A New Approach Based on Twitter Sentiment Analysis and Machine Learning in Post-Disaster Relief Management

IF 2.5 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Hilal Karamancıoğlu, Ayça Zenginoğlu, Yusuf Kuvvetli
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Throughout history, natural and man-made disasters have caused significant destruction in biological, psychological, social, and economic areas, and their complete prevention has not been possible. Disaster management is essential to reduce the devastating effects of events such as earthquakes, fires, landslides, floods, erosion, droughts, and avalanches, whose frequency is increasing. In this process, data sharing and the rapid, coordinated flow of information are crucial for post-disaster recovery. The earthquake in our country on February 6, 2023, once again demonstrated the importance of data sharing in disaster management. After the disaster, social media platforms, especially X, emerged as valuable data sources. This study aims to classify and analyze data obtained from X using machine learning algorithms and sentiment analysis in the context of disaster management. It seeks to understand the emotional responses of society during and after disasters and to support rapid response and relief operations through the effective use of this information. Considering the speed and constantly updated nature of data, various algorithms were compared for accurate and fast classification. In the data pre-processing, natural language processing techniques and sentiment analysis methods were employed to identify the emotional states of society following the disaster. The experimental results demonstrate that Random Forest, Multi-Layer Neural Networks, and GRU models achieve a 99% accuracy rate, thereby exhibiting a substantial improvement over the Naive Bayes (91%) and Extra Decision Tree (94%) approaches. In class-based evaluations, it was observed that GRU and neural network-based methods, in particular, produced high precision and recall values (0.9 and above) across all categories, demonstrating consistent performance despite the imbalanced class distribution. This study highlights the importance of operations research and industrial engineering and demonstrates the potential of data science to enhance disaster response strategies.

基于Twitter情感分析和机器学习的灾后救援管理新方法
纵观历史,自然灾害和人为灾害在生物、心理、社会和经济领域造成了重大破坏,完全预防是不可能的。灾害管理对于减少地震、火灾、滑坡、洪水、侵蚀、干旱和雪崩等事件的破坏性影响至关重要,这些事件的发生频率正在增加。在这一过程中,数据共享和快速、协调的信息流动对灾后恢复至关重要。2023年2月6日发生在我国的地震,再次证明了数据共享在灾害管理中的重要性。灾难发生后,社交媒体平台,尤其是X,成为了有价值的数据来源。本研究旨在利用机器学习算法和灾难管理背景下的情感分析对从X获得的数据进行分类和分析。它旨在了解灾害期间和灾害后社会的情绪反应,并通过有效利用这些信息来支持快速反应和救济行动。考虑到数据的速度和不断更新的性质,比较了各种算法以实现准确和快速的分类。在数据预处理中,采用自然语言处理技术和情感分析方法识别灾后社会的情绪状态。实验结果表明,随机森林、多层神经网络和GRU模型达到了99%的准确率,从而比朴素贝叶斯(91%)和额外决策树(94%)方法有了很大的改进。在基于类别的评估中,观察到GRU和基于神经网络的方法在所有类别中产生了高精度和召回值(0.9及以上),尽管类别分布不平衡,但表现出一致的性能。这项研究强调了运筹学和工业工程的重要性,并展示了数据科学在增强灾害响应策略方面的潜力。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
12.90%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: The Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management is an invaluable source of information on all aspects of contingency planning, scenario analysis and crisis management in both corporate and public sectors. It focuses on the opportunities and threats facing organizations and presents analysis and case studies of crisis prevention, crisis planning, recovery and turnaround management. With contributions from world-wide sources including corporations, governmental agencies, think tanks and influential academics, this publication provides a vital platform for the exchange of strategic and operational experience, information and knowledge.
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