Charging forward or falling behind? Effects of electric vehicle subsidy removal

IF 8.7 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-27 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2025.105126

Liv Lundberg , Gustaf Bengtsson , Frances Sprei , Niklas Fernqvist , Jonas Zetterholm

引用次数: 0

Abstract

To reach climate goals in the transport sector the pace of electrification needs to speed up. Sweden has one of the highest shares of electric vehicles (EV) in the world, and 45% of the EV fleet operates under leasing agreements. In 2018, the Swedish government introduced a bonus for low emission cars and a taxation on fossil-fuelled vehicles. The bonus was however eliminated in November 2022, effective immediately. We show that this led to a significant decline in private leasing of EVs while other market segments remained stable. Private leasing played a key role in expanding the stock of lightweight EVs and dominated new EV registrations among low-income households, which declined following the bonus withdrawal. We also show that the subsidy removal led to a significant increase in EV-leasing prices, making EVs the most expensive option across price segments.

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前进还是落后？取消电动汽车补贴的影响

为了实现交通部门的气候目标，电气化的步伐需要加快。瑞典是世界上电动汽车（EV）份额最高的国家之一，45%的电动汽车是通过租赁协议运营的。2018年，瑞典政府推出了对低排放汽车的奖励和对化石燃料汽车的征税。然而，该奖金于2022年11月取消，立即生效。我们发现，这导致私人电动汽车租赁大幅下降，而其他细分市场保持稳定。私人租赁在扩大轻型电动汽车库存方面发挥了关键作用，并主导了低收入家庭的新电动汽车注册量，但在奖金取消后，这一数字有所下降。我们还发现，补贴取消导致电动汽车租赁价格大幅上涨，使电动汽车成为各个价格区间中最昂贵的选择。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.