{"title":"Pre-deployment prediction of partial and full PTSD in a French military cohort","authors":"Héloïse Lauga-Cami , Dominique Fromage , Christel Becker , Jean-Guillaume Houël , Jean-Jacques Benoliel , Frédéric Canini , Marion Trousselard , Damien Claverie","doi":"10.1016/j.jpsychires.2026.01.013","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), in its partial or full forms, is frequently observed in military populations. It is therefore important to predict the risk of PTSD prior to deployment. <em>Objective.</em> Since elevated allostatic load markers have been described in PTSD, we investigated whether these alterations pre-exist before PTSD onset. Our objective was to explore the ability of four allostatic load markers (urinary and blood cortisol, BDNF and 8-iso-PGF2α) to predict partial/full PTSD onset after a 6-month deployment. <em>Methods.</em> We conducted a prospective study in a French military cohort deployed to Afghanistan. PTSD was assessed before (M<sub>0</sub>) and after (M<sub>6</sub>) deployment using PTSD Checklist Scale (PCLS). At M<sub>0</sub>, only subjects who were medically fit and who scored healthy at PCLS were considered. We evaluated whether biological markers of allostatic load at M<sub>0</sub> would predict partial/full PTSD at M<sub>6</sub>. Psychological correlates were assessed, including anxious-depressive symptoms (HAD; Hospital Anxiety and Depression), burnout (BMS; Burnout Measure-Short version), anxiety (STAI; Spielberger State-Trait Anxiety Inventory), general mood (POMS; Profile of Mood State), perceived stress (PSS; Perceived Stress Scale), alexithymia (TAS; Toronto Alexithymia scale) and mental health–related scores (GHQ-28; General Health Questionnaire-28 items). <em>Results.</em> After controlling for age, pre-deployment PCLS scores, and the number of missions, we found that elevated M<sub>0</sub> nocturnal urinary cortisol excretion predicted M<sub>6</sub> partial/full PTSD. <em>Conclusions.</em> Asymptomatic subjects at risk of partial/full PTSD exhibit a common pattern of hypothalamic-pituitary axis dysregulation, similar to that observed in established PTSD.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16868,"journal":{"name":"Journal of psychiatric research","volume":"194 ","pages":"Pages 281-286"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of psychiatric research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022395626000130","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/1/8 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHIATRY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), in its partial or full forms, is frequently observed in military populations. It is therefore important to predict the risk of PTSD prior to deployment. Objective. Since elevated allostatic load markers have been described in PTSD, we investigated whether these alterations pre-exist before PTSD onset. Our objective was to explore the ability of four allostatic load markers (urinary and blood cortisol, BDNF and 8-iso-PGF2α) to predict partial/full PTSD onset after a 6-month deployment. Methods. We conducted a prospective study in a French military cohort deployed to Afghanistan. PTSD was assessed before (M0) and after (M6) deployment using PTSD Checklist Scale (PCLS). At M0, only subjects who were medically fit and who scored healthy at PCLS were considered. We evaluated whether biological markers of allostatic load at M0 would predict partial/full PTSD at M6. Psychological correlates were assessed, including anxious-depressive symptoms (HAD; Hospital Anxiety and Depression), burnout (BMS; Burnout Measure-Short version), anxiety (STAI; Spielberger State-Trait Anxiety Inventory), general mood (POMS; Profile of Mood State), perceived stress (PSS; Perceived Stress Scale), alexithymia (TAS; Toronto Alexithymia scale) and mental health–related scores (GHQ-28; General Health Questionnaire-28 items). Results. After controlling for age, pre-deployment PCLS scores, and the number of missions, we found that elevated M0 nocturnal urinary cortisol excretion predicted M6 partial/full PTSD. Conclusions. Asymptomatic subjects at risk of partial/full PTSD exhibit a common pattern of hypothalamic-pituitary axis dysregulation, similar to that observed in established PTSD.
期刊介绍:
Founded in 1961 to report on the latest work in psychiatry and cognate disciplines, the Journal of Psychiatric Research is dedicated to innovative and timely studies of four important areas of research:
(1) clinical studies of all disciplines relating to psychiatric illness, as well as normal human behaviour, including biochemical, physiological, genetic, environmental, social, psychological and epidemiological factors;
(2) basic studies pertaining to psychiatry in such fields as neuropsychopharmacology, neuroendocrinology, electrophysiology, genetics, experimental psychology and epidemiology;
(3) the growing application of clinical laboratory techniques in psychiatry, including imagery and spectroscopy of the brain, molecular biology and computer sciences;