Association of In-Hospital Influenza Vaccination With Reduced 1-Year Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Chronic Pulmonary Disease: A Real-World Target Trial Emulation.

IF 9.8 1区 医学 Q1 CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE
Chest Pub Date : 2026-10-01 Epub Date: 2026-04-28 DOI:10.1016/j.chest.2026.04.022
Jiadong Feng, Fengchan Xi, Chuanrui Sun, Shanjun Tan, Xiling Wang
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Influenza vaccination is recommended widely to reduce the risk of death and serious illness in vulnerable people, but in-hospital influenza vaccination for critically ill patients with chronic pulmonary disease (CPD) remains limited.

Research question: Is in-hospital influenza vaccination effective in improving the prognosis of critically ill patients with CPD?

Study design and methods: We designed a target trial emulation using critically ill inpatients with CPD from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database (2011-2022). Propensity score matching was used to balance baseline characteristics. The primary effectiveness outcome was 1-year mortality, with fever within 7 days after vaccination as an exploratory safety outcome. Associations with mortality were assessed using Cox and accelerated failure time models, whereas readmission or emergency department (ED) visits were assessed using logistic models. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as (1 - hazard ratio or OR) × 100, and the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) was derived. Noninferiority for fever was defined as the risk difference (RD) with upper 95% CI of < 5%.

Results: Among 7,734 patients, 3,803 patients (49.2%) received the influenza vaccine. Vaccination was associated with reduced 1-year mortality (VE, 12%; 95% CI, 3%-20%), with NNV to prevent 1 death of 30 (95% CI, 18-119). Furthermore, patients who were vaccinated showed 12% (95% CI, 1%-21%) lower 90-day mortality, 13% (95% CI, 3%-22%) reduced readmission risk, and 23% (95% CI, 12%-32%) less rate of ED visits. Noninferiority in fever incidence was demonstrated for the vaccinated group compared with the unvaccinated group according to the prespecified noninferiority criterion (RD, 2.22%; 95% CI, -0.02% to 4.47%).

Interpretation: Our results show that in-hospital influenza vaccination is effective for critically ill patients with CPD, supporting its integration into routine inpatient care to improve long-term outcomes.

住院流感疫苗接种与慢性肺部疾病危重患者1年死亡率降低相关:一项真实世界的目标试验模拟
背景:流感疫苗接种被广泛推荐用于预防易感人群的死亡和严重疾病,但慢性肺部疾病(CPD)重症患者的住院流感疫苗接种仍然有限。研究问题:院内流感疫苗接种是否能有效改善重症CPD患者的预后?研究设计和方法:我们设计了一个目标试验模拟,使用MIMIC-IV数据库(2011-2022)中的CPD住院危重患者。采用倾向评分匹配来平衡基线特征。主要有效性终点是1年死亡率,接种后7天内发热作为探索性安全性终点。使用Cox和加速失效时间模型评估与死亡率的关联,而使用logistic模型评估再入院或急诊(ED)访问量。估计疫苗有效性(VE)为(1-风险比或优势比)*100,并得出疫苗接种所需数量(NNV)。发热的非劣效性定义为风险差异(RD)大于95%置信区间(CI) < 5%。结果:7734例患者中有3803例(49.2%)接种了流感疫苗。接种疫苗可降低1年死亡率(死亡率12%;95% CI: 3%-20%), NNV可预防1例死亡(95% CI: 18-119)。此外,接种疫苗的患者90天死亡率降低12% (95% CI: 1%-21%),再入院风险降低13% (95% CI: 3%-22%),急诊科就诊减少23% (95% CI: 12%-32%)。根据预先规定的非劣效性标准,接种疫苗组与未接种疫苗组相比发热发生率无劣效性(RD, 2.22%; 95% CI: -0.02%-4.47%)。解释:住院流感疫苗接种对重症CPD患者有效,支持将其纳入常规住院治疗以改善长期预后。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Chest
Chest 医学-呼吸系统
CiteScore
13.70
自引率
3.10%
发文量
3369
审稿时长
15 days
期刊介绍: At CHEST, our mission is to revolutionize patient care through the collaboration of multidisciplinary clinicians in the fields of pulmonary, critical care, and sleep medicine. We achieve this by publishing cutting-edge clinical research that addresses current challenges and brings forth future advancements. To enhance understanding in a rapidly evolving field, CHEST also features review articles, commentaries, and facilitates discussions on emerging controversies. We place great emphasis on scientific rigor, employing a rigorous peer review process, and ensuring all accepted content is published online within two weeks.
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