{"title":"Artificial intelligence in preterm birth prediction: a narrative review of current approaches and clinical applicability.","authors":"YooKyung Lee","doi":"10.5468/ogs.26043","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Preterm birth remains the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality worldwide, affecting approximately 13.4 million births annually. Despite advances in our understanding of risk factors, current clinical prediction methods have demonstrated limited accuracy in individual risk stratification. This narrative review examines the current landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) applications for preterm birth prediction and evaluates the methodological quality and clinical applicability across different data modalities. PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched to develop and validate machine learning models for predicting spontaneous preterm births. AI approaches include electronic health record-based models, deep learning for ultrasound image analysis, cervical texture and radiomics feature extraction, elastography-derived parameters, and multi-omics integration using transformer architectures. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values range from 0.61 to 0.89 across modalities. However, the systematic reviews identified significant methodological limitations; 79% of the studies had a high risk of bias according to the prediction model risk-of-bias assessment tool criteria, with a median transparent reporting of multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) adherence of only 49%. Common deficiencies include inadequate sample sizes, a lack of external validation, and failure to report calibration metrics. Although AI-based prediction shows promise, substantial improvements in methodological rigor are required before clinical implementation. Priority areas include rigorous external validation, adherence to TRIPOD+AI reporting standards, and prospective evaluation of clinical utility.</p>","PeriodicalId":37602,"journal":{"name":"Obstetrics and Gynecology Science","volume":" ","pages":"94-102"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13017173/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Obstetrics and Gynecology Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5468/ogs.26043","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/3/3 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Preterm birth remains the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality worldwide, affecting approximately 13.4 million births annually. Despite advances in our understanding of risk factors, current clinical prediction methods have demonstrated limited accuracy in individual risk stratification. This narrative review examines the current landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) applications for preterm birth prediction and evaluates the methodological quality and clinical applicability across different data modalities. PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched to develop and validate machine learning models for predicting spontaneous preterm births. AI approaches include electronic health record-based models, deep learning for ultrasound image analysis, cervical texture and radiomics feature extraction, elastography-derived parameters, and multi-omics integration using transformer architectures. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values range from 0.61 to 0.89 across modalities. However, the systematic reviews identified significant methodological limitations; 79% of the studies had a high risk of bias according to the prediction model risk-of-bias assessment tool criteria, with a median transparent reporting of multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) adherence of only 49%. Common deficiencies include inadequate sample sizes, a lack of external validation, and failure to report calibration metrics. Although AI-based prediction shows promise, substantial improvements in methodological rigor are required before clinical implementation. Priority areas include rigorous external validation, adherence to TRIPOD+AI reporting standards, and prospective evaluation of clinical utility.
早产仍然是全世界新生儿发病和死亡的主要原因,每年影响约1340万新生儿。尽管我们对危险因素的理解有所进步,但目前的临床预测方法在个体风险分层方面的准确性有限。本文回顾了人工智能(AI)在早产预测中的应用现状,并评估了不同数据模式下的方法质量和临床适用性。检索PubMed、Embase和Web of Science以开发和验证预测自发性早产的机器学习模型。人工智能方法包括基于电子健康记录的模型、超声图像分析的深度学习、宫颈纹理和放射组学特征提取、弹性学衍生参数以及使用变压器架构的多组学集成。各模态接收器工作特性曲线下的面积范围为0.61至0.94。然而,系统评价发现了重大的方法局限性;根据PROBAST标准,79%的研究具有高偏倚风险,个体预后或诊断的多变量预测模型(TRIPOD)透明报告的中位数依从性仅为49%。常见的缺陷包括样本量不足,缺乏外部验证,以及未能报告校准指标。尽管基于人工智能的预测显示出希望,但在临床实施之前,需要在方法严谨性方面进行实质性改进。优先领域包括严格的外部验证,遵守TRIPOD+AI报告标准,以及临床效用的前瞻性评估。
期刊介绍:
Obstetrics & Gynecology Science (NLM title: Obstet Gynecol Sci) is an international peer-review journal that published basic, translational, clinical research, and clinical practice guideline to promote women’s health and prevent obstetric and gynecologic disorders. The journal has an international editorial board and is published in English on the 15th day of every other month. Submitted manuscripts should not contain previously published material and should not be under consideration for publication elsewhere. The journal has been publishing articles since 1958. The aim of the journal is to publish original articles, reviews, case reports, short communications, letters to the editor, and video articles that have the potential to change the practices in women''s health care. The journal’s main focus is the diagnosis, treatment, prediction, and prevention of obstetric and gynecologic disorders. Because the life expectancy of Korean and Asian women is increasing, the journal''s editors are particularly interested in the health of elderly women in these population groups. The journal also publishes articles about reproductive biology, stem cell research, and artificial intelligence research for women; additionally, it provides insights into the physiology and mechanisms of obstetric and gynecologic diseases.