Green taxes, the environment, and the economy: A theoretical analysis using an overlapping generations model with endogenous longevity

IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-29 DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107415
Sichao Wei , David Aadland
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Green taxes are designed to mitigate the environmental pollution that causes millions of premature deaths worldwide each year. Using an overlapping generations (OLG) model with endogenous longevity, we examine how environmental conditions influence the effectiveness of green taxes. A key endogenous mechanism links changes in environmental quality to the economy through health effects, shaping the policy–environment boundaries for dynamics and output maximization. The model predicts that regions with low environmental carrying capacity (ECC) and low green tax rates will experience environmental and economic cycles, leading to intergenerational inequality, and fail to maximize output. These cycles can be avoided, and output maximized, if such regions raise their green tax rates. By contrast, in regions with higher ECC, the green tax rate that maximizes output may not eliminate cycles. Our findings provide insights into two dimensions of compatibility: (1) the alignment between policy stringency and environmental conditions, and (2) the compatibility of policy objectives aimed at eliminating cycles and maximizing output.
绿色税收、环境与经济:基于具有内生寿命的重叠代模型的理论分析
绿色税旨在减轻每年导致全球数百万人过早死亡的环境污染。利用具有内生寿命的重叠代(OLG)模型,我们研究了环境条件如何影响环保税的有效性。一个关键的内生机制通过健康效应将环境质量的变化与经济联系起来,形成动态和产出最大化的政策-环境边界。该模型预测,低环境承载力(ECC)和低绿色税率的地区将经历环境和经济周期,导致代际不平等,无法实现产出最大化。如果这些地区提高绿色税率,就可以避免这些循环,并实现产出最大化。相比之下,在ECC较高的地区,最大化产出的绿色税率可能不会消除周期。我们的研究结果为兼容性的两个维度提供了见解:(1)政策严格性与环境条件之间的一致性;(2)旨在消除周期和最大化产出的政策目标的兼容性。
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来源期刊
Economic Modelling
Economic Modelling ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
10.60%
发文量
295
期刊介绍: Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.
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