A profile of firearm-related fatalities admitted to the Diepkloof Forensic Pathology Service Soweto medico-legal mortuary during the COVID-19 and post COVID-19 periods.

Abstract

This retrospective descriptive study examined firearm-related fatalities during (April-December 2020; n = 241) and after (April-December 2023; n = 299) COVID-19 lockdowns using 540 cases from the Diepkloof Forensic Pathology Service, Soweto, South Africa. Data was obtained from autopsy reports, forensic records, police statements, and death scene documentation. Firearm violence affected young adult Black males (22-43 years), with only minor demographic shifts post-pandemic. The overall burden and core patterns of violence remained stable, with criminal activity - primarily robbery and interpersonal violence - persisting as the leading contexts, and homicide the dominant manner of death. Post-COVID-19 findings demonstrated contextual shifts, including increased incidents in public and social environments, reflecting greater mobility and resumption of social activity. A significant rise in mean blood alcohol concentration (0.09 g/100 mL vs 0.14 g/100 mL; p < 0.0001) suggests increased alcohol involvement following easing of restrictions. Unfortunately, persistent information gaps, noted particularly in circumstantial history, incident location, firearm type, highlighting the need for improved data provision and capture systems. While the epidemiology of firearm-related fatalities remained unchanged, the post-COVID-19 period was characterised by increased alcohol involvement, shifts toward public-space violence, and fewer gunshot wounds per victim, suggesting changes in situational and behavioural dynamics rather than underlying drivers of violence.