The effect of the public work programme in Hungary on private sector wages

IF 2.6 2区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Labour Economics Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2026.102861

Lajos Tamás Szabó

引用次数: 0

Abstract

I estimate the effect of Hungary’s public work (PW) programme on private sector wages using a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, exploiting variation in the share of public workers across small homogeneous labour markets. My results show that – in contrast to earlier results in the literature – the PW programme has a negative effect on private sector wages. The unprecedented result is due to the different institutional setting of the Hungarian programme compared to the previously examined ones. According to my estimates, between 2013 and 2017 a one percentage point increase in the share of public workers is associated with a 0.5% decrease in private sector wages among elementary occupations.

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匈牙利公共工作方案对私营部门工资的影响

我利用小型同质劳动力市场中公共工作人员所占比例的变化，利用模糊回归不连续设计来估计匈牙利公共工作（PW）计划对私营部门工资的影响。我的研究结果表明，与文献中早期的结果相反，PW计划对私营部门的工资有负面影响。这一前所未有的结果是由于匈牙利方案的体制设置与以前审查的方案不同。根据我的估计，在2013年至2017年期间，公共部门工作人员的比例每增加一个百分点，私营部门基本职业的工资就会下降0.5%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Labour Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

8.30%

发文量

142

期刊介绍： Labour Economics is devoted to publishing research in the field of labour economics both on the microeconomic and on the macroeconomic level, in a balanced mix of theory, empirical testing and policy applications. It gives due recognition to analysis and explanation of institutional arrangements of national labour markets and the impact of these institutions on labour market outcomes.