{"title":"Predicting intraoperative transfusion volumes of blood products in cardiovascular surgery: a retrospective study","authors":"Hiroki Shibata , Yuma Hirano , Mikihiro Shimizu , Kaede Ino , Akiho Ikeda , Yui Nagae , Naoki Nemoto , Mizuki Oishi , Takahito Shinba , Chiaki Yamada , Keiko Ishizuka , Takaaki Ono","doi":"10.1016/j.transci.2026.104374","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background and Objectives</h3><div>Red blood cells are often overprepared for surgery, leading to waste and increased costs, despite the need for cross-matching tests. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting the number of red blood cell units required during cardiovascular surgery using patient characteristics.</div></div><div><h3>Materials and Methods</h3><div>This retrospective study included patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery at our hospital from April 2022 to October 2022. Multiple regression analysis was performed using preoperative patient attributes and blood data, with red blood cell units used during surgery as the objective variable. Models were developed using patient demographics and blood data, with additional models incorporating specific surgical procedures to assess predictive accuracy.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Model 1 included age, sex, weight, hematocrit, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, serum creatinine, volume of preoperatively donated diluted autologous blood, and history of cardiovascular surgery. Model 2 included the same variables as Model 1, plus aortic aneurysm resection as a surgical procedure. The predictive equations of the study showed superior accuracy for both Model 1 and Model 2 compared to the conventional red blood cell units requested by physicians or those predicted using the surgical blood order equation based on correlation coefficients. Model 2 outperformed both Model 1 and conventional methods in predictive utility.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>This study developed a clinically useful formula for predicting the number of red blood cell units required during surgery based on preoperative patient-specific data, without restricting the analysis to specific procedures. This formula may improve blood product inventory management and reduce medical costs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49422,"journal":{"name":"Transfusion and Apheresis Science","volume":"65 2","pages":"Article 104374"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transfusion and Apheresis Science","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1473050226000066","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/1/15 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"HEMATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background and Objectives
Red blood cells are often overprepared for surgery, leading to waste and increased costs, despite the need for cross-matching tests. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting the number of red blood cell units required during cardiovascular surgery using patient characteristics.
Materials and Methods
This retrospective study included patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery at our hospital from April 2022 to October 2022. Multiple regression analysis was performed using preoperative patient attributes and blood data, with red blood cell units used during surgery as the objective variable. Models were developed using patient demographics and blood data, with additional models incorporating specific surgical procedures to assess predictive accuracy.
Results
Model 1 included age, sex, weight, hematocrit, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, serum creatinine, volume of preoperatively donated diluted autologous blood, and history of cardiovascular surgery. Model 2 included the same variables as Model 1, plus aortic aneurysm resection as a surgical procedure. The predictive equations of the study showed superior accuracy for both Model 1 and Model 2 compared to the conventional red blood cell units requested by physicians or those predicted using the surgical blood order equation based on correlation coefficients. Model 2 outperformed both Model 1 and conventional methods in predictive utility.
Conclusion
This study developed a clinically useful formula for predicting the number of red blood cell units required during surgery based on preoperative patient-specific data, without restricting the analysis to specific procedures. This formula may improve blood product inventory management and reduce medical costs.
期刊介绍:
Transfusion and Apheresis Science brings comprehensive and up-to-date information to physicians and health care professionals involved in the rapidly changing fields of transfusion medicine, hemostasis and apheresis. The journal presents original articles relating to scientific and clinical studies in the areas of immunohematology, transfusion practice, bleeding and thrombotic disorders and both therapeutic and donor apheresis including hematopoietic stem cells. Topics covered include the collection and processing of blood, compatibility testing and guidelines for the use of blood products, as well as screening for and transmission of blood-borne diseases. All areas of apheresis - therapeutic and collection - are also addressed. We would like to specifically encourage allied health professionals in this area to submit manuscripts that relate to improved patient and donor care, technical aspects and educational issues.
Transfusion and Apheresis Science features a "Theme" section which includes, in each issue, a group of papers designed to review a specific topic of current importance in transfusion and hemostasis for the discussion of topical issues specific to apheresis and focuses on the operators'' viewpoint. Another section is "What''s Happening" which provides informal reporting of activities in the field. In addition, brief case reports and Letters to the Editor, as well as reviews of meetings and events of general interest, and a listing of recent patents make the journal a complete source of information for practitioners of transfusion, hemostasis and apheresis science. Immediate dissemination of important information is ensured by the commitment of Transfusion and Apheresis Science to rapid publication of both symposia and submitted papers.