that always voted in line with public opinion if public opinion across a wide array of issues did not exist.</p><p>In cases where the public has not deliberated, there is no conflict between counterfactual deliberative public opinion and actual public opinion. All that we have is counterfactual deliberative public opinion, and no opinion at all. In such cases, given that there is no conflict, neither of Lafont's arguments about the legitimacy of empowered minipublics would seem to apply. In cases where there is no public opinion, there would be nothing wrong with going with the second-best alternative: what public opinion would have been if they had thought about it.</p><p>If “no opinion” is the public opinion on many concrete political decisions, it may be that conflict between “raw” public opinion and the “considered” public opinion of a minipublic is quite rare. In cases where there is a “raw” public opinion (rather than a non-attitude), it will at least sometimes be about matters where the public has deep moral clarity. For example, it would be deeply surprising on the question of whether or not the provisions of the criminal code forbidding murder ought to be repealed, citizens polled were highly sensitive to framing effects. But in cases of moral clarity, it seems quite implausible that deliberation would change the minds of ordinary citizens such that a minipublic would disagree with the public in aggregate. Adding this together with the fact that opinion polls mask the fact that the aggregated public opinion is often a non-attitude, then it could be the case that apparent cases of conflict are often illusory.</p><p>None of this should be taken to show that it is impossible for a minipublic's opinion to be in conflict with actual public opinion. It will not always be the case that the aggregated raw public opinion is “no opinion.”\n <sup>87</sup>\n In cases such as these, much further argument would be required to draw meaningful conclusions about what democracy requires. However, if my reply to Lafont's argument in the previous sections succeeds, it should not be taken as a foregone conclusion that actual non-deliberative public opinion is more legitimate than the decisions made by minipublics.</p><p>Lafont's objections to empowered minipublics are all essentially based in the claim that the decisions made by the legislature must correspond to public opinion. As I have shown, Lafont's claim that decisions made by representative bodies that do not correspond to public opinion in this way are undemocratic because they involve “blindly deferring” to representatives, is not credible. Neither is her contention that mini-publics will result in alienation over time, nor is the theory of democratic legitimacy that both of these objections rely on. This leaves advocates for empowered minipublics with one very formidable obstacle fewer to the conclusion that legislation by deliberative minipublics would be democratically legitimate.</p><p>The author declares no conflicts of interest.</p>","PeriodicalId":46756,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Social Philosophy","volume":"57 3","pages":"297-310"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2026-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/josp.12598","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Social Philosophy","FirstCategoryId":"98","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/josp.12598","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"哲学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/11/10 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ETHICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract

The recent increase in the use of minipublics composed of randomly selected citizens for political purposes has been an exciting development in the history of democracy. The real-world instantiations of these bodies, such as the Ireland Citizens' Assembly, and the Citizens Convention for Climate in France, have been precipitated by the enthusiastic scholarly attention minipublics have received over the past several decades from philosophers and political scientists.

Some of these philosophers and political scientists have argued that elected legislators should be replaced by “deliberative minipublics.” Such legislatures would be composed of randomly selected citizens. Several of the arguments made by these theorists in favor of empowered minipublics focus on the epistemic properties of bodies composed of randomly selected citizens. 1 These theorists argue that such bodies, when they are fit into the appropriate institutional structure, make more informed decisions that are more conducive to advancing the public interest. Others have focused their advocacy around the egalitarian character of deliberative minipublics. 2 Others claim that distributing legislative power by lot is a potent means of preventing corruption. 3 Some have focused on the potential for empowered minipublics to act as a means of republican education and mobilization. 4

One of the most compelling and extensively developed criticisms raised against legislative minipublics comes from Cristina Lafont, articulated first in “Deliberation, participation, and democratic legitimacy: Should deliberative mini-publics shape public policy?” and subsequently in her book Democracy Without Shortcuts. In the context of defending a participatory conception of deliberative democracy, Lafont argues that minipublics should not be given decisive legislative power because democratic legitimacy requires both that the whole public deliberates, and that the whole public's opinion be decisive. When a minipublic deliberates, Lafont grants, their decision is a good indicator of what the public would have wanted if it had deliberated—but in fact, the public has not deliberated. 5 Giving this counterfactual version of public opinion power over the law is an attempt to take what she calls the “micro-deliberative shortcut” to democracy. 6 Lafont's book has been the subject of extensive commentary, 7 and because of the strength of the case Lafont makes against minipublics, her objection looms large over the advocacy for empowering deliberative minipublics. In this article, I aim to answer Lafont's objection, and defend the “micro-deliberative shortcut.”

In section one, I analyze Lafont's argument against the use of empowered minipublics in the context of her participatory conception of democracy. Lafont's objection comes in two parts. First, an argument against the political legitimacy of minipublics resting on her contention that ordinary citizens are asked to “blindly defer” to them. Second, an empirical argument that if legislation were done exclusively through empowered minipublics, public policy would be shifted far out of alignment with the policy preferences of ordinary citizens over time. In section two, I address the empirical argument, and give three reasons to suppose that Lafont's speculative outcome of legislation by empowered minipublics would not come to pass. In section three, I address her argument that citizens blindly defer to empowered minipublics. I argue that the concept of blind deference is overly broad such that any political system which involved representation or majority rule would involve blind deference. In section four, I address Lafont's participatory conception of democracy more directly. I argue that the “correspondence first” concept of legitimacy which this conception relies on cannot support the conclusion that democratic participation is normatively important, and that for this reason we should reject it. In section five, I consider a broader question raised by Lafont's critique, about whether the decisions of minipublics can be democratically legitimate if they contradict public opinion. I note that in many cases, there will be no ‘public opinion’ on the question before a legislative minipublic. I discuss the implications of this fact for questions concerning the democratic legitimacy of legislation by minipublics.

In this section I will argue that the essence of Lafont's argument against empowered minipublics is that if they are used, the decisions of the lawmakers will not correspond to the decisions that those whom they represent would have made. 8 This is a two-part claim, about the legitimacy of minipublics as lawmakers on the one hand, and about the effects of empowered minipublics on deliberation in the broader public sphere. I shall go on to argue in Sections 2 and 3 that both of these arguments fail.

