Eun Young Lee , Choon Hee Chung , Tae Hwa Go , Sang Baek Koh , Jung Ran Choi
{"title":"Body composition paradox: high muscle mass and adiposity jointly predict incident chronic kidney disease in a Korean cohort","authors":"Eun Young Lee , Choon Hee Chung , Tae Hwa Go , Sang Baek Koh , Jung Ran Choi","doi":"10.1016/j.clinsp.2026.100879","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><div>Diabetes, hypertension, and obesity are common traditional risk factors for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD). In this population-based longitudinal study, the authors identified risk factors associated with CKD development.</div></div><div><h3>Method</h3><div>A total of 6,238 Korean adults aged 40- to 69-years without baseline CKD were included. Among them, 4,057 participants with baseline estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) measurements were analyzed. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate significant predictors of CKD.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Over a 10-year follow-up period, CKD developed in 354 subjects (8.7 %). Leptin levels were significantly higher in participants who developed CKD compared to those who did not (8.89 ± 8.00 vs. 6.44 ± 5.52, <em>p</em> < 0.001). After adjusting for confounding factors, logistic regression analysis indicated that participants in the highest quartile of muscle mass were 2.314-times more likely to develop CKD compared to those in the lowest quartile (Odds Ratio [OR = 2.314]; 95 % Confidence Interval [95 % CI: 1.372–3.902]; p = 0.014). In multivariable-adjusted models, the OR for incident CKD when comparing the lowest to the highest quartiles of body fat was 2.166 in men; however, the significance disappeared after adjusting for eGFR. Among women, higher leptin levels and lower adiponectin levels were independently associated with incident CKD (<em>p</em> = 0.003 and <em>p</em> = 0.038, respectively), regardless of traditional CKD risk factors. Furthermore, compared to subjects without CKD, those with metabolic syndrome had an OR (95 % CI) of 5.256 (2.813–9.820) for incident CKD after controlling for confounding factors.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>These findings suggest that muscle mass and body fat may serve as better predictors of incident CKD.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":10472,"journal":{"name":"Clinics","volume":"81 ","pages":"Article 100879"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Clinics","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1807593226000207","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/3/12 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective
Diabetes, hypertension, and obesity are common traditional risk factors for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD). In this population-based longitudinal study, the authors identified risk factors associated with CKD development.
Method
A total of 6,238 Korean adults aged 40- to 69-years without baseline CKD were included. Among them, 4,057 participants with baseline estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) measurements were analyzed. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate significant predictors of CKD.
Results
Over a 10-year follow-up period, CKD developed in 354 subjects (8.7 %). Leptin levels were significantly higher in participants who developed CKD compared to those who did not (8.89 ± 8.00 vs. 6.44 ± 5.52, p < 0.001). After adjusting for confounding factors, logistic regression analysis indicated that participants in the highest quartile of muscle mass were 2.314-times more likely to develop CKD compared to those in the lowest quartile (Odds Ratio [OR = 2.314]; 95 % Confidence Interval [95 % CI: 1.372–3.902]; p = 0.014). In multivariable-adjusted models, the OR for incident CKD when comparing the lowest to the highest quartiles of body fat was 2.166 in men; however, the significance disappeared after adjusting for eGFR. Among women, higher leptin levels and lower adiponectin levels were independently associated with incident CKD (p = 0.003 and p = 0.038, respectively), regardless of traditional CKD risk factors. Furthermore, compared to subjects without CKD, those with metabolic syndrome had an OR (95 % CI) of 5.256 (2.813–9.820) for incident CKD after controlling for confounding factors.
Conclusion
These findings suggest that muscle mass and body fat may serve as better predictors of incident CKD.
期刊介绍:
CLINICS is an electronic journal that publishes peer-reviewed articles in continuous flow, of interest to clinicians and researchers in the medical sciences. CLINICS complies with the policies of funding agencies which request or require deposition of the published articles that they fund into publicly available databases. CLINICS supports the position of the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) on trial registration.