Decision reversals in sequential decision-making.

IF 6.4
Sherry Dongqi Bao, Dongjae Kim, Qi Xiu Fu, Wei Ji Ma
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Abstract

People often wish they could reverse previous decisions. However, few sequential decision-making tasks used in the literature allow participants to undo their decisions. As a result, it remains an open question when, how, and why people reverse their decisions. We designed a sequential decision-making task in which the participant connected cities on a map using a limited road budget, either without or with the option to undo their decisions. We found that when decisions were reversible, participants spent less time on their first action, progressively improved on their solutions through decision reversals, and ultimately achieved better final performance. Furthermore, decision reversals predominantly corrected errors, and did so with greater precision when errors were larger. Finally, we found evidence that decision reversals were predicted by factors that may be associated with a subjective prior probability of an error. Taken together, our results are consistent with a view in which uncertainty about being on the right track - both retrospective and prospective - drives decision reversals. Our work opens the door to neurocognitive, computational and translational studies of decision reversals.

顺序决策中的决策逆转。
人们常常希望他们能改变之前的决定。然而,文献中使用的顺序决策任务很少允许参与者撤销他们的决定。因此,人们何时、如何以及为什么改变他们的决定仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。我们设计了一个顺序决策任务,在这个任务中,参与者使用有限的道路预算在地图上连接城市,要么没有选择,要么有选择撤销他们的决定。我们发现,当决策是可逆的时候,参与者花在第一次行动上的时间更少,通过决策逆转逐步改进他们的解决方案,最终取得更好的最终表现。此外,决策逆转主要是纠正错误,当错误较大时,它的准确性更高。最后,我们发现证据表明,决策逆转是由可能与错误的主观先验概率相关的因素预测的。综上所述,我们的结果与一种观点是一致的,即对正确轨道的不确定性-回顾和展望-驱动决策逆转。我们的工作为决策逆转的神经认知、计算和翻译研究打开了大门。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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