Lafont's main objective is to argue for a participatory conception of democracy that does not use “shortcuts.” 9 She argues against the use of empowered minipublics as a reform to presently existing electoral democracies. James Fishkin, in critiquing Lafont's argument against empowered minipublics, frames himself as agreeing with Lafont that ideally, every member of the public would deliberate about matters of public policy, arrive at something resembling a consensus about what to do, and that this would be enacted into law by political representatives. Fishkin advances the claim that the second-best alternative, when the first-best alternative is circumstantially impossible because the public has not deliberated, is to have policy be decided by empowered minipublics. 10 When there must be some trade-off between deliberation and participation, we should maximize deliberation while maintaining citizen equality using empowered minipublics. Fishkin argues, and Lafont accepts this characterization of her view, that for her it is the reverse: we must do what the public in aggregate wants, even when they have not deliberated. 11 In other words, correspondence between public opinion and public policy is of paramount importance on Lafont's view. Lafont seems reticent to accept the legitimacy of any compromise on correspondence for the sake of achieving other democratic objectives.

On Lafont's view, minipublics will predictably sabotage this correspondence, and for that reason they are not legitimate as political representatives. There are two parts to this argument. The first concerns the legitimacy of minipublics as political representatives directly and the second concerns their impact on the deliberative system.

First, let us consider Lafont's empirical argument. If Lafont were correct that minipublics would sabotage progress towards full deliberative democracy, then Lafont would have a strong case against empowered minipublics. But there are at least three important reasons to believe that her speculative outcome of the long-term effects of empowered minipublics would not come to pass.

First, Lafont says that the misalignment problem for empowered minipublics “is a direct consequence of assuming that this use of minipublics would be successful,” 25 in that the minipublic is redundant except where it acts contrary to public opinion. On the contrary, the direct consequence of this sort of success is only that initially after the law is passed, the law does not align with public opinion. This cannot establish that over the long term this lack of alignment would persist—that contention is speculative. To provide some countervailing speculation: citizens may not necessarily drift farther and farther out of alignment with the laws they live under because the experience of living under such laws could potentially persuade citizens to endorse those laws. Given that Lafont is happy to grant for the sake of argument that the members of the minipublic act in a public-spirited way and are competent as legislators, her case that over time citizens would remain in the dark about why most of their laws are justified despite experiencing these good laws in action seems overstated.

Second and more potently, Lafont's argument here seems to hinge on the idea that if legislative decisions were made by empowered minipublics, all of the reasons we have to want to transform public opinion under more participatory forms of democracy would disappear. But that would not be the case: people who wish to change the law or prevent it from being changed have important reasons to persuade their fellow citizens to agree with them. The values and beliefs of ordinary citizens are the starting point from which an empowered minipublic proceeds in its deliberation. Deliberation about whether or not abortion ought to be legal will proceed differently, and perhaps reach a different conclusion, in minipublic composed of a random selection of Indonesian citizens (74% of whom believe abortion should be illegal) than one composed of random Swedish citizens (87% of whom believe abortion should be legal). 26 For this reason, and because who will be selected to sit on a minipublic is not predictable, organizations which wish to effect political change will wish to sway public opinion to their side to change the starting point of the debate. Furthermore, because their aim is to persuade those citizens who will go on to deliberate (rather than citizens who will go on to vote in elections and referendums) these organizations would have to furnish ordinary citizens with good reasons to support their legislative program that stand up to deliberative scrutiny. 27 This change in incentives for advocacy organizations may well bring us closer to Lafont's deliberative democracy rather than farther away from it.

Finally, if Lafont is correct that democratic legitimacy depends on the alignment of citizen's preferences with their laws then that by itself is a powerful reason for the government and civil society organizations to try to bring that alignment about, using public information campaigns. 28 As Lafont acknowledges, the deliberation of empowered minipublics can provide us with a powerful resource that is useful for changing public opinion. In Chapter 5 of Democracy Without Shortcuts, Lafont endorses the use of non-empowered minipublics to enhance deliberation in the public sphere. On Lafont's view, the epistemic qualities of minipublics make them good candidates to fulfill important functions “that are not very different from those that traditional media outlets fulfill.” 29 They would do so by making the most relevant arguments for and against political decisions, by filtering out irrelevant or manipulative considerations while highlighting “key information, potential trade-offs, and long-term consequences of the available alternatives as evaluated from the various political perspectives that resonate with the citizenry of a political community at a given time.” 30 We should expect that their arguments will resonate with the citizenry “Precisely because their participants are a mirror of the people as a whole.” 31 If Lafont can accept that non-empowered minipublics are capable of being persuasive and informative in this way, she should likewise accept that through a concerted effort to inform the public about the deliberations of empowered minipublics, they could fulfill the same function and bring about closer alignment between public opinion and the minipublic made public policy.

Several other commenters on Lafont's work have made similar observations about the potential persuasiveness of minipublic deliberation. William Talbot claims that minipublic deliberation would be “must-see reality TV” because ordinary citizens would be able to see themselves in at least some of the deliberating members of the minipublic. 32 Tinnevalt argues that in providing arguments from the perspectives of ordinary citizens for and against certain policy proposals through their deliberations, the empowered minipublics could take over the important functions that political parties perform for deliberation in the public sphere. 33 Fishkin claims that because empowered minipublics would produce all of these resonant arguments, even citizens who are not persuaded will ordinarily be able to see that their perspective was taken seriously by those deliberating. 34

While Lafont does contest the claims made by Tinnevalt that the role minipublics could fulfill is the same as the role fulfilled by political parties, 35 her main line of defense against arguments such as these is to fall back on the first argument described in the previous section: her legitimacy critique of deliberative minipublics. In Response to Talbot, Lafont says that if empowered-mini publics “are allowed to pass legislation that goes against the actual opinion of large majorities, then the legitimacy of their authority cannot be based on the democratic ground of an overall responsiveness to citizens' demands.” 36 This form of decision making is not democratic because it expects “citizens to blindly defer to the decisions of minipublics' participants.” 37

Now that we have seen why Lafont's empirical argument that minipublics will sabotage the development of deliberative democracy over time is not conclusive, we can evaluate her blind deference argument. We must ask: what exactly is “blind deference”, and why is it democratically illegitimate?

