Meteorological Factors Conducive to Extreme Remote Rainfall Events in Northeastern Taiwan

IF 2.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Li-Huan Hsu, Shih-Hao Su, Yu-Hsin Hsu, Wen-Wei Tseng, Jung-Lien Chu, Lee-Yaw Lin
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study investigates the climatological characteristics of remote rainfall in northeastern Taiwan during the cold half-year of 1980–2023. We identify critical factors driving heavy precipitation when tropical cyclones (TCs) are located south of Taiwan. Spatial analysis reveals distinct rainfall ‘hotspots’ that shift southward from Yilan depending on the TC's specific position. Statistical results indicate that heavy rainfall is primarily governed by extrinsic environmental thresholds, specifically moisture convergence and specific humidity. Validation using 2024–2025 cases confirm the robustness of these thresholds. We conclude that the interaction between background northeasterly flow and TC positioning acts as the dominant control. This relationship suggests that future climate-induced changes in TC tracks may displace established rainfall hotspots, potentially altering regional hydroclimatic risks.

Abstract Image

台湾东北部极端偏远降雨事件的气象因子
本研究探讨1980-2023年寒半年台湾东北部偏远地区降雨的气候特征。本文探讨了热带气旋位于台湾南部时,造成强降水的关键因素。空间分析显示,根据TC的具体位置,不同的降雨“热点”从宜兰向南转移。统计结果表明,暴雨主要受外部环境阈值的控制,特别是湿度辐合和比湿度。使用2024-2025病例的验证证实了这些阈值的稳健性。背景东北气流与TC定位的相互作用是主控因素。这种关系表明,未来气候引起的TC路径变化可能会取代现有的降雨热点,潜在地改变区域水文气候风险。
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来源期刊
Atmospheric Science Letters
Atmospheric Science Letters METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
3.30%
发文量
73
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Atmospheric Science Letters (ASL) is a wholly Open Access electronic journal. Its aim is to provide a fully peer reviewed publication route for new shorter contributions in the field of atmospheric and closely related sciences. Through its ability to publish shorter contributions more rapidly than conventional journals, ASL offers a framework that promotes new understanding and creates scientific debate - providing a platform for discussing scientific issues and techniques. We encourage the presentation of multi-disciplinary work and contributions that utilise ideas and techniques from parallel areas. We particularly welcome contributions that maximise the visualisation capabilities offered by a purely on-line journal. ASL welcomes papers in the fields of: Dynamical meteorology; Ocean-atmosphere systems; Climate change, variability and impacts; New or improved observations from instrumentation; Hydrometeorology; Numerical weather prediction; Data assimilation and ensemble forecasting; Physical processes of the atmosphere; Land surface-atmosphere systems.
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