Zongbao Zou , Lihao Chen , Haolin Huang , Zihan Chen , Xiangzhi Bu , Xiaofan Lai
{"title":"Partial backward integration in maritime supply chain with duopoly carriers: Incentive analysis and decision-making volatility","authors":"Zongbao Zou , Lihao Chen , Haolin Huang , Zihan Chen , Xiangzhi Bu , Xiaofan Lai","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104018","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Considering a maritime supply chain comprising a port and two competing carriers, we analyze their incentive for partial backward integration (PBI), a popular practice in maritime industry, where carriers acquire a portion share of the port. The analysis results reveal that the port is only willing to form PBI with the carrier who has a relatively larger potential market size. We find that, if and only if the non-acquiring carrier’s potential market size is neither too small nor too large, PBI will increase the total profit of the maritime supply chain. In addition, the optimal PBI percentage falls within a moderate range, generally under fifty percent. Moreover, the optimal percentage of PBI increases whenever any one of the competitive intensities, the potential market size of the nonacquiring carrier, or demand uncertainty grows. Interestingly, under the PBI strategy, both the acquiring carrier and the nonacquiring carrier exhibit reduced coefficients of variation in the freight rate when facing demand uncertainty, which indicates that PBI is able to mitigate the impact of market demand uncertainty on pricing decisions for both carriers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 104018"},"PeriodicalIF":6.2000,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transport Policy","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X26000284","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/1/13 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Considering a maritime supply chain comprising a port and two competing carriers, we analyze their incentive for partial backward integration (PBI), a popular practice in maritime industry, where carriers acquire a portion share of the port. The analysis results reveal that the port is only willing to form PBI with the carrier who has a relatively larger potential market size. We find that, if and only if the non-acquiring carrier’s potential market size is neither too small nor too large, PBI will increase the total profit of the maritime supply chain. In addition, the optimal PBI percentage falls within a moderate range, generally under fifty percent. Moreover, the optimal percentage of PBI increases whenever any one of the competitive intensities, the potential market size of the nonacquiring carrier, or demand uncertainty grows. Interestingly, under the PBI strategy, both the acquiring carrier and the nonacquiring carrier exhibit reduced coefficients of variation in the freight rate when facing demand uncertainty, which indicates that PBI is able to mitigate the impact of market demand uncertainty on pricing decisions for both carriers.
期刊介绍:
Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.