This definition has two important aspects: (1) citizens maintain control over their representatives (the control requirement), (2) and it is for that reason that we should suppose that the decisions the representative makes are the ones that the agent who is deferring would have made if they had thought about it.

I want to consider two interpretations of the control requirement and argue that both have fatal implications for Lafont's legitimacy critique of legislative minipublics. On the strong control requirement interpretation, if citizens are not in control, then citizens blindly defer. On the weak control requirement interpretation, control is instrumentally valuable because it gives us a strong reason to suppose that the decisions the representative makes are the decisions their constituent would have made if they had thought about it, and any other means of ensuring this would be just as good.

If we set aside the concept of “blind deference” Lafont's participatory conception of democracy may contain a more straightforward criticism of the legitimacy of empowered minipublics. Empowered minipublics may often pass laws that the public, in aggregate, does not support. According to Lafont's theory of democratic legitimacy this by itself is democratically illegitimate, and so because we should expect empowered minipublics to do this more often than contemplatable alternative democratic systems, they are worse. In this section, I argue that Lafont's conception of democratic legitimacy ought to be rejected.

Here Lafont identifies seeing the laws which one is subject to as one's own with having a preference for those laws, which is to say, believing that those laws are substantively good. She also identifies deliberation as instrumentally valuable for the sake of bringing about these changes in preferences. This suggests that the law is maximally legitimate when there is consensus among citizens that the law is good, and proportionally less legitimate when citizens disagree with one another about the substantive merits of the law. Lafont makes clear that it is this relationship between the attitudes of citizens and the law that matters to democratic legitimacy. 68

If so, then Lafont's objection to giving minipublics decisive power over public policy as a second-best alternative to deliberative democracy when the public has not deliberated follows quite automatically from this conception of what democratic legitimacy requires. The “raw” public opinion will be superior in terms of democratic legitimacy as a basis for decision-making to the minipublic in any instance where they disagree.

However, this conception of democratic legitimacy, on which political alienation (citizens not “identifying with” the law) is the primary evil to be avoided, cannot single out democratic forms of government as uniquely or even especially democratically legitimate. This is a problem for Lafont, as she clearly intends for her concept of democratic legitimacy to do this. To see why Lafont's concept of legitimacy fails to achieve this, consider this thought experiment. Imagine a very charismatic king, who is exceedingly successful at persuading his subjects that his decisions are right. This king is ideologically committed to the superiority of autocratic rule, and very stubborn, so the opinions of the people on matters of state do not figure into his decisions about what the public policy on any matter shall be. However, once he has made up his mind about what to do, he implements the policy, and sets out to convince his subjects that his chosen policy is for the best. In fact, this king is such an excellent rhetorician and shrewd censor of dissenting opinion that his public information campaigns always convince at least 80% of the public of the virtues of his preferred course of action.

Despite Lafont's ambition to single out democratic forms of government as uniquely democratically legitimate, this understanding of democratic legitimacy implies that this king's policies are very legitimate. The citizens living under the king's government would not be alienated from the law, and it is the king's propaganda that facilitates this. 69 As this thought experiment shows, if deliberation's meaning is that it is instrumentally valuable for bringing about changes in preferences that enhance democratic legitimacy, then the value of deliberation at least theoretically could pale in comparison with incompatible policies, such as censorship of dissenting ideas.

Lafont clearly does not intend to argue that popular monarchy is democratic, stating: “authorship in political decisionmaking is an inextricable component of the democratic ideal. Certainly, political systems in which citizens are never allowed to make any important political decisions (e.g. by voting) do not count as democratic.” 70 However, it is difficult to see how a conception of democratic legitimacy rooted in popular identification with laws rather than democratic procedures can support this conclusion.

Lafont's “correspondence first” concept of legitimacy leads us to the conclusion that in the non-ideal circumstance where citizens have not deliberated, and where the king's government would do a better job maximizing correspondence and hence minimizing alienation than a procedurally democratic legislature, that the king's government is more legitimate. Furthermore, Lafont's argument implies that fewer citizen's “blindly defer” to the king than they would to a less convincing elected democratic legislature. This should not be an acceptable result to deliberative democrats.

Lafont claims that “requiring that literally all those subject to the law would simultaneously be the authors of the law as well” would be so demanding that it cannot be action-guiding for a complex society such as ours. 71 Instead Lafont embraces the relaxed requirement that citizens first and foremost “should not be subject to laws that one cannot see oneself as an author” [emphasis added]. 72 For Lafont, democratic legitimacy is determined by how citizens feel about the laws they live under, not their role in creating them. Lafont confronts the fact that under representative democracy ordinary people manifestly are not the authors of the laws that govern them by requiring only that people can “identify with the political decisions to which they are subject, and endorse them as their own.” 73 Lafont claims that her conception of democratic legitimacy shows that “political systems that have structures of representation where citizens participate in decision-making count as “democratic” even if, as is the case in all contemporary democracies, that participation is rather limited.” 74 Unfortunately it shows more than this. It cannot show that these limited structures of participation are required.

For the same reason, this concept of legitimacy cannot support an objection to empowered minipublics. If Lafont's problem with empowered minipublics is not their procedural legitimacy, but instead that their use would lead to citizens being alienated from the laws that govern them, then a variety of solutions would seem to be available to persuade citizens to agree with the minipublic's plolicies after they are enacted, as I have argued in Section 2.

But perhaps more effectively than any of these correspondence-achieving mechanisms mentioned in Section 2, the government could use propaganda and censorship to cajole the public into getting behind the policies which the minipublic has chosen. In my view, it would certainly not be democratic to stifle public debate outside of empowered minipublics by silencing dissenters and flooding the media landscape with information that manipulates the public into identifying with public policy. However, through this “propaganda shortcut” strategy, we would get public policy that is based on what the public would have wanted if it had deliberated, and alignment between public policy and public preferences. Lafont's account has no resources to explain why this shortcut should be rejected.

