When Harry met Kelly: an overlooked result in the classical theory of optimal capital growth

IF 1.1 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Richard Watt
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Abstract

A classic problem in finance is the question of how an investor should optimally allocate wealth over one risky and one risk-free asset. This article reconsiders this theory under the assumptions that (1) the investor’s objective is to maximize the intertemporal growth rate of their wealth, (2) that the investor can make portfolio adjustments only in discrete time, and (3) that the risky asset is defined in each period according to only its mean return and the standard deviation thereof. This problem has been resolved only for continuous time. Here, the discrete time strategy for optimal capital growth is resolved for two different methodologies, and it is shown that the continuous time model is recoverable as a limit version of each of the two discrete time models. Finally, both of the methodologies considered lead to the same first-order Taylor’s approximation formula, which always gives a more accurate approximation to the true optimal discrete time strategy than does the continuous time strategy.

Abstract Image

当哈利遇见凯利:经典最优资本增长理论中被忽视的结果
金融领域的一个经典问题是,投资者应该如何在一种风险资产和一种无风险资产上最优地分配财富。本文在以下假设下重新考虑这一理论:(1)投资者的目标是使其财富的跨期增长率最大化;(2)投资者只能在离散时间内调整投资组合;(3)风险资产在每个时期仅根据其平均收益及其标准差来定义。这个问题只有在连续时间内才得到解决。在这里,对两种不同的方法解决了最优资本增长的离散时间策略,并表明连续时间模型作为两种离散时间模型中的每一种的极限版本是可恢复的。最后,考虑的两种方法都导致相同的一阶泰勒近似公式,该公式总是比连续时间策略更准确地近似于真正的最优离散时间策略。
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来源期刊
Annals of Finance
Annals of Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: Annals of Finance provides an outlet for original research in all areas of finance and its applications to other disciplines having a clear and substantive link to the general theme of finance. In particular, innovative research papers of moderate length of the highest quality in all scientific areas that are motivated by the analysis of financial problems will be considered. Annals of Finance''s scope encompasses - but is not limited to - the following areas: accounting and finance, asset pricing, banking and finance, capital markets and finance, computational finance, corporate finance, derivatives, dynamical and chaotic systems in finance, economics and finance, empirical finance, experimental finance, finance and the theory of the firm, financial econometrics, financial institutions, mathematical finance, money and finance, portfolio analysis, regulation, stochastic analysis and finance, stock market analysis, systemic risk and financial stability. Annals of Finance also publishes special issues on any topic in finance and its applications of current interest. A small section, entitled finance notes, will be devoted solely to publishing short articles – up to ten pages in length, of substantial interest in finance. Officially cited as: Ann Finance
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