Optimal planning and management of multi-microgrids with energy storage systems and renewables across 2050 horizon

IF 6.1 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Smart Energy Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-26 DOI:10.1016/j.segy.2026.100233
Muhammad Ali , Muhammad Umair Iftikhar , Syed Ali Abbas Kazmi , Muhammad Waseem
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Abstract

The paradigm shift to a clean energy and decentralized energy system needs the optimal planning of framework, that involves renewable energy, energy storage, and modern energy management propositions. This paper proposes a techno-economic framework for the implementation of 21 regional microgrids in the southern regions of Pakistan, i.e., Baluchistan and Sindh, which are interconnected under the umbrella of a virtual power plant, and addresses energy management through energy wheeling over a long-term horizon extending to 2050. Two virtual power plants are proposed, one for each province to interconnect MGs and facilitate energy wheeling between the microgrids. This paper focuses on solar and wind resources as they are most feasible in the selected regions. Compound annual growth rate was used to calculate population growth by 2050 and then it is used to forecast the load for regional microgrids. The framework aims at minimizing Levelized cost of energy and net present cost, while simultaneously reducing emissions and ensuring system reliability. Sensitivity analysis has also been carried out for uncertain parameters. Hydrogen storage is also integrated to improve autonomy capacity as a long-duration energy solution. This paper proposes a 270 MW of renewable generation, increasing the renewable energy share from 12% to 12.7% in the energy mix of Pakistan. Overall, the proposed framework provides a pathway for U.N.-SDGs as well as Pakistan 2050 energy vision.

Abstract Image

2050年具有储能系统和可再生能源的多微电网的优化规划和管理
向清洁能源和分散式能源系统的范式转变需要框架的优化规划,这涉及可再生能源、能源储存和现代能源管理主张。本文提出了一个技术经济框架,用于在巴基斯坦南部地区(即俾路支省和信德省)实施21个区域微电网,这些微电网在虚拟发电厂的保护伞下相互连接,并通过延长至2050年的长期能源轮来解决能源管理问题。提出了两个虚拟发电厂,每个省一个,以实现微电网之间的互联和能源轮转。本文的重点是太阳能和风能资源,因为它们在选定的地区是最可行的。采用复合年增长率计算2050年前的人口增长,并以此预测区域微电网的负荷。该框架旨在最大限度地降低能源平准化成本和净现值成本,同时减少排放并确保系统可靠性。对不确定参数进行了敏感性分析。作为一种长期能源解决方案,氢储存也被集成在一起,以提高自主能力。本文提出了270兆瓦的可再生能源发电,将可再生能源在巴基斯坦能源结构中的份额从12%提高到12.7%。总的来说,拟议的框架为联合国可持续发展目标和巴基斯坦2050年能源愿景提供了一条途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Smart Energy
Smart Energy Engineering-Mechanical Engineering
CiteScore
9.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
29
审稿时长
73 days
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