Trends, regional disparities, and projected burden of anemia among women of reproductive age in Ghana, 2000-2030.

IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Abdul-Wahab Inusah, Temple Jagha, Michael G Head, Abdul-Aziz Seidu, Shamsu-Deen Ziblim
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Anemia remains a significant public health concern among women of reproductive age (WRA) in Ghana, contributing to adverse health and socioeconomic outcomes. Despite national nutrition and malaria control interventions, progress has been modest with persistent regional disparities. This study assessed national and regional trends in anemia prevalence among WRA from 2000 to 2019, quantified regional inequalities, and forecasted national prevalence to 2030 to measure progress toward global reduction targets.

Methods: Population-representative estimates of anemia among WRA were obtained from the WHO Health Equity Assessment Toolkit (HEAT) database. National and regional prevalence were analyzed using four inequality measures: difference (D), ratio (R), population attributable risk (PAR), and population attributable fraction (PAF). Time-series forecasting was conducted using an ARIMA (1, 1, 0) model to project prevalence from 2020 to 2030.

Results: Anemia prevalence among WRA declined modestly from 47.8% in 2000 to 44.3% in 2019, a 3.5%-point reduction. The Ashanti region recorded the greatest decline (43.3% to 37.3%), while the Upper West region observed the highest increase (41.0% to 45.2%). Regional inequalities widened from 2000 to 2019 across several measures: D (18.1 to 22.2), R (1.5 to 1.6), and PAF (- 16.2 to - 18.4). ARIMA forecasting suggests a plateauing effect, with national prevalence projected to reach 43.6% (95% CI: 40.4-46.9) by 2030.

Conclusion: The modest decline in prevalence, coupled with widening regional inequalities and a projected plateau through 2030, indicates that current progress is insufficient to achieve WHO global targets. Addressing these gaps requires geographically targeted, multi-sectoral interventions, such as improving food storage infrastructure and integrating malaria control with nutritional counseling, to accelerate progress and ensure equitable health outcomes for WRA across all regions of Ghana.

2000-2030年加纳育龄妇女贫血趋势、地区差异和预计负担。
背景:贫血仍然是加纳育龄妇女(WRA)的一个重要公共卫生问题,导致不利的健康和社会经济后果。尽管采取了国家营养和疟疾控制措施,但进展不大,区域差距持续存在。本研究评估了2000年至2019年世界贫困地区贫血患病率的国家和区域趋势,量化了区域不平等,并预测了到2030年的国家患病率,以衡量实现全球减少目标的进展情况。方法:从世界卫生组织卫生公平评估工具包(HEAT)数据库中获得WRA中贫血的人口代表性估计。采用四种不平等指标:差异(D)、比率(R)、人口归因风险(PAR)和人口归因分数(PAF)分析国家和地区患病率。采用ARIMA(1,1,0)模型进行时间序列预测,预测2020 - 2030年的患病率。结果:WRA的贫血患病率略有下降,从2000年的47.8%下降到2019年的44.3%,下降了3.5个百分点。阿散蒂地区的降幅最大(从43.3%降至37.3%),而上西部地区的增幅最大(从41.0%降至45.2%)。从2000年到2019年,区域不平等在若干指标上有所扩大:D(18.1至22.2)、R(1.5至1.6)和PAF(- 16.2至- 18.4)。ARIMA预测表明,到2030年,全国患病率预计将达到43.6% (95% CI: 40.4-46.9)。结论:患病率的小幅下降,加上区域不平等的扩大和预计到2030年的平稳期,表明目前的进展不足以实现世卫组织的全球目标。要解决这些差距,就需要采取有地域针对性的多部门干预措施,如改善粮食储存基础设施,将疟疾控制与营养咨询结合起来,以加快进展,确保加纳所有地区的世界粮食计划署取得公平的健康成果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Reproductive Health
Reproductive Health PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
5.90%
发文量
220
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Reproductive Health focuses on all aspects of human reproduction. The journal includes sections dedicated to adolescent health, female fertility and midwifery and all content is open access. Reproductive health is defined as a state of physical, mental, and social well-being in all matters relating to the reproductive system, at all stages of life. Good reproductive health implies that people are able to have a satisfying and safe sex life, the capability to reproduce and the freedom to decide if, when, and how often to do so. Men and women should be informed about and have access to safe, effective, affordable, and acceptable methods of family planning of their choice, and the right to appropriate health-care services that enable women to safely go through pregnancy and childbirth.
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