Lafont rejects accounts of democracy that prioritize the value of democratic procedures (which she calls the “procedural shortcut”) and accounts of democracy that prioritize the value of citizen equality (which she calls the “micro-deliberative shortcut”) in favor of an account of democracy which prioritizes the value of avoiding alienation. She accuses these conceptions of democracy of “bypassing the actual beliefs and attitudes of its own citizens” and aiming to “make a political community better than its members[…] by leaving their citizens behind.” 75 What Lafont does not see is that the very enterprise of trying to pick a second-best alternative to full deliberative democracy is the enterprise of picking which “shortcut” is tentatively acceptable on the path to further democratic development. The “micro-deliberative shortcut” bypasses the actual beliefs and attitudes of citizens only in the same way that Lafont's “correspondence shortcut” bypasses deliberation: tentatively. Lafont has chosen to make correspondence top priority, before deliberation and before procedural democracy, and she has chosen wrongly. As I have shown, this choice leads to deeply counter-intuitive results for democratic legitimacy, and cannot support the critique of the legitimacy of empowered minipublics that she would like to make.

If what I have said above is correct, then Lafont has not given us good support for the conclusion that legislation by deliberative minipublics is politically illegitimate. Additionally Lafont has not provided us with a reason to suppose that when there is a conflict between actual non-deliberative public opinion, and counterfactual deliberative public opinion, that a body which enacts the counterfactual public opinion acts undemocratically. Nevertheless, there is a sort of intuitive force to the idea that actual non-deliberative public opinion ought to prevail over counterfactual deliberative public opinion, even if Lafont's argument fails to provide us with a justification for this claim. Might it be that Lafont's conclusion that actual public opinion must always prevail is correct even if her argument cannot support it?

This is a very broad question that I cannot adequately address in this paper. There is one facet of this question of particular relevance to Lafont's work which I can profitably address here: it may be that conflict between minipublic opinion and public opinion would be rare in practice, because there is no meaningful ‘public opinion’ on most of the concrete political questions that empowered minipublics would address through legislation.

Lafont's framing of this problem presumes that for any given political issue about which a minipublic deliberates only two outcomes are possible: (1) the minipublic agrees with public opinion on the matter, or (2) the minipublic disagrees with the public on the matter. In the second case, there is conflict, and public opinion must prevail. In the first case, there is no conflict, and the minipublic is essentially redundant. 76 However, a third outcome is possible, and indeed it may be the most common outcome: the minipublic's opinion neither agrees nor disagrees with the public opinion, because there is no meaningful public opinion on the question that was put to the minipublic.

In a very important sense, policy preferences are rarer than what much of the discourse about public opinion might lead one to believe. As Michael A. Neblo discusses in Deliberative Democracy Between Theory and Practice, there is an extensive body of evidence showing that by and large citizens respond to different ways of framing the same political question in different and sometimes opposite ways. This leads many empirical political scientists to the conclusion that most citizens express “non-attitudes” about a wide range of political subjects when polled. 77 Per Neblo, “the term non-attitudes refers to citizens expressing preferences that are not “real” in the sense of being stable over time and across more or less arbitrary ways of asking questions—they exhibit a high degree of context dependency.” 78 If citizens do not have “real” preferences about how so many political questions should be answered, then there cannot be an aggregated preference about these issues. A referendum vote whose success or failure hinges upon how exactly the question on the ballot is worded does not seem to produce a meaningful democratic result. I agree with Neblo that for an attitude to qualify as a preference, whether or not you endorse it, it should be insensitive to arbitrary features of the context, formulation, or procedure eliciting the preference from you. 79

Lafont, in Democracy Without Shortcuts, is inclined to conceive of deliberation as a process of opinion-reformation for the citizens who go through it. 80 They go into it with one set of policy preferences, and come out of it with a different, more enlightened set. This is why (Lafont claims) the minipublic fails to adequately represent the views of the real public. In fact, as Neblo's discussion shows, deliberation is far more often a process of opinion formation, rather than reformation. This is why deliberation about the issue in question, even very small amounts of it, dramatically reduces the effects of framing which cause citizens to express non-attitudes. Through deliberation citizens develop stable “real” preferences precisely because it is through deliberation that citizens learn things and work-through their commitments in a way that stably connects their underlying values to their policy preference. 81

Other commenters on Lafont's work, such as Fishkin, Buchstein, and Talbot, have noted that “no opinion” is possible, and suggested that in such scenarios the use of empowered minipublics would be superior to the use of elected legislators or empowered experts. 82 Talbot in particular notes that when citizens have certain broad-scope policy preferences, deliberation is likely to lead to the acquisition of related narrow-scope policy preferences. His example is the elimination of the “carried interest” loophole. 83 If it is the case that most Americans want the rich to be taxed more and have fewer loopholes to avoid taxation, and it is the case that eliminating the carried interest loophole would result in higher taxes for the rich by eliminating one such loophole, then it seems likely that a minipublic, motivated by the values of ordinary citizens and knowledge from deliberation, would wish to eliminate it. The extension of the values of ordinary citizens into areas where ordinary citizens have no opinion seems to Talbot to be a democracy-enhancing function of empowered minipublics. Buchstein similarly notes that in situations where ordinary citizens have no opinion and action is required, expert commissions and elected politicians will often have conflicts of interest or be out of touch with the values of ordinary citizens that make them bad choices to fill in the gaps in public opinion. In contrast, a minipublic, being in touch with the values of ordinary citizens, seems like the perfect candidate for the job. 84

In responding to Buchstien and Talbot, Lafont raises two issues. First, that in the absence of public opinion to set the agenda, we cannot legitimately legislate in these no-opinion areas. Second is the claim that the empowered minipublic essentially has no democratic credentials to make decisions in these areas anyway. The reason why Lafont thinks that acting on issue areas where there is no public opinion is illegitimate is that “agenda-setting is a quintessential political function that needs to be subject to democratic control.” 85 From this we can see that the first response is essentially dependent on the second: empowered minipublics cannot set the agenda because empowered minipublics are not a manifestation of democratic control. In the face of Talbot and Buchstien's arguments, why does Lafont believe that the empowered minipublic would be illegitimate? She frames the issue as a dilemma: “either it matters that the decisions in question are aligned with the will and experience of the citizenry or it does not.” If it does not, we should just use experts instead of minipublics. By contrast, if it does matter “that such decisions track citizens’ experiences and will[…] then minipublics offer no “shortcut” to get there. The citizenry needs to get informed and form both a considered opinion and will upon issues that have important political consequences.” So in sum, the problem for Lafont is that alignment with public opinion matters, and there is no public opinion here. Her solution is that the whole public must deliberate to form an opinion. As I have earlier noted, this move by Lafont is essentially a rejection of the legitimacy of second-best alternatives in general. Lafont's here suggests that the answer to the question “how should we make decisions on matters where the public has not deliberated and so has no opinion” is “postpone making a decision until they deliberate.” As Buchstien and Talbot suggest, this will often be impossible given the breadth and depth of issues that require political decision-making.

