Pratyay Hasan, Tazdin Delwar Khan, Ishteaque Alam, Mohammad Emdadul Haque, Minhajul Abedin
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective: Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are a leading cause of injury deaths in Bangladesh, but local geographic patterns remain poorly understood. This study aimed to identify high- and low-risk districts for RTA mortality and track changes from 2022 to 2024 to inform targeted interventions.
Methods: In this district-level ecological study, we analyzed DGHS official RTA mortality data across all 64 districts. Population-adjusted rates were computed; Moran's I and Getis-Ord Gi* assessed spatial autocorrelation for hotspots/coldspots; SaTScan detected space-time clusters.
Results: Raw counts were randomly distributed, but adjusted rates showed significant dispersion (Moran's I = -0.143, p=0.006 in 2023), with high-risk districts bordering low-risk ones. Persistent northwestern spatial hotspots included Naogaon, Natore, and Bogra. Spatio-temporal analysis identified high-rate clusters in 2024 for Dhaka (RR 6.14, p=0.001) and Rajshahi (RR 10.07, p=0.001), alongside stable low-mortality clusters in northern (RR 0.07) and southern (RR 0.19) regions. Methodological limitations include the use of uniform population projection rates and the ecological design, which precludes causal inference.
Conclusion: RTA mortality reflects distinct local epidemics, not a uniform crisis. Geographic disparities support a precision public health approach, with prioritization of high-risk corridors and urban zones for targeted interventions, alongside investigation of protective factors in low-risk clusters.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Public Health Research (JPHR) is an online Open Access, peer-reviewed journal in the field of public health science. The aim of the journal is to stimulate debate and dissemination of knowledge in the public health field in order to improve efficacy, effectiveness and efficiency of public health interventions to improve health outcomes of populations. This aim can only be achieved by adopting a global and multidisciplinary approach. The Journal of Public Health Research publishes contributions from both the “traditional'' disciplines of public health, including hygiene, epidemiology, health education, environmental health, occupational health, health policy, hospital management, health economics, law and ethics as well as from the area of new health care fields including social science, communication science, eHealth and mHealth philosophy, health technology assessment, genetics research implications, population-mental health, gender and disparity issues, global and migration-related themes. In support of this approach, JPHR strongly encourages the use of real multidisciplinary approaches and analyses in the manuscripts submitted to the journal. In addition to Original research, Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, Meta-synthesis and Perspectives and Debate articles, JPHR publishes newsworthy Brief Reports, Letters and Study Protocols related to public health and public health management activities.
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