{"title":"Influence of blood EBV-DNA level on survival of patients with nasopharyngeal cancer on immune checkpoint inhibitors: a meta-analysis.","authors":"Yanbing Li, Lingyu Cai, Hongbo Zuo","doi":"10.1186/s13027-025-00718-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>OBJECTIVES: Pretreatment plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA is a promising biomarker in nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC). However, its prognostic significance in patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) remains unclear. This meta-analysis evaluated the association between pretreatment EBV-DNA levels and survival outcomes in NPC patients treated with ICIs. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched up to June 29, 2025. Eligible longitudinal studies included adult NPC patients treated with ICIs, with pretreatment EBV-DNA assessed by quantitative PCR and survival outcomes reported as hazard ratios (HRs). Pooled analyses used random-effects models accounting for the potential influence of heterogeneity. RESULTS: Thirteen cohorts from 12 studies, comprising 1,507 patients, were included. Most cohorts were prospective; two were retrospective. Overall, high pretreatment EBV-DNA was significantly associated with poorer progression-free survival (PFS; HR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.46 to 2.03, p < 0.001; I² = 0%) and overall survival (OS; HR = 2.03, 95% CI: 1.50 to 2.77, p < 0.001; I² = 18%). Sensitivity analyses by excluding one study at a time showed similar results. Subgroup analyses for the outcome of PFS showed consistent associations across study design (prospective vs. retrospective), treatment line (first vs. later), concurrent therapy, cutoff thresholds (< 7,800 vs. ≥ 7,800 copies/mL), follow-up duration, analytic model, and study quality (all p for subgroup differences > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: High pretreatment EBV-DNA levels predict significantly worse PFS and OS in NPC patients receiving ICIs. Pretreatment EBV-DNA may serve as a practical biomarker for risk stratification and treatment decision-making in this population. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable. </p>","PeriodicalId":13568,"journal":{"name":"Infectious Agents and Cancer","volume":" ","pages":"3"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12781268/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Infectious Agents and Cancer","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s13027-025-00718-3","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"IMMUNOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Pretreatment plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA is a promising biomarker in nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC). However, its prognostic significance in patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) remains unclear. This meta-analysis evaluated the association between pretreatment EBV-DNA levels and survival outcomes in NPC patients treated with ICIs. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched up to June 29, 2025. Eligible longitudinal studies included adult NPC patients treated with ICIs, with pretreatment EBV-DNA assessed by quantitative PCR and survival outcomes reported as hazard ratios (HRs). Pooled analyses used random-effects models accounting for the potential influence of heterogeneity. RESULTS: Thirteen cohorts from 12 studies, comprising 1,507 patients, were included. Most cohorts were prospective; two were retrospective. Overall, high pretreatment EBV-DNA was significantly associated with poorer progression-free survival (PFS; HR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.46 to 2.03, p < 0.001; I² = 0%) and overall survival (OS; HR = 2.03, 95% CI: 1.50 to 2.77, p < 0.001; I² = 18%). Sensitivity analyses by excluding one study at a time showed similar results. Subgroup analyses for the outcome of PFS showed consistent associations across study design (prospective vs. retrospective), treatment line (first vs. later), concurrent therapy, cutoff thresholds (< 7,800 vs. ≥ 7,800 copies/mL), follow-up duration, analytic model, and study quality (all p for subgroup differences > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: High pretreatment EBV-DNA levels predict significantly worse PFS and OS in NPC patients receiving ICIs. Pretreatment EBV-DNA may serve as a practical biomarker for risk stratification and treatment decision-making in this population. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.
期刊介绍:
Infectious Agents and Cancer is an open access, peer-reviewed online journal that encompasses all aspects of basic, clinical, epidemiological and translational research providing an insight into the association between chronic infections and cancer.
The journal welcomes submissions in the pathogen-related cancer areas and other related topics, in particular:
• HPV and anogenital cancers, as well as head and neck cancers;
• EBV and Burkitt lymphoma;
• HCV/HBV and hepatocellular carcinoma as well as lymphoproliferative diseases;
• HHV8 and Kaposi sarcoma;
• HTLV and leukemia;
• Cancers in Low- and Middle-income countries.
The link between infection and cancer has become well established over the past 50 years, and infection-associated cancer contribute up to 16% of cancers in developed countries and 33% in less developed countries.
Preventive vaccines have been developed for only two cancer-causing viruses, highlighting both the opportunity to prevent infection-associated cancers by vaccination and the gaps that remain before vaccines can be developed for other cancer-causing agents. These gaps are due to incomplete understanding of the basic biology, natural history, epidemiology of many of the pathogens that cause cancer, the mechanisms they exploit to cause cancer, and how to interrupt progression to cancer in human populations. Early diagnosis or identification of lesions at high risk of progression represent the current most critical research area of the field supported by recent advances in genomics and proteomics technologies.