What should we do when there is no public opinion? Lafont seems to suggest that a decision by a body of experts would be equally good to a minipublic decision, and that a decision by an elected legislature or referendum would be preferable to both. 86 I would argue that in these cases, the minipublic's connection to public opinion is far stronger than any of these alternative mechanisms. In cases where the aggregated public opinion is a non-attitude, we can have a randomly selected deliberating legislature decide and have a legislative decision that follows considered public opinion, or we can legislate by referendum or leave the matter up to elected politicians and have a decision with a deeply unclear connection to public opinion. If it is the case that variations in the question of a referendum or poll would produce different results, an empowered referendum can't credibly claim to be responsive to the “will of the people.” Furthermore, It would be impossible to design an elected legislature that always voted in line with public opinion if public opinion across a wide array of issues did not exist.

In cases where the public has not deliberated, there is no conflict between counterfactual deliberative public opinion and actual public opinion. All that we have is counterfactual deliberative public opinion, and no opinion at all. In such cases, given that there is no conflict, neither of Lafont's arguments about the legitimacy of empowered minipublics would seem to apply. In cases where there is no public opinion, there would be nothing wrong with going with the second-best alternative: what public opinion would have been if they had thought about it.

If “no opinion” is the public opinion on many concrete political decisions, it may be that conflict between “raw” public opinion and the “considered” public opinion of a minipublic is quite rare. In cases where there is a “raw” public opinion (rather than a non-attitude), it will at least sometimes be about matters where the public has deep moral clarity. For example, it would be deeply surprising on the question of whether or not the provisions of the criminal code forbidding murder ought to be repealed, citizens polled were highly sensitive to framing effects. But in cases of moral clarity, it seems quite implausible that deliberation would change the minds of ordinary citizens such that a minipublic would disagree with the public in aggregate. Adding this together with the fact that opinion polls mask the fact that the aggregated public opinion is often a non-attitude, then it could be the case that apparent cases of conflict are often illusory.

None of this should be taken to show that it is impossible for a minipublic's opinion to be in conflict with actual public opinion. It will not always be the case that the aggregated raw public opinion is “no opinion.” 87 In cases such as these, much further argument would be required to draw meaningful conclusions about what democracy requires. However, if my reply to Lafont's argument in the previous sections succeeds, it should not be taken as a foregone conclusion that actual non-deliberative public opinion is more legitimate than the decisions made by minipublics.

Lafont's objections to empowered minipublics are all essentially based in the claim that the decisions made by the legislature must correspond to public opinion. As I have shown, Lafont's claim that decisions made by representative bodies that do not correspond to public opinion in this way are undemocratic because they involve “blindly deferring” to representatives, is not credible. Neither is her contention that mini-publics will result in alienation over time, nor is the theory of democratic legitimacy that both of these objections rely on. This leaves advocates for empowered minipublics with one very formidable obstacle fewer to the conclusion that legislation by deliberative minipublics would be democratically legitimate.

The author declares no conflicts of interest.

