Suitability analysis for urban oasis gardens: mapping potential sites in Biskra, Algeria

IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY
Ecological Modelling Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-03 DOI:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111514
Kenza Torai , Soumia Bouzaher , Silvio Caputo , Valentina Manente , Mohammed Khelili
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Abstract

The rapid urbanisation of Biskra, a Saharan city whose environmental balance historically depended on its oasis gardens, has accelerated agricultural land loss and driven a sustained decline in vegetation cover. These changes have intensified local heat exposure and weakened ecological and cultural systems that once shaped the city’s identity. Although green infrastructure is increasingly recognised for mitigating heat stress, limited research has examined how oasis-based landscapes can be translated into spatial tools for planning decisions in arid environments. Existing studies largely document environmental change without providing operational support for planning tools in Algeria, leaving a clear gap in guidance for prioritising green infrastructure interventions. In response, this study applies a GIS-based multi-criteria analysis to develop a spatial tool for planning support. The Analytic Hierarchy Process guides the weighting of fourteen temporally and spatially relevant indicators, including land surface temperature, population density, green space availability and land-use patterns, which are integrated to assess suitability for reintroducing oasis gardens within the city’s expanding urban fabric. The framework provides a practical baseline for current planning needs and can be updated as urban conditions evolve. The analysis indicates that approximately 41% of the study area offers moderate to high potential for oasis garden reintroduction. These zones align with areas showing elevated land surface temperatures and limited vegetation cover, indicating where interventions could most effectively improve local environmental conditions. The findings offer actionable support for planning decisions in Biskra while establishing a transferable spatial approach for other arid cities facing similar pressures.

Abstract Image

城市绿洲花园的适宜性分析:绘制阿尔及利亚比斯克拉的潜在地点
比斯克拉是一个撒哈拉城市,其环境平衡历史上依赖于其绿洲花园,它的快速城市化加速了农业用地的流失,并导致植被覆盖持续下降。这些变化加剧了当地的热暴露,削弱了曾经塑造城市身份的生态和文化系统。尽管人们越来越认识到绿色基础设施可以缓解热应激,但有限的研究已经探讨了如何将基于绿洲的景观转化为干旱环境中规划决策的空间工具。现有的研究大多记录了环境变化,但没有为阿尔及利亚的规划工具提供业务支持,这在优先考虑绿色基础设施干预措施的指导方面留下了明显的空白。为此,本研究应用基于gis的多准则分析来开发空间规划支持工具。层次分析法指导了14个时间和空间相关指标的权重,包括地表温度、人口密度、绿地可用性和土地利用模式,这些指标被综合起来评估在城市不断扩大的城市结构中重新引入绿洲花园的适宜性。该框架为当前的规划需求提供了一个实用的基线,并可以随着城市条件的变化而更新。分析表明,约41%的研究区具有中高水平的绿洲园林再引入潜力。这些区域与地表温度升高和植被覆盖有限的地区一致,表明干预措施可以最有效地改善当地环境条件。研究结果为比斯克拉的规划决策提供了可操作的支持,同时为面临类似压力的其他干旱城市建立了可转移的空间方法。
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来源期刊
Ecological Modelling
Ecological Modelling 环境科学-生态学
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
6.50%
发文量
259
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: The journal is concerned with the use of mathematical models and systems analysis for the description of ecological processes and for the sustainable management of resources. Human activity and well-being are dependent on and integrated with the functioning of ecosystems and the services they provide. We aim to understand these basic ecosystem functions using mathematical and conceptual modelling, systems analysis, thermodynamics, computer simulations, and ecological theory. This leads to a preference for process-based models embedded in theory with explicit causative agents as opposed to strictly statistical or correlative descriptions. These modelling methods can be applied to a wide spectrum of issues ranging from basic ecology to human ecology to socio-ecological systems. The journal welcomes research articles, short communications, review articles, letters to the editor, book reviews, and other communications. The journal also supports the activities of the [International Society of Ecological Modelling (ISEM)](http://www.isemna.org/).
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