Bridging the gap: Peru’s path towards achieving the SDGs

IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-04-24 DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2026.107048
Alhassane Camara , Luis-Gonzalo Llosa , Babatunde Abidoye , Carlos De Los Rios , Pablo Lavado
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper analyzes the potential impact of policy interventions on the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in Peru. A macro-micro modeling approach, linking a dynamic recursive Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, an econometric micro-simulation model and a human capital model, is used to assess the effects of increased public investment in infrastructure, education, and health, along with improvements in public sector efficiency. The results show that maintaining past public spending trends would lead to limited progress in achieving several SDGs. However, strategically increasing public investment can significantly improve educational outcomes, reduce poverty, and enhance economic growth and productivity. The study also highlights the importance of public sector efficiency and external financing to maximize the impact of SDG-focused investments.
弥合差距:秘鲁实现可持续发展目标的道路
本文分析了政策干预对秘鲁实现可持续发展目标(sdg)的潜在影响。采用宏观-微观建模方法,将动态递归可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型、计量经济学微观模拟模型和人力资本模型联系起来,评估在基础设施、教育和卫生领域增加公共投资以及提高公共部门效率所产生的影响。结果表明,维持过去的公共支出趋势将导致在实现若干可持续发展目标方面取得有限进展。然而,战略性地增加公共投资可以显著改善教育成果,减少贫困,促进经济增长和生产力。该研究还强调了公共部门效率和外部融资对于最大限度地发挥以可持续发展目标为重点的投资的影响的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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