[Changes in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn].

Q4 Medicine

Revista de gastroenterologia del Peru : organo oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterologia del Peru Pub Date : 2025-10-01

Harold Benites-Goñi, Carlos A Huayanay-Espinoza, Alvaro G Oviedo-Rios, Rodrigo Motta, Victor Castro, Luis Huicho

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Introduction: The diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer may have been affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, ultimately influencing mortality from this disease.

Objective: To evaluate changes in gastric cancer mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic years.

Materials and methods: An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to assess changes in gastric cancer mortality. Data were obtained from the National Death Information System. Three periods were compared: pre-pandemic (2017-2019), pandemic (2020-2021), and post-pandemic (2022-2023). Segmented regression models were used.

Results: Before the pandemic, an average of 2,107 deaths per year was recorded. During 2020 and 2021, mortality increased by 39% and 118%, respectively. The highest peaks occurred between April and July 2020. An additional rise was observed during the early months of 2021. Although mortality progressively declined in 2023, pre-pandemic levels were not restored. The analysis showed that observed deaths consistently exceeded expected projections through late 2022.

Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic generated a temporary but significant increase in gastric cancer-related mortality in Peru.

本刊更多论文

[大流行之前、期间和之后秘鲁胃癌死亡率的变化：国家中断时间序列分析]。

导言：新冠肺炎疫情可能影响了胃癌的诊断和治疗，最终影响了胃癌的死亡率。目的：评价2019冠状病毒病疫情流行年间胃癌死亡率的变化。材料和方法：采用中断时间序列分析来评估胃癌死亡率的变化。数据来自国家死亡信息系统。比较了三个时期：大流行前（2017-2019年）、大流行前（2020-2021年）和大流行后（2022-2023年）。采用分段回归模型。结果：在大流行之前，每年平均有2107人死亡。2020年和2021年期间，死亡率分别上升39%和118%。最高峰发生在2020年4月至7月之间。在2021年前几个月观察到进一步上升。虽然死亡率在2023年逐步下降，但没有恢复到大流行前的水平。分析显示，到2022年底，观察到的死亡人数一直超过预期。结论：2019冠状病毒病大流行导致秘鲁胃癌相关死亡率暂时但显著上升。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Revista de gastroenterologia del Peru : organo oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterologia del Peru Medicine-Medicine (all)

CiteScore

0.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： La REVISTA DE GASTROENTEROLOGíA DEL PERÚ, es la publicación oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterología del Perú que publica artículos originales, artículos de revisión, reporte de casos, cartas e información general de la especialidad; dirigido a los profesionales de la salud con especial interés en la gastroenterología. La Revista de Gastroenterología del Perú es una publicación de periodicidad trimestral y tiene como objetivo la publicación de artículos científicos inéditos en el campo de la gastroenterología, proporcionando información actualizada y relevante de la especialidad y áreas afines. La Revista de Gastroenterología del Perú publica artículos en dos idiomas, español e inglés, a texto completo en la versión impresa yelectrónica. Los artículos científicos son sometidos a revisores o árbitros nacionales e internacionales, especialistas que opinan bajo la modalidad de doble ciego y de manera anónima sobre la calidad y validez de los mismos. El número de revisores depende del tipo de artículo, dos revisores como mínimo para artículos originales y uno como mínimo para otros tipos de artículos.