{"title":"Green taxes, the environment, and the economy: A theoretical analysis using an overlapping generations model with endogenous longevity","authors":"Sichao Wei , David Aadland","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107415","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green taxes are designed to mitigate the environmental pollution that causes millions of premature deaths worldwide each year. Using an overlapping generations (OLG) model with endogenous longevity, we examine how environmental conditions influence the effectiveness of green taxes. A key endogenous mechanism links changes in environmental quality to the economy through health effects, shaping the policy–environment boundaries for dynamics and output maximization. The model predicts that regions with low environmental carrying capacity (ECC) and low green tax rates will experience environmental and economic cycles, leading to intergenerational inequality, and fail to maximize output. These cycles can be avoided, and output maximized, if such regions raise their green tax rates. By contrast, in regions with higher ECC, the green tax rate that maximizes output may not eliminate cycles. Our findings provide insights into two dimensions of compatibility: (1) the alignment between policy stringency and environmental conditions, and (2) the compatibility of policy objectives aimed at eliminating cycles and maximizing output.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"155 ","pages":"Article 107415"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325004109","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/11/29 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Green taxes are designed to mitigate the environmental pollution that causes millions of premature deaths worldwide each year. Using an overlapping generations (OLG) model with endogenous longevity, we examine how environmental conditions influence the effectiveness of green taxes. A key endogenous mechanism links changes in environmental quality to the economy through health effects, shaping the policy–environment boundaries for dynamics and output maximization. The model predicts that regions with low environmental carrying capacity (ECC) and low green tax rates will experience environmental and economic cycles, leading to intergenerational inequality, and fail to maximize output. These cycles can be avoided, and output maximized, if such regions raise their green tax rates. By contrast, in regions with higher ECC, the green tax rate that maximizes output may not eliminate cycles. Our findings provide insights into two dimensions of compatibility: (1) the alignment between policy stringency and environmental conditions, and (2) the compatibility of policy objectives aimed at eliminating cycles and maximizing output.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.