Aseel Hisham MohamedAbdelhalim Hakim Hussein, Shaza Ali Abdeen Hassan, Ola Hatim Abdelbari Elniema, Galal Eldeen Elturabi Galal Khalifa, Mohamed Hisham MohamedAbdelhalim Hakim Hussein, Muathal Hisham MohamedAbdelhalim Hakim Hussein
{"title":"Prevalence of probable posttraumatic stress disorder among Sudanese refugees in Egypt: a pilot study.","authors":"Aseel Hisham MohamedAbdelhalim Hakim Hussein, Shaza Ali Abdeen Hassan, Ola Hatim Abdelbari Elniema, Galal Eldeen Elturabi Galal Khalifa, Mohamed Hisham MohamedAbdelhalim Hakim Hussein, Muathal Hisham MohamedAbdelhalim Hakim Hussein","doi":"10.1186/s12963-026-00463-8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The conflict that began in Sudan in April 2023 has displaced over 6.6 million individuals, with hundreds of thousands seeking refuge in Egypt. Displaced populations face significant post-migration stressors that elevate the risk of psychological distress.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>This pilot study aimed to provide a preliminary estimate of the prevalence of probable posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among Sudanese refugees in Cairo and identify associated sociodemographic risk factors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A pilot cross-sectional survey was conducted with 397 Sudanese refugees recruited via convenience snowball sampling. We utilized the Arabic version of the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5) to estimate the frequency of probable PTSD and gathered data on displacement history.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The prevalence of probable PTSD in this sample was 70.8%. Multivariate analysis indicated that a prior psychiatric history and caregiving responsibilities were significantly associated with meeting the threshold for probable PTSD. Younger adults reported higher symptom scores, though age was not a significant predictor in the adjusted model. No significant differences in prevalence were observed between refugees who entered Egypt through legal versus unauthorized routes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>These preliminary findings reveal a high psychological burden among Sudanese refugees in Egypt, underscoring the acute nature of the crisis. There is an urgent need for the integration of culturally sensitive mental health screenings and psychosocial interventions within refugee response frameworks. Further longitudinal research is required to explore the long-term effects of displacement on this population.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13078028/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Population Health Metrics","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-026-00463-8","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: The conflict that began in Sudan in April 2023 has displaced over 6.6 million individuals, with hundreds of thousands seeking refuge in Egypt. Displaced populations face significant post-migration stressors that elevate the risk of psychological distress.
Objectives: This pilot study aimed to provide a preliminary estimate of the prevalence of probable posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among Sudanese refugees in Cairo and identify associated sociodemographic risk factors.
Methods: A pilot cross-sectional survey was conducted with 397 Sudanese refugees recruited via convenience snowball sampling. We utilized the Arabic version of the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5) to estimate the frequency of probable PTSD and gathered data on displacement history.
Results: The prevalence of probable PTSD in this sample was 70.8%. Multivariate analysis indicated that a prior psychiatric history and caregiving responsibilities were significantly associated with meeting the threshold for probable PTSD. Younger adults reported higher symptom scores, though age was not a significant predictor in the adjusted model. No significant differences in prevalence were observed between refugees who entered Egypt through legal versus unauthorized routes.
Conclusions: These preliminary findings reveal a high psychological burden among Sudanese refugees in Egypt, underscoring the acute nature of the crisis. There is an urgent need for the integration of culturally sensitive mental health screenings and psychosocial interventions within refugee response frameworks. Further longitudinal research is required to explore the long-term effects of displacement on this population.
期刊介绍：
Population Health Metrics aims to advance the science of population health assessment, and welcomes papers relating to concepts, methods, ethics, applications, and summary measures of population health. The journal provides a unique platform for population health researchers to share their findings with the global community. We seek research that addresses the communication of population health measures and policy implications to stakeholders; this includes papers related to burden estimation and risk assessment, and research addressing population health across the full range of development. Population Health Metrics covers a broad range of topics encompassing health state measurement and valuation, summary measures of population health, descriptive epidemiology at the population level, burden of disease and injury analysis, disease and risk factor modeling for populations, and comparative assessment of risks to health at the population level. The journal is also interested in how to use and communicate indicators of population health to reduce disease burden, and the approaches for translating from indicators of population health to health-advancing actions. As a cross-cutting topic of importance, we are particularly interested in inequalities in population health and their measurement.
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