微观协商捷径的民主合法性:为随机选择立法者辩护
最近为了政治目的而增加使用由随机选择的公民组成的微型公众是民主历史上令人兴奋的发展。在过去的几十年里,哲学家和政治学家对“微型公众”的热情学术关注促成了这些实体在现实世界中的实例,比如爱尔兰公民大会和法国气候公民大会。其中一些哲学家和政治科学家认为,民选的立法者应该被“审议的小公众”所取代。这样的立法机构将由随机选择的公民组成。这些理论家支持被授权的微型公众的几个论点集中在由随机选择的公民组成的主体的认知特性上。这些理论家认为,当这些机构适合于适当的制度结构时,它们会做出更明智的决定,更有利于促进公共利益。另一些人则把他们的宣传重点放在了协商小公众的平等主义特征上。另一些人则声称,通过抽签来分配立法权是防止腐败的有力手段。一些人关注的是被授权的微型公众作为共和教育和动员手段的潜力。克里斯蒂娜·拉丰(Cristina Lafont)对立法迷你公众提出了最引人注目和最广泛的批评,她首先在《审议、参与和民主合法性:审议迷你公众应该塑造公共政策吗?》一书中阐述了这一点,随后在她的《没有捷径的民主》一书中也阐述了这一点。在为协商民主的参与性概念辩护的背景下,拉丰认为不应该赋予小公众决定性的立法权,因为民主的合法性既要求全体公众进行协商,又要求全体公众的意见具有决定性。拉丰承认,当一个小型公众进行审议时,他们的决定是一个很好的指标,表明如果公众进行了审议,他们会想要什么——但事实上,公众并没有进行审议。赋予这种反事实版本的公众舆论凌驾于法律之上的权力,是试图走她所说的通往民主的“微观审议捷径”。6拉丰的书一直是广泛评论的主题,7由于拉丰反对微型公众的案例的力量,她的反对意见在倡导赋予审议微型公众权力的呼声中显得很重要。在本文中,我旨在回答拉丰的反对意见,并为“微观审议捷径”辩护。在第一节中,我分析了拉丰反对在她的参与式民主概念的背景下使用被授权的小公众的论点。拉丰的反对意见来自两个方面。首先,她的论点是,普通公民被要求“盲目地服从”迷你公众,这是一种反对迷你公众政治合法性的论点。第二,一种实证观点认为,如果立法完全通过被授权的小公众来完成,那么随着时间的推移,公共政策将远远偏离普通公民的政策偏好。在第二节中,我讨论了实证论点,并给出了三个理由来假设拉丰关于被授权的小公众立法的推测结果不会实现。在第三部分,我阐述了她的观点,即公民盲目地服从被授权的小公众。我认为盲目服从的概念过于宽泛,以至于任何涉及代议制或多数决定制的政治制度都会涉及盲目服从。在第四节中,我更直接地讨论了拉丰的参与式民主概念。我认为,这一概念所依赖的“对应优先”的合法性概念不能支持民主参与在规范上是重要的这一结论,因此我们应该拒绝它。在第五部分,我考虑了拉丰的批评提出的一个更广泛的问题,即如果微型公众的决定与公众舆论相矛盾,它们是否具有民主合法性。我注意到,在许多情况下,在立法机关的小公众面前,不会有关于这个问题的“公众意见”。我将讨论这一事实对有关微型公众立法的民主合法性问题的影响。在本节中,我将论证拉丰反对被授权的微型公众的论点的本质是,如果他们被使用,立法者的决定将不符合他们所代表的人所做的决定。 这是一个由两部分组成的主张,一方面是关于小公众作为立法者的合法性,另一方面是关于被授权的小公众在更广泛的公共领域对审议的影响。我将在第2节和第3节继续论证,这两个论点都是错误的。拉丰的主要目标是主张一种不走“捷径”的参与性民主概念。9 .她反对使用被授权的微型公众作为对现有选举民主制度的改革。詹姆斯·菲什金(James Fishkin)在批评拉丰反对授权微型公众的论点时,将自己定义为同意拉丰的观点,即理想情况下,公众的每一个成员都将对公共政策问题进行深思熟虑,就该做什么达成某种类似共识的东西,然后由政治代表制定成法律。菲什金提出,当第一选择因为公众没有经过深思熟虑而在情况下不可能实现时,次优选择就是让被授权的小公众来决定政策。在协商与参与之间必须权衡取舍的时候,我们应该在最大限度地扩大协商的同时,利用授权的小公众来维护公民平等。菲什金认为,对她来说,情况正好相反:我们必须做公众总体上想做的事,即使他们还没有考虑过。换句话说,在拉丰看来,民意和公共政策的一致性是至关重要的。拉丰似乎不愿接受为了实现其他民主目标而在通信问题上做出任何妥协的合法性。在拉丰看来,微型公众可以预见地破坏这种联系,因此他们作为政治代表是不合法的。这个论点有两个部分。第一个问题涉及小公众作为政治直接代表的合法性,第二个问题涉及它们对审议制度的影响。首先,让我们考虑一下拉丰的实证论点。如果拉丰的观点是正确的,即微型公众会破坏全面协商民主的进程,那么拉丰将有一个强有力的理由反对被授权的微型公众。但至少有三个重要理由让我们相信,她关于被授权的微型公众的长期影响的推测结果不会成为现实。首先,拉丰说,被授权的微型公众的错位问题“是假设微型公众的使用会成功的直接后果”,25因为微型公众是多余的,除非它的行为与公众舆论相反。相反,这种成功的直接后果只是在法律通过后的最初阶段,法律与公众舆论不一致。这并不能证明这种缺乏一致性的情况会长期持续下去——这种说法是推测性的。提供一些相反的推测:公民可能并不一定会越来越偏离他们所生活的法律,因为在这些法律下生活的经历可能会说服公民支持这些法律。考虑到拉丰为了论证而乐于承认小公众的成员以一种公共精神的方式行事,并且是称职的立法者,她的观点是,随着时间的推移,尽管经历了这些好的法律的实施,公民仍然对为什么他们的大多数法律是合理的一无所知,这似乎有些夸大其词。第二,也是更有力的一点,拉丰在这里的论点似乎依赖于这样一种观点:如果立法决定是由被授权的小公众做出的,那么我们想要在更多参与性民主形式下改变公众舆论的所有理由都将消失。但事实并非如此:希望修改法律或阻止法律被修改的人有重要的理由说服他们的同胞同意他们的观点。普通公民的价值观和信仰是被授权的小公众进行审议的出发点。在随机选择的印尼公民(其中74%的人认为堕胎是非法的)和随机选择的瑞典公民(其中87%的人认为堕胎是合法的)组成的小公众中,关于堕胎是否应该合法的审议将会有不同的进行方式,也许会得出不同的结论。由于这个原因,也因为谁将被选为小公众的主席是不可预测的,那些希望影响政治变革的组织将希望把公众舆论影响到他们一边,以改变辩论的起点。 此外,因为他们的目的是说服那些将继续进行审议的公民(而不是那些将继续在选举和全民公决中投票的公民),这些组织必须向普通公民提供充分的理由来支持他们经得起审议审查的立法计划。