A counterfactual and random intercept cross-lagged panel analysis of the effects of reading frequency on adolescent mental health in a large longitudinal study

IF 4.1
JCPP advances Pub Date : 2026-09-13 Epub Date: 2025-11-22 DOI:10.1002/jcv2.70075
Aja Murray, Patrick Errington, Yi Yang, Helen Wright, Daniel Mirman, Ingrid Obsuth, Tom Booth, Denis Ribeaud, Manuel Eisner
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Abstract

Background

Reading has been proposed as a protective factor in mental health; however, evaluating this is challenging due to a lack of trials and the possibility of confounding in observational studies.

Methods

We used the complementary approaches of covariate balancing propensity score weighting and random intercepts cross-lagged panel models in the large longitudinal Zurich Project on Social Development from Childhood to Adulthood study. Outcomes were measured from age 13 to 20 for anxiety and depression and at age 20 for psychosis-like symptoms.

Results

After accounting for potential confounding there were no significant effects of reading frequency on adolescent mental health across either approach.

Conclusion

Increasing reading frequency without considering motivation, content and style of reading engagement is not a promising protective factor in adolescent mental health.

在一项大型纵向研究中,阅读频率对青少年心理健康影响的反事实和随机截距交叉滞后面板分析。
背景:阅读被认为是心理健康的保护因素;然而,由于缺乏试验和观察性研究中存在混淆的可能性,评估这一点具有挑战性。方法:我们采用协变量平衡倾向得分加权和随机截距交叉滞后面板模型的互补方法,在大型纵向苏黎世项目中进行了从童年到成年的社会发展研究。从13岁到20岁测量焦虑和抑郁的结果,20岁时测量类似精神病的症状。结果:在考虑了潜在的混杂因素后,两种方法中阅读频率对青少年心理健康的影响都不显著。结论:在不考虑阅读动机、阅读内容和阅读方式的情况下增加阅读频率并不是青少年心理健康的有效保护因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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