{"title":"Caught in the crossfire: Livelihood, employment and forced displacement in Nigeria","authors":"Jamilu Babangida, Anita Staneva, Parvinder Kler","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2026.107040","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Considering sex differences of household heads, this study examines the livelihood opportunities and labour market outcomes of displaced individuals using the 2018 World Bank data on the profile of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) in North-East Nigeria. Our logistic and Probability score matching (PSM) results suggest that forcibly displaced female-headed households are more likely to be self-employed in non-farm activities. The estimates reveal a decrease in male-headed households’ farm employment due to forced displacement. Additionally, the results show no noticeable impact on labour force participation among IDPs. We highlight the critical role of informal employment as a buffer against displacement.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48015,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 107040"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2026-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Policy Modeling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893826000347","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/3/19 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Considering sex differences of household heads, this study examines the livelihood opportunities and labour market outcomes of displaced individuals using the 2018 World Bank data on the profile of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) in North-East Nigeria. Our logistic and Probability score matching (PSM) results suggest that forcibly displaced female-headed households are more likely to be self-employed in non-farm activities. The estimates reveal a decrease in male-headed households’ farm employment due to forced displacement. Additionally, the results show no noticeable impact on labour force participation among IDPs. We highlight the critical role of informal employment as a buffer against displacement.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.