倡导组织激励机制的这种变化很可能使我们更接近拉丰的协商民主,而不是远离它。最后,如果拉丰特关于民主合法性取决于公民偏好与法律的一致性的观点是正确的,那么这本身就是政府和民间社会组织试图通过公共信息运动实现这种一致性的有力理由。正如拉丰所承认的那样,被授权的小公众的审议可以为我们提供一种强大的资源,有助于改变公众舆论。在《没有捷径的民主》的第五章中,拉丰支持使用非授权的小公众来加强公共领域的审议。在拉丰看来,微型公众的认识论素质使它们成为履行重要职能的好人选,“这些职能与传统媒体履行的职能没有太大区别”。他们将通过提出支持和反对政治决定的最相关的论据,通过过滤掉不相关或操纵性的考虑,同时突出“关键信息,潜在的权衡,以及在给定时间内与政治社区公民产生共鸣的各种政治观点评估的可用替代方案的长期后果”来做到这一点。我们应该期待他们的论点会引起公民的共鸣,“正是因为他们的参与者是整个人民的一面镜子。”如果拉丰能够接受未被授权的小公众能够以这种方式具有说服力和信息性,那么她同样应该接受,通过协调一致的努力,将被授权的小公众的审议告知公众,他们可以履行同样的功能,并使公众舆论和小公众制定的公共政策更加紧密地结合起来。其他几位对拉丰的研究发表评论的人也对微公众审议的潜在说服力做出了类似的观察。威廉·塔尔博特(William Talbot)声称,小型公众审议将成为“必看的真人秀”,因为普通公民至少可以在一些小型公众审议成员身上看到自己。32 . Tinnevalt认为,通过审议从普通公民的角度提出支持或反对某些政策建议的论据,被授权的小公众可以取代政党在公共领域为审议而履行的重要职能。菲什金声称,由于被授权的微型公众会产生所有这些引起共鸣的论点,即使是没有被说服的公民通常也能看到,他们的观点被审议者认真对待了。34虽然拉丰确实对廷内瓦尔提出的小公众可以履行的角色与政党履行的角色相同的主张提出了质疑,35但她针对此类论点的主要辩护路线是回到前一节中描述的第一个论点:她对审议性小公众的合法性批评。在对塔尔博特的回应中,拉丰说,如果被授权的小公众“被允许通过违背大多数人实际意见的立法,那么他们权威的合法性就不能建立在全面回应公民要求的民主基础上。”这种决策形式并不民主,因为它期望“公民盲目地服从小公众参与者的决定”。既然我们已经看到了为什么拉丰关于小公众将随着时间的推移破坏协商民主的发展的实证论点不是结论性的,我们可以评估她的盲目服从论点。我们必须问:“盲目服从”到底是什么?为什么它在民主上是不合法的?这个定义有两个重要的方面:(1)公民保持对他们的代表的控制(控制要求),(2)正因为如此,我们应该假设代表所做的决定是延期的代理人如果考虑过的话会做出的决定。我想考虑对控制要求的两种解释,并认为这两种解释都对拉丰对立法小公众的合法性批判具有致命的影响。 对强控制要求的解释是,如果公民没有控制权,那么公民就盲目顺从。在弱控制需求解释中,控制具有工具价值,因为它给了我们一个强有力的理由,让我们假设代表做出的决定是他们的选民如果考虑过就会做出的决定,并且任何其他确保这一点的方法都一样好。如果我们抛开“盲目服从”的概念,拉丰的参与性民主概念可能包含对被授权的小公众的合法性的更直接的批评。被授权的小众群体可能经常通过公众总体上不支持的法律。根据拉丰的民主合法性理论,这本身在民主上是不合法的,因此,因为我们应该期望被授权的小公众比可考虑的其他民主制度更经常地这样做,所以它们更糟糕。在本节中,我认为拉丰的民主合法性概念应该被拒绝。在这里,拉丰认为,将自己所服从的法律视为自己的法律,并对这些法律有偏好,也就是说,相信这些法律本质上是好的。她还认为,深思熟虑在带来这些偏好变化方面具有工具价值。这表明,当公民一致认为法律是好的时候,法律的合法性就会最大化,而当公民对法律的实质价值意见不一时,法律的合法性就会相应地降低。拉丰明确指出,公民态度与法律之间的这种关系对民主合法性至关重要。68如果是这样的话,那么拉丰反对在公众没有进行审议的情况下,给予小公众对公共政策的决定性权力,作为协商民主的次优选择,这一反对意见是相当自动地遵循了民主合法性所需要的概念。在任何情况下,“原始的”公众意见在作为决策基础的民主合法性方面都优于小公众。然而,这种民主合法性的概念,即政治异化(公民不“认同”法律)是要避免的主要罪恶,不能单独指出民主形式的政府是独特的,甚至是特别具有民主合法性的。这对拉丰来说是一个问题,因为她显然有意让她的民主合法性概念做到这一点。要了解为什么拉丰的合法性概念未能实现这一点,请考虑一下这个思想实验。想象一个非常有魅力的国王,他非常成功地说服他的臣民,他的决定是正确的。这位国王在意识形态上坚持专制统治的优越性,而且非常固执,所以他在决定任何事情上的公共政策时都不会考虑人民对国家事务的意见。然而,一旦他下定决心要做什么,他就会实施政策,并开始说服他的臣民,他选择的政策是最好的。事实上,这位国王是如此优秀的修辞学家和对不同意见的精明审查者,以至于他的公共信息宣传活动总能让至少80%的公众相信他的首选行动方案的优点。尽管拉丰的野心是把民主形式的政府单独挑出来作为唯一的民主合法性,但这种对民主合法性的理解意味着这位国王的政策是非常合法的。生活在国王统治下的公民不会脱离法律,这是国王的宣传促进了这一点。69正如这个思想实验所表明的,如果审议的意义在于,它在带来偏好的改变、增强民主合法性方面具有工具价值,那么,至少在理论上,审议的价值与不相容的政策(如对不同意见的审查)相比就显得微不足道了。拉丰显然不打算争论大众君主制是民主的,他说:“政治决策中的作者身份是民主理想中不可分割的组成部分。”当然,不允许公民做出任何重要政治决定(例如通过投票)的政治制度不能算作民主。”70然而,很难看出,植根于对法律而不是民主程序的普遍认同的民主合法性概念如何能够支持这一结论。拉丰的“对应优先”的合法性概念使我们得出结论,在公民没有审议的非理想情况下,国王的政府比程序民主的立法机构更能做到最大化对应,从而最大限度地减少异化,国王的政府更合法。 拉丰的结论,即实际的公众意见必须永远占上风,即使她的论点不能支持这一结论,是否可能是正确的?这是一个非常广泛的问题,我无法在本文中充分解决。这个问题的一个方面与拉丰的工作特别相关,我可以在这里有益地阐述一下:也许小公众意见和公众意见之间的冲突在实践中是罕见的,因为在大多数具体的政治问题上没有有意义的“公众意见”,授权小公众可以通过立法来解决。