Ugur Ozturk, Anika Braun, Juan Camilo Gómez-Zapata, Edier Aristizábal
{"title":"Urban poor are the most endangered by socio-natural hazards, but not exclusively: the 2025 Granizal Landslide case.","authors":"Ugur Ozturk, Anika Braun, Juan Camilo Gómez-Zapata, Edier Aristizábal","doi":"10.1007/s10346-025-02680-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In June 2025, the rainfall-induced Granizal Landslide claimed 27 lives across two jurisdictions in the Medellín metropolitan area. Based on our empirical analyses of a local socio-economic index, we argue that socio-spatial segregation may have increased the likelihood and impact of the disaster. The event's location also underscores the challenges faced during emergency response and post-disaster recovery across administrative boundaries, particularly given the stark contrast in the capacities of municipal authorities. We suggest that intensifying climate change may lead to events that exceed current engineering design criteria, thereby exposing even formal neighborhoods-often considered more physically resilient-to substantially elevated risk levels and narrowing the gap with informal settlements.</p>","PeriodicalId":17938,"journal":{"name":"Landslides","volume":"23 4","pages":"1179-1185"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12979284/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Landslides","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-025-02680-y","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/12/19 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In June 2025, the rainfall-induced Granizal Landslide claimed 27 lives across two jurisdictions in the Medellín metropolitan area. Based on our empirical analyses of a local socio-economic index, we argue that socio-spatial segregation may have increased the likelihood and impact of the disaster. The event's location also underscores the challenges faced during emergency response and post-disaster recovery across administrative boundaries, particularly given the stark contrast in the capacities of municipal authorities. We suggest that intensifying climate change may lead to events that exceed current engineering design criteria, thereby exposing even formal neighborhoods-often considered more physically resilient-to substantially elevated risk levels and narrowing the gap with informal settlements.
期刊介绍:
Landslides are gravitational mass movements of rock, debris or earth. They may occur in conjunction with other major natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Expanding urbanization and changing land-use practices have increased the incidence of landslide disasters. Landslides as catastrophic events include human injury, loss of life and economic devastation and are studied as part of the fields of earth, water and engineering sciences. The aim of the journal Landslides is to be the common platform for the publication of integrated research on landslide processes, hazards, risk analysis, mitigation, and the protection of our cultural heritage and the environment. The journal publishes research papers, news of recent landslide events and information on the activities of the International Consortium on Landslides.
- Landslide dynamics, mechanisms and processes
- Landslide risk evaluation: hazard assessment, hazard mapping, and vulnerability assessment
- Geological, Geotechnical, Hydrological and Geophysical modeling
- Effects of meteorological, hydrological and global climatic change factors
- Monitoring including remote sensing and other non-invasive systems
- New technology, expert and intelligent systems
- Application of GIS techniques
- Rock slides, rock falls, debris flows, earth flows, and lateral spreads
- Large-scale landslides, lahars and pyroclastic flows in volcanic zones
- Marine and reservoir related landslides
- Landslide related tsunamis and seiches
- Landslide disasters in urban areas and along critical infrastructure
- Landslides and natural resources
- Land development and land-use practices
- Landslide remedial measures / prevention works
- Temporal and spatial prediction of landslides
- Early warning and evacuation
- Global landslide database