{"title":"Hazard perception and prediction model based on cognitive components of male BRT drivers.","authors":"Amir Hossein Zarei, Morteza Asadamraji","doi":"10.1080/15389588.2026.2635562","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Hazard perception is a crucial skill for drivers and is typically measured using computer-based hazard perception tests. In these tests, drivers identify potential hazards in video clips recorded from the driver's perspective. Recently, researchers have also focused on another driver attribute called \"hazard prediction.\" In hazard prediction tests, each scenario pauses just before a potentially dangerous event, and drivers must predict the subsequent events. Urban bus rapid transit (BRT) systems in Iran operate on dedicated routes that present specific hazards, such as sudden pedestrian crossings, motorcycle traffic, and emergency vehicles. Therefore, investigating the hazard perception and prediction abilities of BRT drivers can yield valuable insights to improve safety and reduce accidents.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study was conducted in Tehran, Iran, involving 187 urban BRT drivers. Hazard perception and prediction tests were designed, and demographic as well as cognitive questionnaires were administered to assess driver characteristics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The data were analyzed using SmartPLS software and structural equation modeling. The final structural equation model for hazard perception indicated that social cognition, planning, and inhibitory control were the most influential factors. For hazard prediction, sustained attention, cognitive flexibility, inhibitory control, decision-making, and memory emerged as the most significant variables.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The results of this research can inform the training, testing, and evaluation of urban BRT drivers.</p>","PeriodicalId":54422,"journal":{"name":"Traffic Injury Prevention","volume":" ","pages":"1-9"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2026-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Traffic Injury Prevention","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2026.2635562","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: Hazard perception is a crucial skill for drivers and is typically measured using computer-based hazard perception tests. In these tests, drivers identify potential hazards in video clips recorded from the driver's perspective. Recently, researchers have also focused on another driver attribute called "hazard prediction." In hazard prediction tests, each scenario pauses just before a potentially dangerous event, and drivers must predict the subsequent events. Urban bus rapid transit (BRT) systems in Iran operate on dedicated routes that present specific hazards, such as sudden pedestrian crossings, motorcycle traffic, and emergency vehicles. Therefore, investigating the hazard perception and prediction abilities of BRT drivers can yield valuable insights to improve safety and reduce accidents.
Methods: This study was conducted in Tehran, Iran, involving 187 urban BRT drivers. Hazard perception and prediction tests were designed, and demographic as well as cognitive questionnaires were administered to assess driver characteristics.
Results: The data were analyzed using SmartPLS software and structural equation modeling. The final structural equation model for hazard perception indicated that social cognition, planning, and inhibitory control were the most influential factors. For hazard prediction, sustained attention, cognitive flexibility, inhibitory control, decision-making, and memory emerged as the most significant variables.
Conclusions: The results of this research can inform the training, testing, and evaluation of urban BRT drivers.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Traffic Injury Prevention is to bridge the disciplines of medicine, engineering, public health and traffic safety in order to foster the science of traffic injury prevention. The archival journal focuses on research, interventions and evaluations within the areas of traffic safety, crash causation, injury prevention and treatment.
General topics within the journal''s scope are driver behavior, road infrastructure, emerging crash avoidance technologies, crash and injury epidemiology, alcohol and drugs, impact injury biomechanics, vehicle crashworthiness, occupant restraints, pedestrian safety, evaluation of interventions, economic consequences and emergency and clinical care with specific application to traffic injury prevention. The journal includes full length papers, review articles, case studies, brief technical notes and commentaries.