拉丰对这个问题的框架假设,对于任何给定的政治问题,一个小公众审议只有两种可能的结果:(1)小公众同意公众对这件事的看法,或者(2)小公众不同意公众对这件事的看法。在第二种情况下,存在冲突,公众舆论必须占上风。在第一种情况下,不存在冲突,小公众基本上是多余的。然而,第三种结果是可能的,而且实际上可能是最常见的结果:小公众的意见既不同意也不反对公众的意见,因为在向小公众提出的问题上没有有意义的公众意见。在一个非常重要的意义上,政策偏好比许多关于公众舆论的论述可能让人相信的要少得多。正如Michael A. Neblo在《理论与实践之间的协商民主》一书中所讨论的那样,有大量证据表明,总的来说,公民对构建同一政治问题的不同方式的反应是不同的,有时是相反的。这导致许多经验主义政治学家得出结论,即大多数公民在接受调查时对广泛的政治主题表示“无态度”。根据内布洛的说法,“非态度一词指的是公民表达的偏好,这些偏好在长期稳定的意义上不是‘真实的’,或多或少是通过武断的提问方式——他们表现出高度的语境依赖。”如果公民对如何回答这么多政治问题没有“真正的”偏好,那么就不可能有对这些问题的总体偏好。全民公决的成败取决于选票上问题的措辞,这似乎不会产生有意义的民主结果。我同意nebloo的观点,即无论你是否认可一种态度,它都应该对引起你偏好的上下文、表述或过程的任意特征不敏感。在《没有捷径的民主》一书中,拉丰倾向于把审议看作是对经历过审议的公民进行意见改革的过程。他们带着一套政策偏好进入,带着一套不同的、更开明的政策偏好出来。这就是为什么(拉丰声称)小公众不能充分代表真正公众的观点。事实上,正如尼布洛的讨论所表明的,审议更多的是一个形成意见的过程,而不是改革的过程。这就是为什么对问题的深思熟虑,即使是很少的深思熟虑,也会大大减少导致公民表达无态度的框架效应。公民通过深思熟虑形成稳定的“真实的”偏好,正是因为公民通过深思熟虑学习事物,并以一种将他们的潜在价值观与他们的政策偏好稳定地联系起来的方式,完成他们的承诺。81其他对拉丰的研究发表评论的人,如菲什金、布赫斯坦和塔尔博特,指出“没有意见”是可能的,并建议在这种情况下,使用授权的小公众比使用民选的立法者或授权的专家要好。82塔尔博特特别指出,当公民具有某种大范围的政策偏好时,深思熟虑很可能导致获得相关的小范围政策偏好。他的例子是消除“附带权益”漏洞。83 .如果大多数美国人希望对富人多征税,减少避税的漏洞,如果消除附带权益漏洞会通过消除一个这样的漏洞而导致富人的税收增加,那么,受普通公民的价值观和深思熟虑的知识激励的小公众似乎很可能希望消除它。在塔尔博特看来,将普通公民的价值观延伸到普通公民没有意见的领域,似乎是被授权的小公众的一种民主增强功能。 布赫斯坦同样指出,在普通公民没有意见和需要采取行动的情况下,专家委员会和当选的政治家往往会有利益冲突,或者与普通公民的价值观脱节,从而使他们做出错误的选择来填补公众舆论的空白。相比之下,一个与普通公民的价值观相联系的小公众似乎是这个职位的最佳人选。在回应布赫斯蒂恩和塔尔博特时,拉丰提出了两个问题。首先,在没有公众舆论来制定议程的情况下,我们不能在这些没有舆论的领域合法地立法。第二种说法是,被授权的小公众基本上没有民主资格在这些领域做出决定。拉丰之所以认为在没有民意的问题领域采取行动是不合法的,是因为“议程设置是一种典型的政治功能,需要受到民主控制。”85由此我们可以看到,第一种反应本质上依赖于第二种反应:被授权的小公众不能制定议程,因为被授权的小公众不是民主控制的表现。面对塔尔博特和布赫斯蒂恩的论点,为什么拉丰认为被授权的小公众是不合法的?她将这一问题描述为一个两难境地:“有问题的决定是否与公民的意愿和经验一致很重要,否则就无关紧要。”如果不能,我们应该使用专家而不是微型公众。相比之下,如果“此类决策追踪公民的经历和意愿……”确实重要,那么迷你公众就不会提供“捷径”来实现这一目标。公民需要了解情况,在具有重要政治影响的问题上形成经过深思熟虑的意见和意愿。”总而言之,拉丰的问题在于与公众舆论保持一致很重要,而这里没有公众舆论。她的解决办法是,全体公众必须深思熟虑,形成一种意见。正如我早些时候指出的,拉丰的这一举动基本上是对次优选择的合法性的拒绝。拉丰在这里提出,对于这个问题的答案是:“我们应该如何在公众尚未审议的问题上做出决定,因此没有意见”,答案是“推迟做出决定,直到他们审议”。正如布赫斯蒂恩和塔尔博特所建议的那样,考虑到需要政治决策的问题的广度和深度,这通常是不可能的。没有舆论的时候我们该怎么办?拉丰似乎认为,由专家团体作出的决定与由小型公众作出的决定同样好,而由选举产生的立法机构或公民投票作出的决定比两者都好。我认为,在这些情况下,小公众与公众舆论的联系比任何其他机制都要强烈得多。在聚集的民意不是一种态度的情况下,我们可以随机选择一个深思熟虑的立法机构来决定,并根据考虑过的民意做出立法决定,或者我们可以通过全民公决来立法,或者把这件事留给民选的政治家,并做出与民意关系非常不明确的决定。如果公投或民意调查问题的变化会产生不同的结果,那么授权公投就不能令人信服地声称是对“人民意志”的回应。此外,如果在一系列广泛的问题上不存在民意,就不可能设计一个总是根据民意投票的民选立法机构。在公众未进行协商的情况下,反事实协商舆论与实际舆论不存在冲突。我们所拥有的只是反事实的、深思熟虑的公众舆论,根本就没有意见。在这种情况下,鉴于不存在冲突,拉丰关于被授权的微型公众的合法性的论点似乎都不适用。在没有公众舆论的情况下,采用次优选择并没有什么错:如果他们考虑过的话,公众舆论会是什么样子。如果“无意见”是对许多具体政治决策的公众意见,那么“原始”公众意见与“考虑过的”小公众意见之间的冲突可能是相当罕见的。在存在“原始的”公众意见(而不是没有态度)的情况下,它至少有时是关于公众具有深刻道德清晰度的事情。例如,在禁止谋杀的刑法条款是否应该废除的问题上,被调查的公民对框架效应高度敏感,这是非常令人惊讶的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
12.50%
发文量
44
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