Benjamin Straube,Lukas Kirchner,Gina L Haccou,Isabelle C Ridderbusch,Ingmar Heinig,Jan Richter,Ulrike Lueken,Paul Pauli,Jürgen Deckert,Katharina Domschke,Peter Neudeck,Katja Koelkebeck,Udo Dannlowski,Volker Arolt,Thomas Fydrich,Andreas Ströhle,Jürgen Margraf,Silvia Schneider,Jürgen Hoyer,Alfons O Hamm,Hans-Ulrich Wittchen,Tilo Kircher,Winfried Rief,Andre Pittig
{"title":"From Expectation to Learning: A Mediational Model of Exposure Therapy Outcome in Anxiety Disorders.","authors":"Benjamin Straube,Lukas Kirchner,Gina L Haccou,Isabelle C Ridderbusch,Ingmar Heinig,Jan Richter,Ulrike Lueken,Paul Pauli,Jürgen Deckert,Katharina Domschke,Peter Neudeck,Katja Koelkebeck,Udo Dannlowski,Volker Arolt,Thomas Fydrich,Andreas Ströhle,Jürgen Margraf,Silvia Schneider,Jürgen Hoyer,Alfons O Hamm,Hans-Ulrich Wittchen,Tilo Kircher,Winfried Rief,Andre Pittig","doi":"10.1159/000551966","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"INTRODUCTION\r\nNegative expectations about treatment outcomes are associated with poorer recovery in anxiety disorders. However, it remains unclear whether (1) patients' expectations about how effective the treatment will be (treatment-specific expectations) mediate the link between generalized negative expectations (i.e. unspecific pessimistic beliefs) and treatment outcomes, and (2) these expectations affect outcomes via the learning rate during exposure therapy, that is, the extent to which patients update their fear-related beliefs based on corrective experiences. Since treatment-specific expectations may be more modifiable, clarifying these mechanisms could improve interventions. This study investigated whether treatment-specific expectations and learning rate mediate the effect of generalized negative expectations on treatment outcomes.\r\n\r\nMETHODS\r\nData from 605 patients with various anxiety disorders undergoing 12 sessions of manualized exposure therapy were analyzed. Generalized negative expectations at baseline (session 0) were hypothesized to predict treatment outcomes (i.e., symptom severity at post treatment) via expectations about treatment success measured at session 4 and learning rate during exposure. Depression and anxiety at baseline were covariates. Mediation analyses were conducted using the PROCESS macro with bootstrap confidence intervals.\r\n\r\nRESULTS\r\nGeneralized negative expectations predicted poorer treatment outcomes (higher symptom severity), mediated by lower expectations about treatment success (β = 0.0375; 95% CI: 0.0088-0.0730). A sequential mediation via these treatment-specific expectations and learning rate was also significant (β = 0.0059; 95% CI: 0.0008-0.0134), even after accounting for baseline symptom levels (R² = 0.3375).\r\n\r\nCONCLUSION\r\nTargeting both generalized and treatment-specific expectations early in treatment may enhance exposure-based learning and improve clinical outcomes in anxiety disorders.","PeriodicalId":20744,"journal":{"name":"Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics","volume":"68 1","pages":"1-25"},"PeriodicalIF":17.4000,"publicationDate":"2026-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000551966","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHIATRY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
INTRODUCTION
Negative expectations about treatment outcomes are associated with poorer recovery in anxiety disorders. However, it remains unclear whether (1) patients' expectations about how effective the treatment will be (treatment-specific expectations) mediate the link between generalized negative expectations (i.e. unspecific pessimistic beliefs) and treatment outcomes, and (2) these expectations affect outcomes via the learning rate during exposure therapy, that is, the extent to which patients update their fear-related beliefs based on corrective experiences. Since treatment-specific expectations may be more modifiable, clarifying these mechanisms could improve interventions. This study investigated whether treatment-specific expectations and learning rate mediate the effect of generalized negative expectations on treatment outcomes.
METHODS
Data from 605 patients with various anxiety disorders undergoing 12 sessions of manualized exposure therapy were analyzed. Generalized negative expectations at baseline (session 0) were hypothesized to predict treatment outcomes (i.e., symptom severity at post treatment) via expectations about treatment success measured at session 4 and learning rate during exposure. Depression and anxiety at baseline were covariates. Mediation analyses were conducted using the PROCESS macro with bootstrap confidence intervals.
RESULTS
Generalized negative expectations predicted poorer treatment outcomes (higher symptom severity), mediated by lower expectations about treatment success (β = 0.0375; 95% CI: 0.0088-0.0730). A sequential mediation via these treatment-specific expectations and learning rate was also significant (β = 0.0059; 95% CI: 0.0008-0.0134), even after accounting for baseline symptom levels (R² = 0.3375).
CONCLUSION
Targeting both generalized and treatment-specific expectations early in treatment may enhance exposure-based learning and improve clinical outcomes in anxiety disorders.
期刊介绍:
Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics is a reputable journal that has been published since 1953. Over the years, it has gained recognition for its independence, originality, and methodological rigor. The journal has been at the forefront of research in psychosomatic medicine, psychotherapy research, and psychopharmacology, and has contributed to the development of new lines of research in these areas. It is now ranked among the world's most cited journals in the field.
As the official journal of the International College of Psychosomatic Medicine and the World Federation for Psychotherapy, Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics serves as a platform for discussing current and controversial issues and showcasing innovations in assessment and treatment. It offers a unique forum for cutting-edge thinking at the intersection of medical and behavioral sciences, catering to both practicing clinicians and researchers.
The journal is indexed in various databases and platforms such as PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science, Science Citation Index, Social Sciences Citation Index, Science Citation Index Expanded, BIOSIS Previews, Google Scholar, Academic Search, and Health Research Premium Collection, among others.