Early Pliocene (Zanclean) sea surface temperature for PlioMIP3

IF 4 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL
Global and Planetary Change Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-17 DOI:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2026.105293
Harry J. Dowsett, Kevin M. Foley
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Paleoclimate researchers have been comparing Pliocene environmental data to paleoclimate model results since the 1980s. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) began in 2008 with a focus on the Late Pliocene. Here we assess the availability and utility of sea surface temperature (SST) data for verification of Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP3) Early Pliocene (Zanclean) experiments. We analyze published data in terms of quantity and spatial distribution. Only SST estimates derived using alkenone paleo thermometry are reported, and all estimates are based upon the same temperature calibration. Sea surface temperature data are selected from within three distinct time intervals: The early Zanclean 5.3 Ma – 4.2 Ma time slab, and two time slices within the early Zanclean, chosen by PlioMIP3 at 4.870 Ma and 4.474 Ma. Results show the early Zanclean time slab contains 2055 individual estimates. Approximately ∼ 80% of these estimates come from Sites 609, 642, 846, 847, 882, 907, and 1146. There are 17 sites with a total of 42 estimates within the 4.474 Ma ±10 kyr time slice, and 15 sites with a total of 47 data points within the 4.870 Ma ±10 kyr interval. The sparse spatial and temporal distribution of Zanclean data, relative to the data available for the mid Piacenzian, makes point-by-point data model comparison suspect. We suggest interpreting model output against lower resolution long term trends in proxy data, and comparison of models through temperature gradients, may be the most useful application of currently available data. Integrating Zanclean age coastal plain sequences within data model comparison schemes, for increased understanding of regional climate impacts, also holds great potential.
PlioMIP3早上新世海表温度
自20世纪80年代以来,古气候研究人员一直在将上新世环境数据与古气候模式结果进行比较。上新世模式比对项目(PlioMIP)始于2008年,重点研究上新世晚期。本文评估了上新世模式比对项目(PlioMIP3)早期上新世(赞克林)实验中海表温度(SST)数据的有效性和实用性。我们从数量和空间分布两方面分析了已发表的数据。仅报告了使用烯酮古测温法得出的海温估计,所有估计都基于相同的温度校准。海面温度数据选取了三个不同的时间间隔:早赞克利世5.3 Ma - 4.2 Ma时间板,以及早赞克利世4.870 Ma和4.474 Ma的两个时间片。结果表明,赞清世早期时间板包含2055个个体估计。大约80%的估计值来自609、642、846、847、882、907和1146站点。在4.474 Ma±10 kyr时间片内,有17个站点共42个估计值,在4.870 Ma±10 kyr时间片内,有15个站点共47个数据点。相对于可获得的中皮亚琴期的数据,赞坎期数据的稀疏时空分布使得逐点数据模型的比较存疑。我们认为,根据代理数据中较低分辨率的长期趋势来解释模式输出,并通过温度梯度来比较模式,可能是当前可用数据的最有用的应用。在数据模型比较方案中整合赞清时代沿海平原序列,对于增加对区域气候影响的理解也具有很大的潜力。
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来源期刊
Global and Planetary Change
Global and Planetary Change 地学天文-地球科学综合
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
10.30%
发文量
226
审稿时长
63 days
期刊介绍: The objective of the journal Global and Planetary Change is to provide a multi-disciplinary overview of the processes taking place in the Earth System and involved in planetary change over time. The journal focuses on records of the past and current state of the earth system, and future scenarios , and their link to global environmental change. Regional or process-oriented studies are welcome if they discuss global implications. Topics include, but are not limited to, changes in the dynamics and composition of the atmosphere, oceans and cryosphere, as well as climate change, sea level variation, observations/modelling of Earth processes from deep to (near-)surface and their coupling, global ecology, biogeography and the resilience/thresholds in ecosystems. Key criteria for the consideration of manuscripts are (a) the relevance for the global scientific community and/or (b) the wider implications for global scale problems, preferably combined with (c) having a significance beyond a single discipline. A clear focus on key processes associated with planetary scale change is strongly encouraged. Manuscripts can be submitted as either research contributions or as a review article. Every effort should be made towards the presentation of research outcomes in an understandable way for a broad readership.
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